Trans Narva vs Kuressaare• Meistriliiga, Estonia

#101.2:2.013:00Tomorrow · Narva Kalev-Fama staadion, Narva1.2:1.6#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.23PINX3.50BFR23.07PINMargin at best6.0%Books8Markets47Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 12:06 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.21	3.34	3.06	7.9%
Dafabet	2.20	3.40	3.00	8.2%
Betfair	2.15	3.40	2.90	10.4%
1xBet	2.12	3.35	2.98	10.6%
William Hill	2.20	3.10	3.00	11.0%
Betano	2.15	3.30	2.92	11.1%
Bet365	2.05	3.40	3.00	11.5%
Marathonbet	2.10	3.35	2.91	11.8%
Best of all books	2.21	3.40	3.06	7.3%
Average	2.15	3.33	2.97	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Trans NarvaKuressaare

Last 10#10Table position#80.67Points per game1.073Form pts · last 571.2Goals for · last 51.22.0Goals against · last 51.650Attack rating5044Defence rating5630Form rating7025H2H rating7551Goals model4939Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 15:30 UTC

Trans Narva

2W 4D 4L · goals 17:17 · per match 1.7 for, 1.7 against

10 Oct	A	Vaprus	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	FC Levadia Tallinn	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Kalju Nomme	0-2	L
8 Sep	H	Flora Tallinn	2-2	D
5 Sep	A	Kuressaare	1-3	L
30 Aug	H	Tammeka	0-2	L
26 Aug	H	Kalju Nomme	2-0	W
21 Aug	A	FC Levadia Tallinn	0-4	L
16 Aug	H	Paide	1-1	D
11 Aug	H	Kompanii Marjamaa	8-0	W

Kuressaare

5W 2D 3L · goals 23:15 · per match 2.3 for, 1.5 against

11 Oct	H	Flora Tallinn	2-0	W
3 Oct	H	Saku Sporting	4-2	W
18 Sep	A	Laagri	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	Tammeka	1-3	L
9 Sep	A	FC Levadia Tallinn	0-4	L
5 Sep	H	Trans Narva	3-1	W
29 Aug	H	Vaprus	2-2	D
22 Aug	A	Tammeka	0-1	L
16 Aug	A	Flora Tallinn	3-2	W
11 Aug	A	Kristiine JK	8-0	W

Head to head

22Trans Narva wins

11draws

16Kuressaare wins

49 meetings · goals 71:50 · last 10: 1W 4D 5L for Trans Narva

5 Sep 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Kuressaare3-1Trans Narva
16 Jun 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Kuressaare0-0Trans Narva
18 Apr 2026Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Trans Narva1-2Kuressaare
21 Feb 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Kuressaare2-2Trans Narva
20 Sep 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Kuressaare0-0Trans Narva
5 Jul 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Trans Narva3-2Kuressaare
27 Apr 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Kuressaare2-1Trans Narva
8 Mar 2025Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Trans Narva0-2Kuressaare
8 Feb 2025Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Trans Narva1-1Kuressaare
9 Nov 2024Meistriliiga	Meistriliiga	Trans Narva0-2Kuressaare

Meistriliiga tableMeistriliigaupdated 12 Oct 18:00 UTC

In the Meistriliiga table, Trans Narva sit 10th with 20 points from 30 games, while Kuressaare are 8th with 32 points from 30.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	30	23	6	1	82:21	+61	75
2	Flora Tallinn	30	18	1	11	59:41	+18	55
3	Paide	30	15	6	9	48:37	+11	51
4	Kalju Nomme	30	15	5	10	52:28	+24	50
5	Tammeka	30	15	2	13	41:47	-6	47
6	Laagri	30	12	2	16	41:47	-6	38
7	Vaprus	30	10	5	15	41:59	-18	35
8	Kuressaare	30	9	5	16	33:49	-16	32
9	Nõmme United	30	9	1	20	47:72	-25	28
10	Trans Narva	30	5	5	20	24:67	-43	20

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.13X27%3.34230%2.99

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.14 → 2.13 -0.5%X3.40 → 3.34 -1.8%22.95 → 2.99 +1.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betfair	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.77	2.02	6.0%
1xBet	1.74	1.94	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.74	1.94	9.0%
Betano	1.72	1.93	10.0%
Best of all books	1.80	2.05	4.3%
Average	1.75	1.98	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
William Hill	1.65	2.10	8.2%
1xBet	1.62	2.15	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.62	2.11	9.1%
Best of all books	1.67	2.20	5.3%
Average	1.64	2.13	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Trans Narva 10%Draw 45%Kuressaare 45%

The statistical model rates Trans Narva at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Kuressaare at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.13 | 3.34 | 2.99, which imply roughly 29.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Meistriliiga table: Trans Narva are 10th (20 pts, 24-67 goals), Kuressaare 8th (32 pts, 33-49).

Over their last five matches, Trans Narva averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Kuressaare averaged 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Kuressaare.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.15	3.33	2.97

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.32	1.58	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.60	2.17

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.64	2.13

1st half

1	X	2
2.68	2.20	3.54

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.75	12.3	2.16

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.1
1.5	1.21	3.82
2.5	1.75	1.98
3.5	2.86	1.36
4.5	5.30	1.12
5.5	9.95	1.04
6.5	13.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.88
1	1.01	8.60
1.25	1.11	4.89
1.75	1.28	3.22
2	1.34	2.90
2.25	1.55	2.26
2.75	1.94	1.76
3	2.19	1.58
3.25	2.53	1.43
3.75	3.34	1.24
4	4.45	1.14
4.25	4.80	1.12
4.75	5.90	1.07
5	8.80	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.48	1.47
-0.5	2.13	1.65
-0.25	1.87	1.85
0	1.60	2.21
+0.25	1.45	2.54
+0.5	1.38	3.00

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.90	1.02
-2	7.13	1.05
-1.75	5.08	1.12
-1.5	3.95	1.20
-1.25	3.52	1.24
-1	3.22	1.29
+0.75	1.23	3.57
+1	1.12	5.20
+1.25	1.10	5.60
+1.5	1.09	6.07
+1.75	1.03	7.70