Vitoria vs Fluminense• Serie A, Brazil

#151.4:1.223:00Tomorrow · Barradao, Salvador1.6:1.2#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.86PINX3.401XB22.60DAFMargin at best2.8%Books10Markets86Rating53 · 47 levelExp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 5 Nov 08:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.80	3.35	2.60	4.0%
1xBet	2.79	3.40	2.57	4.2%
Pinnacle	2.84	3.32	2.55	4.5%
Bet365	2.88	3.25	2.55	4.7%
Betano	2.82	3.30	2.55	5.0%
Betfair	2.75	3.30	2.50	6.7%
Marathonbet	2.70	3.30	2.49	7.5%
BetVictor	2.70	3.25	2.50	7.8%
William Hill	2.75	3.10	2.45	9.4%
SBO	2.56	2.98	2.36	15.0%
Best of all books	2.88	3.40	2.60	2.6%
Average	2.76	3.26	2.51	6.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

VitoriaFluminense

Last 10#15Table position#41.15Points per game1.645Form pts · last 561.4Goals for · last 51.61.2Goals against · last 51.247Attack rating5350Defence rating5045Form rating5562H2H rating3861Goals model3953Overall rating47

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 3 Nov 00:01 UTC

Vitoria

2W 3D 5L · goals 12:15 · per match 1.2 for, 1.5 against

31 Oct	A	Coritiba	0-2	L
24 Oct	H	Atletico Paranaense	1-1	D
19 Oct	A	Corinthians	1-1	D
11 Oct	A	Sao Paulo	1-2	L
7 Oct	H	Chapecoense-sc	4-0	W
20 Sep	H	Cruzeiro	1-3	L
13 Sep	A	Mirassol	2-2	D
7 Sep	H	Gremio	1-0	W
3 Sep	H	Vasco DA Gama	0-2	L
29 Aug	A	Atletico-MG	1-2	L

Fluminense

4W 0D 6L · goals 15:14 · per match 1.5 for, 1.4 against

28 Oct	H	Internacional	2-1	W
24 Oct	A	Chapecoense-sc	1-2	L
22 Oct	A	Palmeiras	1-0	W
18 Oct	H	Santos	1-2	L
15 Oct	H	Palmeiras	1-2	L
11 Oct	A	Flamengo	0-1	L
9 Oct	H	Coritiba	4-0	W
20 Sep	A	Corinthians	3-1	W
15 Sep	A	Platense	1-2	L
12 Sep	A	Atletico-MG	1-3	L

Head to head

5Vitoria wins

7draws

5Fluminense wins

17 meetings · goals 23:22 · last 10: 2W 5D 3L for Vitoria

9 May 2026Serie A	Serie A	Fluminense2-2Vitoria
20 Sep 2025Serie A	Serie A	Vitoria0-1Fluminense
20 Apr 2025Serie A	Serie A	Fluminense1-1Vitoria
26 Oct 2024Serie A	Serie A	Vitoria2-1Fluminense
27 Jun 2024Serie A	Serie A	Fluminense0-1Vitoria
6 Sep 2018Serie A	Serie A	Fluminense0-0Vitoria
6 May 2018Serie A	Serie A	Vitoria1-2Fluminense
10 Sep 2017Serie A	Serie A	Vitoria2-2Fluminense
3 Jun 2017Serie A	Serie A	Fluminense2-1Vitoria
28 Oct 2016Serie A	Serie A	Fluminense2-2Vitoria

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 5 Nov 04:40 UTC

In the Serie A table, Vitoria sit 15th with 38 points from 33 games, while Fluminense are 4th with 54 points from 33.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	34	23	7	4	71:29	+42	76
2	Palmeiras	33	20	10	3	56:22	+34	70
3	Cruzeiro	33	17	6	10	52:46	+6	57
4	Fluminense	33	15	9	9	52:42	+10	54
5	Atletico Paranaense	34	15	9	10	51:43	+8	54
6	Bahia	33	14	11	8	48:42	+6	53
7	Atletico-MG	34	14	8	12	44:40	+4	50
8	RB Bragantino	34	13	8	13	44:39	+5	47
9	Santos	34	12	11	11	50:49	+1	47
10	Sao Paulo	34	12	8	14	39:39	0	44
11	Botafogo	34	11	9	14	46:53	-7	42
12	Coritiba	34	11	9	14	40:51	-11	42
13	Vasco DA Gama	33	11	8	14	43:50	-7	41
14	Mirassol	34	10	10	14	39:48	-9	40
15	Vitoria	33	10	8	15	35:48	-13	38
16	Internacional	34	9	11	14	38:42	-4	38
17	Corinthians	34	9	10	15	36:42	-6	37
18	Gremio	34	9	10	15	38:47	-9	37
19	Remo	33	6	11	16	36:51	-15	29
20	Chapecoense-sc	33	4	9	20	33:68	-35	21

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.74X29%3.24237%2.51

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.8% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	2.10	1.78	3.8%
1xBet	2.04	1.81	4.3%
Pinnacle	2.03	1.81	4.5%
SBO	2.06	1.76	5.4%
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Betfair	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Marathonbet	1.99	1.76	7.1%
BetVictor	1.94	1.74	9.0%
Best of all books	2.10	1.81	2.9%
Average	2.03	1.77	5.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Bet365	1.80	1.95	6.8%
Betano	1.80	1.95	6.8%
1xBet	1.76	1.96	7.8%
BetVictor	1.75	1.95	8.4%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.93	8.6%
Best of all books	1.80	2.05	4.3%
Average	1.77	1.96	7.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Vitoria 45%Draw 45%Fluminense 10%

The statistical model rates Vitoria at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Fluminense at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.74 | 3.24 | 2.51, which imply roughly 36.5% for a Vitoria win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Vitoria are 15th (38 pts, 35-48 goals), Fluminense 4th (54 pts, 52-42).

Over their last five matches, Vitoria averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Fluminense averaged 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Vitoria or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.76	3.26	2.51

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.50	1.42	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
1.96	1.78

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.77	1.96

1st half

1	X	2
3.33	2.09	3.09

2nd half

1	X	2
3.03	2.38	2.83

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.45	13.8	28.0
HT X	6.28	4.93	5.93
HT 2	29.5	13.6	4.04

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.07	8.60	1.97

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	8.59
1.5	1.32	3.25
2.5	2.03	1.77
3.5	3.51	1.28
4.5	7.03	1.08
5.5	12.9	1.02
6.5	19.2	1.01

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.04	7.65
1	1.05	7.09
1.25	1.17	4.10
1.75	1.40	2.77
2	1.52	2.44
2.25	1.76	2.00
2.75	2.28	1.59
3	2.82	1.41
3.25	3.12	1.31
3.75	4.26	1.17
4	5.84	1.09
4.25	6.11	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.74	1.44
-0.25	2.32	1.57
0	1.98	1.81
+0.25	1.68	2.13
+0.5	1.52	2.49
+0.75	1.36	3.00

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	11.0	1.02
-1.75	7.07	1.05
-1.5	5.60	1.10
-1.25	5.14	1.13
-1	4.74	1.17
-0.75	3.32	1.30
+1	1.21	4.15
+1.25	1.16	4.52
+1.5	1.14	5.12
+1.75	1.08	6.54
+2.5	1.03	10.5

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.04	9.50
2.5	1.12	5.60
3.5	1.29	3.40
4.5	1.57	2.31
5.5	2.09	1.68
6.5	2.82	1.40
7.5	4.00	1.22
8.5	5.70	1.12
9.5	7.90	1.06

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
4	1.31	3.18
5	1.79	1.98
6	2.63	1.43

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.03	10.0
5.5	1.07	6.24
6.5	1.11	4.88
7.5	1.25	3.31
8.5	1.47	2.43
9.5	1.84	1.90
10.5	2.31	1.55
11.5	3.09	1.30
12.5	4.16	1.16
13.5	5.63	1.09
14.5	7.19	1.05
15.5	10.8	1.03
16.5	12.5	1.01

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.04	5.62
7	1.12	4.10
8	1.27	2.88
8.25	1.33	2.83
8.75	1.47	2.41
9	1.56	2.23
9.25	1.65	2.11
9.75	1.83	1.83
10	1.99	1.75
10.25	2.08	1.62
10.75	2.36	1.48
11	2.59	1.41
11.25	2.74	1.35
12	3.29	1.20
13	4.35	1.10
14	5.52	1.05

Next Serie A matches

5 Nov	Palmeiras – Remo
6 Nov	Cruzeiro – Bahia

All Serie A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie A results

5 Nov	Sao Paulo 0-0 Corinthians
5 Nov	Botafogo 1-0 Atletico-MG
4 Nov	Atletico Paranaense 1-3 Vasco DA Gama
4 Nov	Flamengo 3-1 Gremio
4 Nov	Internacional 1-0 Coritiba
3 Nov	Chapecoense-sc 1-2 Mirassol