Flora Tallinn vs FC Levadia Tallinn• Meistriliiga, Estonia

#22.0:1.816:0015/10 · A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn3.2:0.2#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.75BFRX4.40BFR21.57BTNMargin at best7.5%Books6Markets56Rating38 · 62Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 12:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	4.60	4.30	1.54	9.9%
Betfair	4.60	4.33	1.53	10.2%
1xBet	4.48	4.20	1.55	10.6%
Betano	4.45	4.00	1.57	11.2%
Bet365	4.20	4.33	1.55	11.4%
Marathonbet	4.40	4.20	1.53	11.9%
Best of all books	4.60	4.33	1.57	8.5%
Average	4.45	4.23	1.54	10.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Flora TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn

Last 10#2Table position#11.83Points per game2.5010Form pts · last 5132.0Goals for · last 53.21.8Goals against · last 50.238Attack rating6210Defence rating9043Form rating5760H2H rating4034Goals model6638Overall rating62

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 10:40 UTC

Flora Tallinn

5W 1D 4L · goals 19:20 · per match 1.9 for, 2.0 against

11 Oct	A	Kuressaare	0-2	L
20 Sep	H	Vaprus	3-2	W
12 Sep	A	Nõmme United	3-2	W
8 Sep	A	Trans Narva	2-2	D
5 Sep	H	Kalju Nomme	2-1	W
2 Sep	H	Tammeka	3-2	W
30 Aug	H	Paide	1-2	L
26 Aug	A	Tammeka	1-3	L
23 Aug	A	Vaprus	2-1	W
16 Aug	H	Kuressaare	2-3	L

FC Levadia Tallinn

9W 1D 0L · goals 39:4 · per match 3.9 for, 0.4 against

11 Oct	H	Paide	1-0	W
7 Oct	H	Keila	10-0	W
20 Sep	A	Trans Narva	1-1	D
17 Sep	H	Tammeka	6-0	W
12 Sep	H	Vaprus	4-0	W
9 Sep	H	Kuressaare	4-0	W
6 Sep	A	Paide	2-0	W
30 Aug	A	Kalju Nomme	3-2	W
26 Aug	H	Paide	4-1	W
21 Aug	H	Trans Narva	4-0	W

Head to head

23Flora Tallinn wins

20draws

26FC Levadia Tallinn wins

69 meetings · goals 98:91 · last 10: 5W 1D 4L for Flora Tallinn

28 Jun 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	FC Levadia Tallinn1-2Flora Tallinn
13 Jun 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Flora Tallinn1-3FC Levadia Tallinn
19 Apr 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	FC Levadia Tallinn4-0Flora Tallinn
14 Feb 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Flora Tallinn1-0FC Levadia Tallinn
29 Oct 2025Cup	Cup	Flora Tallinn3-1FC Levadia Tallinn
24 Sep 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Flora Tallinn2-3FC Levadia Tallinn
17 Sep 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	FC Levadia Tallinn1-3Flora Tallinn
18 May 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Flora Tallinn1-0FC Levadia Tallinn
12 Apr 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	FC Levadia Tallinn0-0Flora Tallinn
3 Nov 2024Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	FC Levadia Tallinn4-2Flora Tallinn

Meistriliiga tableMeistriliigaupdated 12 Oct 18:00 UTC

In the Meistriliiga table, Flora Tallinn sit 2nd with 55 points from 30 games, while FC Levadia Tallinn are 1st with 75 points from 30.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	30	23	6	1	82:21	+61	75
2	Flora Tallinn	30	18	1	11	59:41	+18	55
3	Paide	30	15	6	9	48:37	+11	51
4	Kalju Nomme	30	15	5	10	52:28	+24	50
5	Tammeka	30	15	2	13	41:47	-6	47
6	Laagri	30	12	2	16	41:47	-6	38
7	Vaprus	30	10	5	15	41:59	-18	35
8	Kuressaare	30	9	5	16	33:49	-16	32
9	Nõmme United	30	9	1	20	47:72	-25	28
10	Trans Narva	30	5	5	20	24:67	-43	20

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg120%4.46X21%4.22258%1.54

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.80 → 4.46 -7.1%X4.30 → 4.22 -1.9%21.54 → 1.54 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betfair	1.36	3.10	5.8%
Bet365	1.33	3.25	6.0%
1xBet	1.34	2.78	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.34	2.78	10.6%
Best of all books	1.36	3.25	4.3%
Average	1.34	2.98	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Betfair	1.40	2.75	7.8%
1xBet	1.42	2.62	8.6%
Marathonbet	1.42	2.57	9.3%
Best of all books	1.44	2.75	5.8%
Average	1.42	2.64	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Flora Tallinn 10%Draw 45%FC Levadia Tallinn 45%

The statistical model rates Flora Tallinn at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and FC Levadia Tallinn at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.46 | 4.22 | 1.54, which imply roughly 23.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Meistriliiga table: Flora Tallinn are 2nd (55 pts, 59-41 goals), FC Levadia Tallinn 1st (75 pts, 82-21).

Over their last five matches, Flora Tallinn averaged 2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; FC Levadia Tallinn averaged 3.2 scored and 0.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or FC Levadia Tallinn.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.45	4.23	1.55

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.19	1.14	1.15

Draw no bet

1	2
3.40	1.27

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.42	2.64

1st half

1	X	2
4.46	2.59	1.98

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.54	25.0	1.48

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	21.5
1.5	1.08	6.38
2.5	1.34	2.98
3.5	1.89	1.77
4.5	3.01	1.33
5.5	5.05	1.13
6.5	8.00	1.06
7.5	11.0	1.02
8.5	17.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	12.0
1.75	1.09	5.35
2	1.11	4.95
2.25	1.23	3.42
2.75	1.41	2.52
3	1.51	2.26
3.25	1.71	1.95
3.75	2.10	1.59
4	2.46	1.43
4.25	2.70	1.36
4.75	3.50	1.22
5	4.55	1.13
5.25	4.80	1.12
6	8.30	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.66	1.39
+0.5	2.35	1.58
+0.75	2.03	1.67
+1	1.80	1.88
+1.25	1.63	2.10
+1.5	1.51	2.34

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.50	1.01
-1	7.80	1.02
-0.75	5.48	1.11
-0.5	4.40	1.20
-0.25	3.85	1.20
0	3.46	1.24
+1.75	1.39	2.69
+2	1.25	3.43
+2.25	1.21	3.73
+2.5	1.19	4.03
+2.75	1.12	5.00
+3	1.06	6.87
+3.5	1.03	7.40