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El Paso Locomotive vs Sacramento Republic• USL Championship, USA

#11.8:1.401:00Tomorrow · Southwest University Park1.6:1.2#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.70BTNX3.48PIN22.53PINMargin at best5.3%Books6Markets74Rating50 · 50 levelExp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 20:03 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.673.452.604.9%
BetVictor2.633.302.508.3%
1xBet2.553.282.3811.7%
Marathonbet2.553.282.3811.7%
William Hill2.503.202.4512.1%
Bet3652.503.252.4012.4%
Best of all books2.673.452.604.9%
Average2.573.292.4510.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

El Paso LocomotiveSacramento Republic
Last 10#1Table position#31.79Points per game1.6110Form pts · last 591.8Goals for · last 51.61.4Goals against · last 51.253Attack rating4746Defence rating5453Form rating4760H2H rating4048Goals model5250Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 06:50 UTC

El Paso Locomotive

8W 1D 1L · goals 20:9 · per match 2.0 for, 0.9 against

11 OctHOrange County SC2-1W
3 OctALexington1-3L
26 SepHFC Tulsa1-1D
20 SepAPhoenix Rising3-1W
12 SepALouisville City2-1W
30 AugHLoudoun United4-1W
27 AugHPittsburgh Riverhounds2-1W
23 AugAColorado Springs1-0W
16 AugASan Antonio3-0W
9 AugHOakland Roots1-0W

Sacramento Republic

4W 6D 0L · goals 14:10 · per match 1.4 for, 1.0 against

11 OctHColorado Springs1-1D
4 OctAFC Tulsa1-1D
1 OctHLas Vegas Lights3-2W
27 SepANew Mexico United3-2W
20 SepHSan Antonio0-0D
13 SepHDetroit City1-0W
6 SepAOrange County SC1-1D
30 AugAMonterey Bay1-1D
23 AugHPhoenix Rising2-2D
16 AugHLexington1-0W

Head to head

8El Paso Locomotive wins
0draws
5Sacramento Republic wins

13 meetings · goals 17:14 · last 10: 5W 0D 5L for El Paso Locomotive

29 Mar 2026USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipSacramento Republic1-2El Paso Locomotive
24 Aug 2025USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipEl Paso Locomotive1-0Sacramento Republic
13 Jul 2025USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipSacramento Republic3-0El Paso Locomotive
20 Oct 2024USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipEl Paso Locomotive2-1Sacramento Republic
15 Aug 2024USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipSacramento Republic2-0El Paso Locomotive
17 Sep 2023USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipSacramento Republic1-0El Paso Locomotive
12 Mar 2023USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipEl Paso Locomotive0-1Sacramento Republic
19 May 2022USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipEl Paso Locomotive1-0Sacramento Republic
13 Mar 2022USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipSacramento Republic3-1El Paso Locomotive
12 Sep 2021USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipEl Paso Locomotive2-0Sacramento Republic

USL Championship tableUSL Championshipupdated 17 Oct 03:21 UTC

In the USL Championship table, El Paso Locomotive sit 1st with 50 points from 28 games, while Sacramento Republic are 3rd with 45 points from 28.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1El Paso Locomotive28155848:36+1250
2New Mexico United28147744:33+1149
3Sacramento Republic281112538:26+1245
4Lexington281351049:33+1644
5FC Tulsa281110732:25+743
6Colorado Springs28118941:38+341
7Orange County SC28109937:44-739
8San Antonio28912729:29039
9Phoenix Rising28991039:42-336
10Las Vegas Lights281061237:41-436
11Oakland Roots28811933:35-235
12Monterey Bay28561730:50-2021

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.60X27%3.31238%2.41

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.941.894.5%
Bet3651.901.905.3%
1xBet1.841.839.0%
BetVictor1.841.839.0%
Marathonbet1.841.839.0%
Best of all books1.941.904.2%
Average1.871.867.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.702.057.6%
Bet3651.732.007.8%
1xBet1.682.048.5%
BetVictor1.672.058.7%
Marathonbet1.682.019.3%
Best of all books1.732.056.6%
Average1.692.038.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

El Paso Locomotive 45%Draw 45%Sacramento Republic 10%

The statistical model rates El Paso Locomotive at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Sacramento Republic at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.60 | 3.31 | 2.41, which imply roughly 38.5% for a El Paso Locomotive win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the USL Championship table: El Paso Locomotive are 1st (50 pts, 48-36 goals), Sacramento Republic 3rd (45 pts, 38-26).

Over their last five matches, El Paso Locomotive averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Sacramento Republic averaged 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : El Paso Locomotive or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.573.292.45

Double chance

1XX212
1.461.411.27

Draw no bet

12
1.881.79

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.692.03

1st half

1X2
3.222.183.02

2nd half

1X2
2.962.422.76

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.2114.329.0
HT X6.375.275.93
HT 229.714.33.84

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.0011.41.92

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0210.3
1.51.263.47
2.51.871.86
3.53.191.30
4.56.241.09
5.511.01.04
6.515.01.01
7.521.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.90
11.018.50
1.251.134.60
1.751.302.97
21.422.62
2.251.652.11
2.752.101.64
32.521.45
3.252.811.33
3.753.841.18
45.251.09
4.255.651.08

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.611.47
-0.252.241.58
01.911.81
+0.251.652.11
+0.51.502.48
+0.751.352.96
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-29.501.01
-1.757.071.06
-1.55.321.11
-1.254.811.13
-14.411.17
-0.753.131.31
+11.204.06
+1.251.164.40
+1.51.134.87
+1.751.086.56
+21.029.00
+2.51.0110.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.104.76
7.51.293.08
8.51.572.23
9.51.991.74
10.52.501.45
11.53.431.23
12.55.041.09
20 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.026.98
6.251.085.27
6.751.124.53
71.134.30
7.251.213.54
7.751.322.91
81.372.74
8.251.472.44
8.751.642.11
91.791.97
9.251.841.86
9.752.081.67
102.251.58
10.252.371.50
10.752.751.36
113.111.28
11.253.271.25
11.753.921.17
124.661.11
12.254.851.10