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Louisville City vs Detroit City• USL Championship, USA

#42.2:1.223:0024/10 · Lynn Family Stadium1.0:0.4#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.80BTNX3.55DAF24.10DAFMargin at best8.1%Books6Markets50Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 16:03 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.803.554.108.1%
Betano1.803.503.909.8%
1xBet1.753.504.0110.7%
Betfair1.753.504.0010.7%
Bet3651.753.503.9011.4%
Marathonbet1.733.503.9211.9%
Best of all books1.803.554.108.1%
Average1.763.513.9710.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Louisville CityDetroit City
Last 10#4Table position#31.54Points per game1.7213Form pts · last 5102.2Goals for · last 51.01.2Goals against · last 50.469Attack rating3125Defence rating7550Form rating5050H2H rating5050Goals model5049Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 12:20 UTC

Louisville City

4W 4D 2L · goals 14:9 · per match 1.4 for, 0.9 against

17 OctHIndy Eleven4-1W
10 OctACharleston Battery2-0W
4 OctAHartford Athletic1-0W
25 SepAHartford Athletic2-2D
19 SepHLoudoun United2-1W
12 SepHEl Paso Locomotive1-2L
9 SepASan Antonio0-0D
5 SepARhode Island1-1D
30 AugHDetroit City0-0D
22 AugAIndy Eleven1-2L

Detroit City

5W 3D 2L · goals 8:4 · per match 0.8 for, 0.4 against

17 OctATampa Bay Rowdies0-1L
10 OctHRhode Island1-0W
3 OctHBirmingham Legion1-0W
30 SepABrooklyn3-1W
26 SepHColorado Springs0-0D
19 SepHPittsburgh Riverhounds1-0W
13 SepASacramento Republic0-1L
5 SepHHartford Athletic1-1D
30 AugALouisville City0-0D
22 AugHTampa Bay Rowdies1-0W

Head to head

7Louisville City wins
4draws
4Detroit City wins

15 meetings · goals 20:11 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Louisville City

30 Aug 2026USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipLouisville City0-0Detroit City
20 Jun 2026USL League One CupUSL League One CupDetroit City0-0Louisville City
2 May 2026USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipDetroit City2-1Louisville City
1 Nov 2025USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipLouisville City0-1Detroit City
27 Sep 2025USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipDetroit City0-1Louisville City
29 Mar 2025USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipLouisville City2-0Detroit City
22 Sep 2024USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipDetroit City2-1Louisville City
29 May 2024USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipLouisville City5-1Detroit City
29 Oct 2023USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipLouisville City4-0Detroit City
19 Jul 2023USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipDetroit City2-0Louisville City

USL Championship tableUSL Championshipupdated 21 Oct 01:20 UTC

In the USL Championship table, Louisville City sit 4th with 43 points from 28 games, while Detroit City are 3rd with 50 points from 29.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies29177550:26+2458
2Charleston Battery29155955:35+2050
3Detroit City29148734:21+1350
4Louisville City28127949:43+643
5Rhode Island291261141:31+1042
6Pittsburgh Riverhounds291261131:29+242
7Hartford Athletic29913733:32+140
8Miami FC30991239:49-1036
9Indy Eleven29971335:40-534
10Loudoun United295131134:45-1128
11Birmingham Legion285121137:43-627
12Brooklyn28561730:57-2721
13Sporting JAX28352032:74-4214

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.76X26%3.51223%3.97

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

21 Oct 00:0121 Oct 06:001 1.76X 3.512 3.97
11.76 → 1.76 0.0%X3.53 → 3.51 -0.6%24.04 → 3.97 -1.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.001.805.6%
Betano1.951.806.8%
1xBet1.881.799.1%
Marathonbet1.881.799.1%
Best of all books2.001.805.6%
Average1.931.807.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.911.807.9%
Betano1.851.858.1%
1xBet1.801.898.5%
Marathonbet1.801.869.3%
Best of all books1.911.895.3%
Average1.841.858.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Louisville City 35%Draw 35%Detroit City 30%

The statistical model rates Louisville City at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Detroit City at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.76 | 3.51 | 3.97, which imply roughly 56.8% for a Louisville City win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the USL Championship table: Louisville City are 4th (43 pts, 49-43 goals), Detroit City 3rd (50 pts, 34-21).

Over their last five matches, Louisville City averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Detroit City averaged 1 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Louisville City or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.763.513.97

Double chance

1XX212
1.181.901.23

Draw no bet

12
1.362.95

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.841.85

1st half

1X2
2.372.124.59

2nd half

1X2
2.142.484.14

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.6915.142.0
HT X4.605.308.93
HT 225.815.86.80

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.6010.52.53

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.048.79
1.51.293.19
2.51.931.80
3.53.291.27
4.56.151.08
5.59.671.03
6.515.11.01
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.70
11.028.10
1.251.144.45
1.751.322.88
21.452.49
2.251.652.04
2.752.131.59
32.601.41
3.252.881.32
3.754.001.17
45.501.08
4.255.901.07

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.811.36
-12.441.49
-0.751.991.70
-0.51.791.98
-0.251.542.28
01.332.95
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.758.651.01
-2.56.571.07
-2.256.181.08
-25.751.09
-1.753.951.19
-1.53.131.30
+0.251.263.38
+0.51.243.90
+0.751.125.11
+11.028.10
+1.251.018.60

Next USL Championship matches

21 OctBrooklyn – Birmingham Legion
21 OctSporting JAX – Louisville City
24 OctLoudoun United – Brooklyn
24 OctCharleston Battery – Indy Eleven
24 OctHartford Athletic – Rhode Island
24 OctPittsburgh Riverhounds – Birmingham Legion

All USL Championship fixtures and the table

Latest USL Championship results

18 OctBirmingham Legion 0-0 Loudoun United
18 OctLas Vegas Lights 3-5 Lexington
18 OctOrange County SC 1-3 Phoenix Rising
18 OctMonterey Bay 0-1 Colorado Springs
18 OctEl Paso Locomotive 0-1 Sacramento Republic
18 OctSan Antonio 1-0 New Mexico United