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Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington• USL Championship, USA

1.6:1.43-5FT18/10 · Cashman Field3.2:0.8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.22PINX3.66PIN22.14PINMargin at best5.1%Books6Markets79Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 00:09 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle3.223.662.145.1%
BetVictor3.103.502.108.4%
1xBet3.093.422.0410.6%
William Hill3.003.402.0511.5%
Bet3652.903.502.0511.8%
Marathonbet3.023.422.0211.9%
Best of all books3.223.662.145.1%
Average3.063.482.079.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Las Vegas LightsLexington
Last 107Form pts · last 5131.6Goals for · last 53.21.4Goals against · last 50.833Attack rating6736Defence rating6435Form rating6564H2H rating3644Goals model5644Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:01 UTC

Las Vegas Lights

4W 1D 5L · goals 12:14 · per match 1.2 for, 1.4 against

11 OctAPhoenix Rising2-3L
4 OctHSan Antonio1-0W
1 OctASacramento Republic2-3L
20 SepHHartford Athletic1-1D
13 SepAOrange County SC2-0W
6 SepHNew Mexico United1-2L
30 AugHCharleston Battery0-2L
22 AugALexington0-2L
16 AugHBrooklyn2-1W
8 AugAMiami FC1-0W

Lexington

5W 1D 4L · goals 21:11 · per match 2.1 for, 1.1 against

9 OctHFC Tulsa0-0D
3 OctHEl Paso Locomotive3-1W
27 SepAMonterey Bay3-2W
19 SepHOrange County SC6-0W
13 SepAOakland Roots4-1W
5 SepASporting JAX2-3L
29 AugHColorado Springs0-1L
27 AugANew Mexico United1-2L
22 AugHLas Vegas Lights2-0W
16 AugASacramento Republic0-1L

Head to head

2Las Vegas Lights wins
1draws
1Lexington wins

4 meetings · goals 3:3 · last 4: 2W 1D 1L for Las Vegas Lights

22 Aug 2026USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipLexington2-0Las Vegas Lights
3 May 2026USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipLas Vegas Lights2-1Lexington
31 Aug 2025USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipLas Vegas Lights1-0Lexington
12 Apr 2025USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipLexington0-0Las Vegas Lights

USL Championship tableUSL Championshipupdated 21 Oct 01:20 UTC

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies29177550:26+2458
2Charleston Battery29155955:35+2050
3Detroit City29148734:21+1350
4Louisville City28127949:43+643
5Rhode Island291261141:31+1042
6Pittsburgh Riverhounds291261131:29+242
7Hartford Athletic29913733:32+140
8Miami FC30991239:49-1036
9Indy Eleven29971335:40-534
10Loudoun United295131134:45-1128
11Birmingham Legion285121137:43-627
12Brooklyn28561730:57-2721
13Sporting JAX28352032:74-4214

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg130%3.06X26%3.48244%2.07

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 00:0118 Oct 00:501 3.06X 3.482 2.07
13.05 → 3.06 +0.3%X3.57 → 3.48 -2.5%22.03 → 2.07 +2.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.722.154.7%
Bet3651.622.256.2%
BetVictor1.662.059.0%
1xBet1.642.089.1%
Marathonbet1.642.089.1%
Best of all books1.722.252.6%
Average1.662.127.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.532.387.4%
William Hill1.552.308.0%
1xBet1.542.298.6%
BetVictor1.532.308.8%
Marathonbet1.542.259.4%
Best of all books1.552.386.5%
Average1.542.308.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Las Vegas Lights 10%Draw 45%Lexington 45%

The statistical model rated Las Vegas Lights at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Lexington at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.06 | 3.48 | 2.07, which imply roughly 28.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Las Vegas Lights averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Lexington averaged 3.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Lexington.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Las Vegas Lights

4-3-3

Coach: Devin Rensing

Goalkeeper

  • 1T. Henry

Defence

  • 6N. Sessock
  • 3N. Jones
  • 33A. Guillén
  • 81T. Antonoglou

Midfield

  • 23M. Ybarra
  • 27G. Probo
  • 18C. Locker

Attack

  • 11C. Pinzon
  • 14J. Rodriguez
  • 25O. Anderson
Substitutes (7)
  • 9M. Arteaga
  • 17P. Leal
  • 30B. Ofeimu
  • 43A. Okyere
  • 45B. Pope
  • 4C. Stretch
  • 13C. Lanphier

Lexington

4-2-3-1

Coach: M. Hemmi

Goalkeeper

  • 17O. Semmle

Defence

  • 12X. Zengue
  • 5K. Burks
  • 21M. Muir
  • 2J. Greene

Midfield

  • 16B. Ferri
  • 6A. Molloy
  • 34M. Fry
  • 8Nick Firmino
  • 7M. Epps

Attack

  • 9P. Goodrum
Substitutes (7)
  • 98P. Seagrist
  • 19T. Scott
  • 23J. Brown
  • 31B. Thompson
  • 13M. Tschantret
  • 20M. Yosef
  • 27B. P. Rodrigues

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.063.482.07

Double chance

1XX212
1.631.301.24

Draw no bet

12
2.281.56

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.542.30

1st half

1X2
3.592.322.60

2nd half

1X2
3.242.602.39

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.8814.524.3
HT X7.435.705.53
HT 231.014.33.15

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.1315.01.72

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0211.3
1.51.194.20
2.51.662.12
3.52.631.43
4.54.821.15
5.58.981.04
6.511.01.02
7.517.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.019.50
1.251.075.80
1.751.203.70
21.263.20
2.251.482.46
2.751.821.87
32.081.65
3.252.341.51
3.753.081.28
44.051.16
4.254.451.14
4.756.051.06
58.701.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.252.661.42
02.301.56
+0.251.891.82
+0.51.702.10
+0.751.502.40
+11.343.03
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.758.731.01
-1.56.371.07
-1.255.951.09
-15.451.11
-0.753.831.22
-0.53.101.37
+1.251.273.43
+1.51.213.77
+1.751.134.81
+21.057.07
+2.251.107.00
+2.51.028.10

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.094.92
7.51.273.15
8.51.552.27
9.51.961.76
10.52.441.47
11.53.341.24
12.54.861.10
22 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.017.12
6.251.075.36
6.751.114.69
71.124.46
7.251.203.65
7.751.302.99
81.342.82
8.251.442.50
8.751.612.16
91.771.99
9.251.801.90
9.752.031.70
102.201.61
10.252.321.52
10.752.681.38
113.021.30
11.253.171.27
11.753.781.18
124.471.12
12.254.661.11
12.755.731.06
137.121.01

Next USL Championship matches

21 OctBrooklyn – Birmingham Legion
21 OctSporting JAX – Louisville City
24 OctLoudoun United – Brooklyn
24 OctCharleston Battery – Indy Eleven
24 OctHartford Athletic – Rhode Island
24 OctLouisville City – Detroit City

All USL Championship fixtures and the table

Latest USL Championship results

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18 OctEl Paso Locomotive 0-1 Sacramento Republic
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