Orange County SC vs
Phoenix Rising• USL Championship, USA
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 00:09 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.10 | 3.72 | 2.18 | 5.0% |
| BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.60 | 2.15 | 8.8% |
| 1xBet | 2.97 | 3.48 | 2.08 | 10.5% |
| Bet365 | 2.88 | 3.40 | 2.10 | 11.8% |
| Marathonbet | 2.90 | 3.48 | 2.06 | 11.8% |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.05 | 12.4% |
| Best of all books | 3.10 | 3.72 | 2.18 | 5.0% |
| Average | 2.96 | 3.50 | 2.10 | 9.9% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:01 UTC
Orange County SC
1W 2D 7L · goals 8:25 · per match 0.8 for, 2.5 against
| 11 Oct | A | El Paso Locomotive | 1-2 | L |
| 4 Oct | H | Monterey Bay | 1-2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1-0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Lexington | 0-6 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | Las Vegas Lights | 0-2 | L |
| 6 Sep | H | Sacramento Republic | 1-1 | D |
| 30 Aug | A | Oakland Roots | 1-1 | D |
| 23 Aug | H | FC Tulsa | 1-5 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | Louisville City | 2-3 | L |
| 9 Aug | H | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 0-3 | L |
Phoenix Rising
4W 2D 4L · goals 15:17 · per match 1.5 for, 1.7 against
| 11 Oct | H | Las Vegas Lights | 3-2 | W |
| 4 Oct | A | New Mexico United | 1-2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Oakland Roots | 0-3 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | El Paso Locomotive | 1-3 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | FC Tulsa | 2-1 | W |
| 6 Sep | A | Monterey Bay | 1-1 | D |
| 30 Aug | H | Indy Eleven | 2-1 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | Sacramento Republic | 2-2 | D |
| 20 Aug | H | Colorado Springs | 3-1 | W |
| 8 Aug | A | Lexington | 0-1 | L |
Head to head
35 meetings · goals 41:47 · last 10: 2W 2D 6L for Orange County SC
| 17 May 2026USL League One Cup | USL League One Cup | Phoenix Rising2-1Orange County SC |
| 2 Apr 2026US Open Cup | US Open Cup | Orange County SC1-2Phoenix Rising |
| 15 Mar 2026USL Championship | USL Championship | Phoenix Rising1-1Orange County SC |
| 31 Jul 2025USL Championship | USL Championship | Orange County SC4-1Phoenix Rising |
| 8 Jun 2025USL Championship | USL Championship | Phoenix Rising3-1Orange County SC |
| 26 Sep 2024USL Championship | USL Championship | Orange County SC2-0Phoenix Rising |
| 9 Jun 2024USL Championship | USL Championship | Phoenix Rising2-1Orange County SC |
| 29 Oct 2023USL Championship | USL Championship | Orange County SC1-2Phoenix Rising |
| 1 Oct 2023USL Championship | USL Championship | Phoenix Rising1-1Orange County SC |
| 21 May 2023USL Championship | USL Championship | Orange County SC0-1Phoenix Rising |
USL Championship tableUSL Championshipupdated 21 Oct 01:20 UTC
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 50:26 | +24 | 58 |
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 55:35 | +20 | 50 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 34:21 | +13 | 50 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 49:43 | +6 | 43 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 41:31 | +10 | 42 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 31:29 | +2 | 42 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 33:32 | +1 | 40 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 39:49 | -10 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 35:40 | -5 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 29 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 34:45 | -11 | 28 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 37:43 | -6 | 27 |
| 12 | Brooklyn | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 30:57 | -27 | 21 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 28 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 32:74 | -42 | 14 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.0% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.64 | 2.28 | 4.8% |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 2.20 | 6.1% |
| BetVictor | 1.61 | 2.14 | 8.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.59 | 2.17 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.59 | 2.17 | 9.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.65 | 2.28 | 4.5% |
| Average | 1.62 | 2.19 | 7.5% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 2.25 | 8.1% |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 2.25 | 8.1% |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 2.40 | 8.3% |
| 1xBet | 1.51 | 2.36 | 8.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.51 | 2.32 | 9.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.57 | 2.40 | 5.4% |
| Average | 1.53 | 2.32 | 8.5% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Orange County SC at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Phoenix Rising at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.96 | 3.50 | 2.10, which imply roughly 28.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Orange County SC averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Phoenix Rising averaged 1.4 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Phoenix Rising.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Starting Lineups
Orange County SC
4-2-3-1Coach: D. Keinan
Goalkeeper
- 1A. Rando
Defence
- 4N. Benalcazar
- 5T. Brewitt
- 15T. Espy
- 23R. Doghman
Midfield
- 19K. Partida
- 18M. Palomino
- 11L. MacKinnon
- 8O. Sylla
- 10C. Hegardt
Attack
- 12Y. Bazini
Substitutes (9)
- 27S. Kelly
- 31T. Kadono
- 14B. Cambridge
- 20M. Bunbury
- 17J. Johnson
- 16J. Lindsey
- 6Garrison Tubbs
- 7S. Wathuta
- 25E. Solis
Phoenix Rising
4-2-3-1Coach: P. Kah
Goalkeeper
- 14T. Scott
Defence
- 20L. Biasi
- 4P. Mar Boye
- 51A. Essengue
- 48T. Schmitt
Midfield
- 13J. Moursou
- 17J. Scearce
- 28K. Arase
- 8D. Gómez
- 7I. Sacko
Attack
- 11G. Studenhofft
Substitutes (7)
- 27C. Ambursley
- 23D. Badji
- 24Adrian Pelayo
- 1P. Rakovsky
- 19D. Rivera
- 2C. Smith
- 70J. Torres
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.96 | 3.50 | 2.10 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.61 | 1.32 | 1.25 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 2.23 | 1.60 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.53 | 2.32 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.50 | 2.30 | 2.65 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.19 | 2.59 | 2.42 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 4.75 | 14.3 | 24.3 |
| HT X | 7.37 | 5.80 | 5.63 |
| HT 2 | 29.7 | 14.3 | 3.23 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.11 | 14.5 | 1.77 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 10.9 |
| 1.5 | 1.17 | 4.43 |
| 2.5 | 1.62 | 2.19 |
| 3.5 | 2.51 | 1.47 |
| 4.5 | 4.56 | 1.16 |
| 5.5 | 8.78 | 1.03 |
| 6.5 | 11.0 | 1.02 |
| 7.5 | 17.0 | – |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.02 | 8.70 |
| 1.25 | 1.06 | 6.15 |
| 1.75 | 1.18 | 3.90 |
| 2 | 1.23 | 3.42 |
| 2.25 | 1.44 | 2.57 |
| 2.75 | 1.75 | 1.96 |
| 3 | 1.98 | 1.73 |
| 3.25 | 2.24 | 1.56 |
| 3.75 | 2.92 | 1.31 |
| 4 | 3.80 | 1.19 |
| 4.25 | 4.15 | 1.16 |
| 4.75 | 5.70 | 1.08 |
| 5 | 8.10 | 1.02 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 2.96 | 1.39 |
| -0.25 | 2.58 | 1.45 |
| 0 | 2.23 | 1.59 |
| +0.25 | 1.86 | 1.86 |
| +0.5 | 1.67 | 2.14 |
| +0.75 | 1.48 | 2.47 |
11 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.75 | 8.28 | 1.01 |
| -1.5 | 6.07 | 1.08 |
| -1.25 | 5.63 | 1.10 |
| -1 | 5.17 | 1.12 |
| -0.75 | 3.64 | 1.24 |
| +1 | 1.32 | 3.13 |
| +1.25 | 1.25 | 3.54 |
| +1.5 | 1.20 | 3.89 |
| +1.75 | 1.13 | 4.97 |
| +2 | 1.05 | 7.27 |
| +2.5 | 1.02 | 8.30 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 1.01 | 7.29 |
| 6.5 | 1.12 | 4.56 |
| 7.5 | 1.30 | 3.01 |
| 8.5 | 1.60 | 2.17 |
| 9.5 | 2.00 | 1.72 |
| 10.5 | 2.56 | 1.43 |
| 11.5 | 3.54 | 1.21 |
| 12.5 | 5.31 | 1.07 |
21 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.75 | 1.02 | 6.99 |
| 6 | 1.02 | 6.69 |
| 6.25 | 1.08 | 5.08 |
| 6.75 | 1.13 | 4.33 |
| 7 | 1.15 | 4.10 |
| 7.25 | 1.23 | 3.40 |
| 7.75 | 1.35 | 2.80 |
| 8 | 1.42 | 2.62 |
| 8.25 | 1.50 | 2.37 |
| 8.75 | 1.68 | 2.06 |
| 9 | 1.81 | 1.95 |
| 9.25 | 1.88 | 1.82 |
| 9.75 | 2.13 | 1.63 |
| 10 | 2.34 | 1.54 |
| 10.25 | 2.45 | 1.46 |
| 10.75 | 2.86 | 1.34 |
| 11 | 3.24 | 1.26 |
| 11.25 | 3.41 | 1.23 |
| 11.75 | 4.11 | 1.15 |
| 12 | 4.92 | 1.09 |
| 12.25 | 5.11 | 1.08 |