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Sporting JAX vs Louisville City• USL Championship, USA

#130.4:2.823:30Today · Hodges Stadium2.2:1.2#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

18.50BVCX6.04PIN21.30WHMargin at best5.2%Books6Markets92Rating25 · 75Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 20:02 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle8.056.041.305.9%
BetVictor8.505.251.298.3%
1xBet8.055.301.2610.7%
William Hill7.005.001.3011.2%
Bet3657.505.001.2811.5%
Marathonbet7.705.301.2511.9%
Best of all books8.506.041.305.2%
Average7.805.321.289.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sporting JAXLouisville City
Last 10#13Table position#40.50Points per game1.540Form pts · last 5130.4Goals for · last 52.22.8Goals against · last 51.215Attack rating8530Defence rating700Form rating1000H2H rating10029Goals model7125Overall rating75

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 12:20 UTC

Sporting JAX

2W 0D 8L · goals 9:28 · per match 0.9 for, 2.8 against

14 OctHBirmingham Legion0-1L
30 SepAMiami FC1-4L
25 SepHLoudoun United1-4L
16 SepAHartford Athletic0-2L
12 SepHRhode Island0-3L
5 SepHLexington3-2W
29 AugABrooklyn1-4L
23 AugABirmingham Legion3-2W
15 AugHIndy Eleven0-1L
2 AugASacramento Republic0-5L

Louisville City

4W 4D 2L · goals 14:9 · per match 1.4 for, 0.9 against

17 OctHIndy Eleven4-1W
10 OctACharleston Battery2-0W
4 OctAHartford Athletic1-0W
25 SepAHartford Athletic2-2D
19 SepHLoudoun United2-1W
12 SepHEl Paso Locomotive1-2L
9 SepASan Antonio0-0D
5 SepARhode Island1-1D
30 AugHDetroit City0-0D
22 AugAIndy Eleven1-2L

Head to head

0Sporting JAX wins
0draws
1Louisville City wins

1 meeting · goals 0:1 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Sporting JAX

18 Apr 2026USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipLouisville City1-0Sporting JAX

USL Championship tableUSL Championshipupdated 21 Oct 01:20 UTC

In the USL Championship table, Sporting JAX sit 13th with 14 points from 28 games, while Louisville City are 4th with 43 points from 28.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies29177550:26+2458
2Charleston Battery29155955:35+2050
3Detroit City29148734:21+1350
4Louisville City28127949:43+643
5Rhode Island291261141:31+1042
6Pittsburgh Riverhounds291261131:29+242
7Hartford Athletic29913733:32+140
8Miami FC30991239:49-1036
9Indy Eleven29971335:40-534
10Loudoun United295131134:45-1128
11Birmingham Legion285121137:43-627
12Brooklyn28561730:57-2721
13Sporting JAX28352032:74-4214

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg112%7.80X17%5.32271%1.28

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

18 Oct 12:1021 Oct 20:201 7.80X 5.322 1.28
16.52 → 7.80 +19.6%X4.88 → 5.32 +9.0%21.35 → 1.28 -5.2%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.422.845.6%
Bet3651.442.627.6%
BetVictor1.402.757.8%
1xBet1.382.6210.6%
Marathonbet1.382.6210.6%
Best of all books1.442.844.7%
Average1.402.698.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.732.007.8%
William Hill1.652.108.2%
1xBet1.692.038.4%
BetVictor1.672.058.7%
Marathonbet1.692.009.2%
Best of all books1.732.105.4%
Average1.692.048.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sporting JAX 0%Draw 50%Louisville City 50%

The statistical model rates Sporting JAX at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Louisville City at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 7.80 | 5.32 | 1.28, which imply roughly 18.8% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the USL Championship table: Sporting JAX are 13th (14 pts, 32-74 goals), Louisville City 4th (43 pts, 49-43).

Over their last five matches, Sporting JAX averaged 0.4 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game; Louisville City averaged 2.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Louisville City and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
7.805.321.28

Double chance

1XX212
3.131.051.10

Draw no bet

12
6.001.10

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.692.04

1st half

1X2
7.002.811.67

2nd half

1X2
6.113.151.59

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 113.219.819.3
HT X17.18.734.33
HT 245.718.41.78

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
3.1921.01.34

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0117.8
1.51.105.76
2.51.402.69
3.52.041.70
4.53.351.28
5.56.081.09
6.59.001.04
7.515.01.01
8.521.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0112.5
1.751.115.00
21.134.60
2.251.263.20
2.751.482.43
31.612.15
3.251.821.88
3.752.281.56
42.661.37
4.252.921.31
4.753.851.18
55.051.10
5.255.301.09
69.20–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+12.631.43
+1.252.161.63
+1.51.921.81
+1.751.712.03
+21.522.38
+2.251.422.65
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-0.56.251.12
-0.255.911.09
05.821.09
+0.253.921.21
+0.53.231.35
+0.752.861.37
+2.51.342.99
+2.751.243.49
+31.154.68
+3.251.135.05
+3.51.115.30
+41.018.50

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.065.54
7.51.223.48
8.51.462.47
9.51.841.89
10.52.251.56
11.53.001.30
12.54.301.13
13.56.531.03
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.075.29
71.095.04
7.251.164.06
7.751.253.28
81.283.10
8.251.372.71
8.751.522.32
91.602.22
9.251.702.02
9.751.901.80
102.031.73
10.252.151.61
10.752.461.46
112.731.37
11.252.881.33
11.753.391.23
123.941.17
12.254.121.15
12.755.001.09
136.111.04
13.256.321.03

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