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San Antonio vs New Mexico United• USL Championship, USA

#80.2:0.600:30Tomorrow · Toyota Field1.4:1.2#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.88PINX3.99PIN23.70BVCMargin at best5.3%Books5Markets80Rating42 · 59Exp. goals L51.7

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 20:03 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.914.073.545.2%
BetVictor1.853.603.758.5%
1xBet1.883.583.4010.5%
Bet3651.853.503.5011.2%
William Hill1.853.603.3012.1%
Best of all books1.914.073.753.6%
Average1.873.673.509.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

San AntonioNew Mexico United
Last 10#8Table position#21.39Points per game1.753Form pts · last 570.2Goals for · last 51.40.6Goals against · last 51.213Attack rating8867Defence rating3330Form rating7050H2H rating5044Goals model5642Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:01 UTC

San Antonio

1W 5D 4L · goals 3:12 · per match 0.3 for, 1.2 against

11 OctAOakland Roots0-0D
4 OctALas Vegas Lights0-1L
30 SepHSV Darmstadt 980-7L
27 SepHTampa Bay Rowdies0-0D
20 SepASacramento Republic0-0D
12 SepAColorado Springs1-2L
9 SepHLouisville City0-0D
6 SepHFC Tulsa0-0D
30 AugANew Mexico United2-1W
23 AugHOakland Roots0-1L

New Mexico United

4W 3D 3L · goals 18:16 · per match 1.8 for, 1.6 against

11 OctHMonterey Bay3-1W
4 OctHPhoenix Rising2-1W
1 OctAFC Tulsa0-1L
27 SepHSacramento Republic2-3L
20 SepAColorado Springs0-0D
17 SepABirmingham Legion4-4D
12 SepHIndy Eleven2-2D
6 SepALas Vegas Lights2-1W
30 AugHSan Antonio1-2L
27 AugHLexington2-1W

Head to head

7San Antonio wins
2draws
10New Mexico United wins

19 meetings · goals 27:28 · last 10: 4W 1D 5L for San Antonio

30 Aug 2026USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipNew Mexico United1-2San Antonio
22 Mar 2026USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipSan Antonio1-0New Mexico United
2 Nov 2025USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipNew Mexico United2-0San Antonio
7 Sep 2025USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipSan Antonio0-1New Mexico United
27 Jul 2025USL League One CupUSL League One CupSan Antonio2-2New Mexico United
22 Jun 2025USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipNew Mexico United4-2San Antonio
30 Jun 2024USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipSan Antonio2-3New Mexico United
26 May 2024USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipNew Mexico United2-1San Antonio
13 Aug 2023USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipNew Mexico United0-3San Antonio
28 May 2023USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipSan Antonio2-1New Mexico United

USL Championship tableUSL Championshipupdated 17 Oct 03:21 UTC

In the USL Championship table, San Antonio sit 8th with 39 points from 28 games, while New Mexico United are 2nd with 49 points from 28.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1El Paso Locomotive28155848:36+1250
2New Mexico United28147744:33+1149
3Sacramento Republic281112538:26+1245
4Lexington281351049:33+1644
5FC Tulsa281110732:25+743
6Colorado Springs28118941:38+341
7Orange County SC28109937:44-739
8San Antonio28912729:29039
9Phoenix Rising28991039:42-336
10Las Vegas Lights281061237:41-436
11Oakland Roots28811933:35-235
12Monterey Bay28561730:50-2021

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.87X25%3.65226%3.48

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 00:0117 Oct 00:501 1.87X 3.652 3.48
11.87 → 1.87 0.0%X3.67 → 3.65 -0.5%23.43 → 3.48 +1.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.762.094.7%
Bet3651.732.085.9%
BetVictor1.711.998.7%
1xBet1.731.959.1%
Best of all books1.762.094.7%
Average1.732.037.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.672.107.5%
William Hill1.672.107.5%
BetVictor1.622.158.2%
1xBet1.642.108.6%
Best of all books1.672.156.4%
Average1.652.117.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

San Antonio 10%Draw 45%New Mexico United 45%

The statistical model rates San Antonio at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and New Mexico United at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.87 | 3.65 | 3.48, which imply roughly 27.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the USL Championship table: San Antonio are 8th (39 pts, 29-29 goals), New Mexico United 2nd (49 pts, 44-33).

Over their last five matches, San Antonio averaged 0.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; New Mexico United averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or New Mexico United and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.873.673.50

Double chance

1XX212
1.251.801.22

Draw no bet

12
1.412.67

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.652.11

1st half

1X2
2.412.304.08

2nd half

1X2
2.262.533.66

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.8514.632.0
HT X5.055.958.35
HT 223.014.85.75

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.6713.02.30

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0310.4
1.51.223.90
2.51.732.03
3.52.831.38
4.55.151.14
5.59.671.04
6.512.01.01
7.521.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.70
1–9.20
1.251.105.04
1.751.253.28
21.322.88
2.251.542.34
2.751.921.81
32.221.59
3.252.501.47
3.753.341.24
44.451.14
4.254.751.12
4.756.391.05
58.901.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.991.35
-12.611.44
-0.752.121.65
-0.51.871.90
-0.251.652.16
01.422.70
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.56.581.08
-2.255.951.10
-25.881.10
-1.754.051.19
-1.53.401.29
+0.251.343.08
+0.51.293.53
+0.751.174.37
+11.086.53
+1.251.086.77
+1.51.046.95

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.017.20
6.51.154.14
7.51.362.76
8.51.752.02
9.52.121.65
10.52.781.35
11.53.941.17
12.55.981.05
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.026.89
61.036.59
6.251.095.02
6.751.173.92
71.193.71
7.251.283.12
7.751.412.60
81.472.48
8.251.582.22
8.751.771.94
91.881.85
9.251.991.72
9.752.271.55
102.501.47
10.252.641.40
10.753.101.28
113.581.21
11.253.761.18
11.754.571.11
125.561.06
12.255.771.05