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Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United• USL Championship, USA

1.8:1.821:00Tomorrow · Protective Stadium1.6:1.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.02BTNX3.80BFR23.28PINMargin at best6.3%Books6Markets79Rating46 · 54 levelExp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 20:03 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.963.963.266.9%
BetVictor1.953.753.258.7%
1xBet1.933.703.1510.6%
Bet3652.003.603.0011.1%
Marathonbet1.913.703.0811.9%
William Hill1.953.503.1012.1%
Best of all books2.003.963.265.9%
Average1.953.703.1410.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
Last 107Form pts · last 571.8Goals for · last 51.61.8Goals against · last 51.053Attack rating4736Defence rating6450Form rating5038H2H rating6257Goals model4346Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 04:50 UTC

Birmingham Legion

2W 3D 5L · goals 19:22 · per match 1.9 for, 2.2 against

14 OctASporting JAX1-0W
3 OctADetroit City0-1L
23 SepHBrooklyn4-0W
19 SepATampa Bay Rowdies0-4L
17 SepHNew Mexico United4-4D
12 SepHCharleston Battery2-2D
5 SepAIndy Eleven2-2D
29 AugAHartford Athletic2-3L
23 AugHSporting JAX2-3L
16 AugAColorado Springs2-3L

Loudoun United

2W 3D 5L · goals 13:15 · per match 1.3 for, 1.5 against

14 OctARhode Island0-1L
10 OctAMiami FC2-0W
3 OctHIndy Eleven1-1D
25 SepASporting JAX4-1W
19 SepALouisville City1-2L
12 SepAPittsburgh Riverhounds0-1L
4 SepHColorado Springs4-5L
30 AugAEl Paso Locomotive1-4L
22 AugHNew Mexico United0-0D
15 AugADetroit City0-0D

Head to head

6Birmingham Legion wins
3draws
3Loudoun United wins

12 meetings · goals 22:17 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for Birmingham Legion

21 Jun 2026USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipBirmingham Legion1-1Loudoun United
4 Apr 2026USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipLoudoun United2-2Birmingham Legion
4 Oct 2025USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipLoudoun United0-1Birmingham Legion
9 Mar 2025USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipBirmingham Legion1-3Loudoun United
14 Sep 2024USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipLoudoun United4-2Birmingham Legion
7 Apr 2024USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipBirmingham Legion3-1Loudoun United
22 Jun 2023USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipBirmingham Legion2-0Loudoun United
15 Apr 2023USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipLoudoun United3-0Birmingham Legion
28 Jul 2022USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipBirmingham Legion6-1Loudoun United
24 Apr 2022USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipLoudoun United1-2Birmingham Legion

USL Championship tableUSL Championshipupdated 17 Oct 03:21 UTC

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1El Paso Locomotive28155848:36+1250
2New Mexico United28147744:33+1149
3Sacramento Republic281112538:26+1245
4Lexington281351049:33+1644
5FC Tulsa281110732:25+743
6Colorado Springs28118941:38+341
7Orange County SC28109937:44-739
8San Antonio28912729:29039
9Phoenix Rising28991039:42-336
10Las Vegas Lights281061237:41-436
11Oakland Roots28811933:35-235
12Monterey Bay28561730:50-2021

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg146%1.98X25%3.66229%3.11

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 00:0116 Oct 00:401 1.98X 3.662 3.11
12.00 → 1.98 -1.0%X3.72 → 3.66 -1.6%22.99 → 3.11 +4.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.442.726.2%
Bet3651.442.627.6%
BetVictor1.502.369.0%
1xBet1.412.5210.6%
Marathonbet1.412.5210.6%
Best of all books1.502.723.4%
Average1.442.558.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.402.708.5%
William Hill1.402.708.5%
BetVictor1.442.558.7%
Marathonbet1.402.649.3%
Best of all books1.442.706.5%
Average1.412.658.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Birmingham Legion 10%Draw 45%Loudoun United 45%

The statistical model rates Birmingham Legion at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Loudoun United at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.98 | 3.66 | 3.11, which imply roughly 27.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Birmingham Legion averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Loudoun United averaged 1.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Loudoun United.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.953.703.14

Double chance

1XX212
1.291.711.21

Draw no bet

12
1.522.37

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.412.65

1st half

1X2
2.452.443.57

2nd half

1X2
2.262.733.27

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.9713.527.3
HT X5.606.477.77
HT 221.714.34.92

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.6918.12.13

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0216.0
1.51.115.48
2.51.442.55
3.52.131.64
4.53.641.23
5.56.861.07
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0311.5
1.751.114.96
21.134.50
2.251.273.14
2.751.542.30
31.692.02
3.251.911.79
3.752.401.49
42.881.32
4.253.201.26
4.754.301.15
55.801.07
5.256.151.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-12.711.39
-0.752.201.58
-0.51.961.81
-0.251.732.00
01.492.42
+0.251.372.76
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.58.001.04
-310.51.05
-2.56.751.04
-25.901.07
-1.754.201.15
-1.53.361.26
-1.253.051.32
+0.51.333.25
+0.751.193.82
+11.085.45
+1.251.075.90
+1.51.056.40
+1.751.018.50
+21.019.90

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.075.35
7.51.243.36
8.51.492.38
9.51.891.85
10.52.341.51
11.53.121.27
12.54.451.12
13.56.811.02
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.085.11
71.104.86
7.251.173.94
7.751.263.20
81.303.02
8.251.392.65
8.751.552.27
91.642.14
9.251.731.99
9.751.941.77
102.111.67
10.252.201.59
10.752.521.44
112.811.35
11.252.961.31
11.753.501.22
124.081.15
12.254.261.14
12.755.201.08
136.381.03
13.256.591.03