Cruzeiro vs Bahia• Serie A, Brazil

#32.0:1.200:30Tomorrow · Estádio Mineirão, Belo Horizonte1.0:1.4#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.75BTNX4.34PIN24.75B365Margin at best1.2%Books10Markets100Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 5 Nov 08:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.75	4.20	4.75	2.0%
Dafabet	1.71	4.20	4.70	3.6%
1xBet	1.72	4.28	4.43	4.1%
Pinnacle	1.68	4.34	4.64	4.1%
Bet365	1.70	3.90	4.75	5.5%
BetVictor	1.67	4.10	4.50	6.5%
Marathonbet	1.67	4.15	4.30	7.2%
Betfair	1.62	4.00	4.75	7.8%
William Hill	1.67	3.90	4.20	9.3%
SBO	1.65	3.80	4.21	10.7%
Best of all books	1.75	4.34	4.75	1.2%
Average	1.68	4.09	4.52	6.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CruzeiroBahia

Last 10#3Table position#61.73Points per game1.6112Form pts · last 572.0Goals for · last 51.01.2Goals against · last 51.467Attack rating3354Defence rating4663Form rating3771H2H rating2956Goals model4461Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 3 Nov 00:01 UTC

Cruzeiro

6W 0D 4L · goals 19:15 · per match 1.9 for, 1.5 against

29 Oct	A	Atletico-MG	1-0	W
23 Oct	H	Remo	1-0	W
18 Oct	A	Gremio	4-2	W
13 Oct	A	RB Bragantino	2-4	L
8 Oct	H	Sao Paulo	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Vitoria	3-1	W
13 Sep	A	Santos	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	Atletico Paranaense	3-1	W
2 Sep	A	Atletico-MG	1-2	L
30 Aug	A	Vasco DA Gama	1-3	L

Bahia

6W 1D 3L · goals 16:14 · per match 1.6 for, 1.4 against

29 Oct	H	Sao Paulo	3-2	W
25 Oct	A	Santos	1-1	D
18 Oct	H	Flamengo	0-3	L
11 Oct	H	Mirassol	1-0	W
9 Oct	A	Palmeiras	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Atletico Paranaense	1-2	L
14 Sep	H	Remo	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	RB Bragantino	3-2	W
30 Aug	H	Internacional	3-2	W
23 Aug	A	Vitoria	2-0	W

Head to head

12Cruzeiro wins

7draws

4Bahia wins

23 meetings · goals 32:21 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for Cruzeiro

10 May 2026Serie A	Serie A	Bahia1-2Cruzeiro
15 Sep 2025Serie A	Serie A	Bahia1-2Cruzeiro
18 Apr 2025Serie A	Serie A	Cruzeiro3-0Bahia
19 Oct 2024Serie A	Serie A	Cruzeiro1-1Bahia
23 Jun 2024Serie A	Serie A	Bahia4-1Cruzeiro
25 Oct 2023Serie A	Serie A	Cruzeiro3-0Bahia
10 Jun 2023Serie A	Serie A	Bahia2-2Cruzeiro
23 Jul 2022Serie B	Serie B	Cruzeiro1-0Bahia
9 Apr 2022Serie B	Serie B	Bahia2-0Cruzeiro
3 Nov 2019Serie A	Serie A	Cruzeiro1-1Bahia

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 5 Nov 04:40 UTC

In the Serie A table, Cruzeiro sit 3rd with 57 points from 33 games, while Bahia are 6th with 53 points from 33.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	34	23	7	4	71:29	+42	76
2	Palmeiras	33	20	10	3	56:22	+34	70
3	Cruzeiro	33	17	6	10	52:46	+6	57
4	Fluminense	33	15	9	9	52:42	+10	54
5	Atletico Paranaense	34	15	9	10	51:43	+8	54
6	Bahia	33	14	11	8	48:42	+6	53
7	Atletico-MG	34	14	8	12	44:40	+4	50
8	RB Bragantino	34	13	8	13	44:39	+5	47
9	Santos	34	12	11	11	50:49	+1	47
10	Sao Paulo	34	12	8	14	39:39	0	44
11	Botafogo	34	11	9	14	46:53	-7	42
12	Coritiba	34	11	9	14	40:51	-11	42
13	Vasco DA Gama	33	11	8	14	43:50	-7	41
14	Mirassol	34	10	10	14	39:48	-9	40
15	Vitoria	33	10	8	15	35:48	-13	38
16	Internacional	34	9	11	14	38:42	-4	38
17	Corinthians	34	9	10	15	36:42	-6	37
18	Gremio	34	9	10	15	38:47	-9	37
19	Remo	33	6	11	16	36:51	-15	29
20	Chapecoense-sc	33	4	9	20	33:68	-35	21

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg156%1.68X23%4.09221%4.52

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.72 → 1.68 -2.3%X3.97 → 4.09 +3.0%24.26 → 4.52 +6.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.56	2.50	4.1%
Betano	1.57	2.47	4.2%
Betfair	1.53	2.45	6.2%
1xBet	1.53	2.44	6.3%
Bet365	1.53	2.40	7.0%
BetVictor	1.53	2.30	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.47	2.35	10.6%
Best of all books	1.57	2.50	3.7%
Average	1.53	2.42	6.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.53	2.45	6.2%
Betano	1.57	2.32	6.8%
William Hill	1.53	2.38	7.4%
1xBet	1.52	2.37	8.0%
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.52	2.33	8.7%
BetVictor	1.53	2.30	8.8%
Best of all books	1.57	2.45	4.5%
Average	1.54	2.34	7.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Cruzeiro 45%Draw 45%Bahia 10%

The statistical model rates Cruzeiro at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Bahia at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.68 | 4.09 | 4.52, which imply roughly 59.5% for a Cruzeiro win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Cruzeiro are 3rd (57 pts, 52-46 goals), Bahia 6th (53 pts, 48-42).

Over their last five matches, Cruzeiro averaged 2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Bahia averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Cruzeiro or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.68	4.09	4.52

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.19	2.15	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.28	3.41

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.54	2.34

1st half

1	X	2
2.15	2.43	4.46

2nd half

1	X	2
1.98	2.78	4.08

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.46	14.1	34.9
HT X	4.76	6.72	10.2
HT 2	19.5	14.7	7.41

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.52	18.5	2.47

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	13.8
1.5	1.15	5.08
2.5	1.53	2.42
3.5	2.35	1.58
4.5	4.08	1.22
5.5	7.59	1.07
6.5	12.9	1.02
7.5	19.0	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.80
1.75	1.14	4.54
2	1.19	4.06
2.25	1.34	2.92
2.75	1.64	2.16
3	1.86	1.92
3.25	2.09	1.71
3.75	2.68	1.42
4	3.33	1.29
4.25	3.64	1.23
4.75	4.91	1.13
5	6.80	1.07
5.25	7.17	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.76	1.43
-1.25	2.43	1.52
-1	2.15	1.69
-0.75	1.85	1.94
-0.5	1.66	2.21
-0.25	1.47	2.56

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	10.6	1.04
-3	8.55	1.04
-2.75	6.67	1.07
-2.5	5.14	1.14
-2.25	4.74	1.15
-2	4.38	1.18
-1.75	3.30	1.31
0	1.29	3.38
+0.25	1.24	3.86
+0.5	1.19	4.50
+0.75	1.11	5.56
+1	1.02	8.40
+1.5	1.03	10.3

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.04	9.00
2.5	1.14	5.10
3.5	1.34	3.10
4.5	1.68	2.09
5.5	2.32	1.57
6.5	3.15	1.33
7.5	4.50	1.18
8.5	6.50	1.09
9.5	8.75	1.05

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
4	1.41	2.71
5	2.04	1.76
6	3.11	1.32

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.02	11.5
6.5	1.04	9.00
7.5	1.07	6.32
8.5	1.17	4.23
9.5	1.33	2.97
10.5	1.60	2.21
11.5	1.93	1.78
12.5	2.48	1.46
13.5	3.28	1.28
14.5	4.33	1.16
15.5	6.15	1.09
16.5	7.40	1.07
17.5	9.50	1.04
18.5	11.3	1.02
19.5	12.5	1.01

17 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8	1.08	4.82
9	1.17	3.52
9.25	1.27	3.14
9.75	1.37	2.69
10	1.42	2.60
10.25	1.50	2.34
10.75	1.68	2.07
11	1.73	2.01
11.25	1.85	1.81
11.75	2.08	1.62
12	2.17	1.62
12.25	2.35	1.47
12.75	2.47	1.44
13	2.60	1.37
13.25	2.88	1.32
14	3.27	1.20
15	4.25	1.11

Next Serie A matches

5 Nov	Palmeiras – Remo
6 Nov	Vitoria – Fluminense

All Serie A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie A results

5 Nov	Botafogo 1-0 Atletico-MG
5 Nov	Sao Paulo 0-0 Corinthians
4 Nov	Flamengo 3-1 Gremio
4 Nov	Atletico Paranaense 1-3 Vasco DA Gama
4 Nov	Internacional 1-0 Coritiba
3 Nov	Chapecoense-sc 1-2 Mirassol