Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino• Serie A, Brazil

#61.2:1.01-0FT03/10 · Arena MRV, Bello Harisanta1.2:1.6#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.15BTNX3.65BTN23.58PINMargin at best1.8%Books8Markets57Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Jul 12:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.19	3.40	3.45	4.1%
1xBet	2.20	3.35	3.46	4.2%
Betano	2.18	3.40	3.40	4.7%
Unibet	2.10	3.30	3.50	6.5%
10Bet	2.12	3.30	3.40	6.9%
BetVictor	2.15	3.25	3.30	7.6%
Bet365	2.10	3.30	3.30	8.2%
William Hill	2.10	3.20	3.30	9.2%
Best of all books	2.20	3.40	3.50	3.4%
Average	2.14	3.31	3.39	6.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 68 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Atletico-MGRB Bragantino

Last 10#6Table position#101.61Points per game1.3313Form pts · last 551.2Goals for · last 51.21.0Goals against · last 51.650Attack rating5062Defence rating3867Form rating3350H2H rating5057Goals model4355Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 01:10 UTC

Atletico-MG

6W 2D 2L · goals 17:11 · per match 1.7 for, 1.1 against

17 Oct	H	Coritiba	1-0	W
14 Oct	H	Atletico Torque	3-0	W
11 Oct	H	Santos	2-1	W
8 Oct	A	Atletico Paranaense	2-2	D
3 Oct	H	RB Bragantino	1-0	W
19 Sep	H	Chapecoense-sc	1-1	D
16 Sep	H	Santos	4-2	W
12 Sep	H	Fluminense	3-1	W
9 Sep	A	Santos	0-2	L
5 Sep	A	Sao Paulo	0-2	L

RB Bragantino

2W 4D 4L · goals 14:15 · per match 1.4 for, 1.5 against

13 Oct	H	Cruzeiro	4-2	W
7 Oct	H	Mirassol	1-1	D
3 Oct	A	Atletico-MG	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Flamengo	1-2	L
12 Sep	A	Botafogo	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Bahia	2-3	L
29 Aug	A	Sao Paulo	1-2	L
23 Aug	H	Gremio	1-0	W
19 Aug	A	Atletico-MG	2-2	D
15 Aug	A	Atletico Paranaense	1-1	D

Head to head

7Atletico-MG wins

6draws

2RB Bragantino wins

15 meetings · goals 24:18 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for Atletico-MG

19 Aug 2026CONMEBOL Sudamericana	CONMEBOL Sudamericana	Atletico-MG2-2RB Bragantino
12 Aug 2026CONMEBOL Sudamericana	CONMEBOL Sudamericana	RB Bragantino0-1Atletico-MG
4 Feb 2026Serie A	Serie A	RB Bragantino1-0Atletico-MG
16 Nov 2025Serie A	Serie A	RB Bragantino2-0Atletico-MG
3 Aug 2025Serie A	Serie A	Atletico-MG2-1RB Bragantino
22 Sep 2024Serie A	Serie A	Atletico-MG3-0RB Bragantino
12 Jun 2024Serie A	Serie A	RB Bragantino1-2Atletico-MG
26 Oct 2023Serie A	Serie A	RB Bragantino1-2Atletico-MG
10 Jun 2023Serie A	Serie A	Atletico-MG1-1RB Bragantino
7 Sep 2022Serie A	Serie A	Atletico-MG1-1RB Bragantino

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 19 Oct 01:30 UTC

In the Serie A table, Atletico-MG sit 6th with 50 points from 31 games, while RB Bragantino are 10th with 40 points from 30.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras	31	19	9	3	54:22	+32	66
2	Flamengo	30	19	7	4	58:25	+33	64
3	Atletico Paranaense	31	15	8	8	49:37	+12	53
4	Cruzeiro	31	15	6	10	50:46	+4	51
5	Fluminense	31	14	9	8	49:39	+10	51
6	Atletico-MG	31	14	8	9	42:35	+7	50
7	Bahia	30	13	10	7	44:36	+8	49
8	Santos	31	12	9	10	48:46	+2	45
9	Sao Paulo	31	12	6	13	36:35	+1	42
10	RB Bragantino	30	11	7	12	38:35	+3	40
11	Botafogo	31	10	9	12	44:48	-4	39
12	Coritiba	31	10	9	12	38:49	-11	39
13	Vitoria	30	10	6	14	33:44	-11	36
14	Mirassol	31	9	9	13	36:44	-8	36
15	Vasco DA Gama	30	9	8	13	36:43	-7	35
16	Corinthians	30	8	8	14	31:38	-7	32
17	Internacional	31	7	11	13	33:40	-7	32
18	Gremio	31	7	10	14	34:44	-10	31
19	Remo	30	5	10	15	33:48	-15	25
20	Chapecoense-sc	30	3	9	18	30:62	-32	18

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.10X28%3.41228%3.40

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.07 → 2.08 +0.5%X3.36 → 3.44 +2.4%23.40 → 3.43 +0.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	2.15	1.75	3.7%
1xBet	2.15	1.73	4.3%
Unibet	2.12	1.70	6.0%
10Bet	2.10	1.70	6.4%
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
BetVictor	2.04	1.67	8.9%
Best of all books	2.15	1.75	3.7%
Average	2.11	1.71	5.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.85	1.91	6.4%
Bet365	1.95	1.80	6.8%
Betano	1.87	1.87	7.0%
10Bet	1.85	1.85	8.1%
William Hill	1.85	1.85	8.1%
Unibet	1.83	1.87	8.1%
BetVictor	1.83	1.85	8.7%
Best of all books	1.95	1.91	3.6%
Average	1.86	1.86	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Atletico-MG 45%Draw 45%RB Bragantino 10%

The statistical model rated Atletico-MG at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and RB Bragantino at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.10 | 3.41 | 3.40, which imply roughly 47.6% for a Atletico-MG win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Atletico-MG are 6th (50 pts, 42-35 goals), RB Bragantino 10th (40 pts, 38-35).

Over their last five matches, Atletico-MG averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; RB Bragantino averaged 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Atletico-MG or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Atletico-MG

4-2-3-1

Coach: E. Domínguez

Goalkeeper

1Gabriel Delfim

Defence

2Natanael
13Lyanco
14Vitor Hugo
6Renan Lodi

Midfield

8Maycon
39Mamady Cisse
28T. Cuello
7Fred
11Bernard

Attack

19Reinier

Substitutes (12)

30Victor Hugo
3Léo Duarte
5Alexsander
34Samuel Lima Barros
92Dudu
31Robert
48Gutte
25T. Pérez
17Igor Gomes
38Índio
9M. Cassierra
29Caua

RB Bragantino

4-2-3-1

Coach: Vagner Mancini

Goalkeeper

18Tiago Volpi

Defence

23A. Sant'Anna
4Alix
2Guzmán Rodríguez
29Juninho Capixaba

Midfield

7Eric Ramires
5Fabinho
16Gustavo Marques
47Wallace
11Fernando

Attack

8Eduardo Sasha

Substitutes (12)

3Eduardo Santos
6Gabriel
32J. Herrera
21Lucas Barbosa
35Matheus Fernandes
30Henry Mosquera
9I. Pitta
15I. Sosa
12Vanderlan
17Vinicius
19Bruninho
1Cleiton

Match Statistics

Atletico-MGRB Bragantino

253Passes accurate408

4Shots insidebox13

4Shots outsidebox10

9Free Kicks14

3Shots on Goal7

7Goalkeeper Saves2

5Shots off Goal9

3Offsides0

321Total passes477

8Total Shots23

1Yellow Cards1

5Corner Kicks10

0Blocked Shots7

16Fouls9

0Red Cards0

40%Ball Possession60%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.14	3.31	3.39

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.31	1.68	1.32

Draw no bet

1	2
1.52	2.39

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.86	1.86

1st half

1	X	2
2.76	2.09	3.91

First team to score

Home	Away
1.80	2.34

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	8.63
1.5	1.36	3.08
2.5	2.11	1.71
3.5	3.84	1.24
4.5	7.93	1.07
5.5	14.8	1.02
6.5	34.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.19
1	1.08	6.10
1.25	1.21	3.77
1.75	1.45	2.65
2	1.59	2.29
2.25	1.86	1.93
2.75	2.44	1.55
3	3.05	1.36
3.25	3.41	1.28
3.75	4.34	1.16
4	5.90	1.08
4.25	6.54	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.25	1.32
-0.75	2.47	1.51
-0.5	2.09	1.70
-0.25	1.85	1.96
0	1.54	2.39
+0.25	1.40	2.84

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.60	1.03
-2	7.50	1.04
-1.75	5.25	1.14
-1.5	4.08	1.21
-1.25	3.63	1.25
+0.5	1.34	3.33
+0.75	1.21	4.05
+1	1.10	6.15
+1.25	1.05	6.40
+1.5	1.06	6.80
+1.75	1.01	9.00

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.47	2.38
5.5	1.90	1.74
6.5	2.60	1.40

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.07	6.10
7.5	1.17	4.25
8.5	1.32	3.05
9.5	1.63	2.16
10.5	1.85	1.83
11.5	2.32	1.52
12.5	3.00	1.32
13.5	3.95	1.19
14.5	5.10	1.11

1 more line

Line	Over	Under
10	2.00	1.80

Next Serie A matches

19 Oct

Corinthians – Vitoria

All Serie A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie A results

18 Oct	Remo 1-1 RB Bragantino
18 Oct	Bahia 0-3 Flamengo
18 Oct	Gremio 2-4 Cruzeiro
18 Oct	Fluminense 1-2 Santos
18 Oct	Sao Paulo 1-0 Vasco DA Gama
17 Oct	Atletico Paranaense 0-2 Palmeiras