Atletico Paranaense vs 
Palmeiras• Serie A, Brazil
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 12:02 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.03 | 3.48 | 2.35 | 4.3% |
| Pinnacle | 2.94 | 3.47 | 2.39 | 4.7% |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.45 | 4.7% |
| BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.38 | 6.8% |
| Marathonbet | 2.94 | 3.38 | 2.28 | 7.5% |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.30 | 9.2% |
| Best of all books | 3.03 | 3.48 | 2.45 | 2.6% |
| Average | 2.94 | 3.37 | 2.36 | 6.1% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 12:50 UTC
Atletico Paranaense
4W 4D 2L · goals 21:20 · per match 2.1 for, 2.0 against
| 12 Oct | A | Chapecoense-sc | 4-1 | W |
| 8 Oct | H | Atletico-MG | 2-2 | D |
| 20 Sep | H | Bahia | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Coritiba | 3-3 | D |
| 6 Sep | A | Cruzeiro | 1-3 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Fluminense | 3-3 | D |
| 24 Aug | A | Botafogo | 3-2 | W |
| 15 Aug | H | RB Bragantino | 1-1 | D |
| 9 Aug | A | Santos | 2-0 | W |
| 6 Aug | A | Vitoria | 0-4 | L |
Palmeiras
5W 4D 1L · goals 13:6 · per match 1.3 for, 0.6 against
| 15 Oct | A | Fluminense | 2-1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Corinthians | 4-1 | W |
| 9 Oct | H | Bahia | 1-0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Gremio | 0-0 | D |
| 16 Sep | A | LDU de Quito | 2-3 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Sao Paulo | 2-0 | W |
| 9 Sep | H | LDU de Quito | 1-0 | W |
| 6 Sep | A | Botafogo | 0-0 | D |
| 3 Sep | A | Santos | 0-0 | D |
| 30 Aug | A | Mirassol | 1-1 | D |
Head to head
31 meetings · goals 28:43 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for Atletico Paranaense
| 19 Apr 2026Serie A | Serie A | Palmeiras1-0Atletico Paranaense |
| 1 Sep 2024Serie A | Serie A | Atletico Paranaense0-2Palmeiras |
| 12 May 2024Serie A | Serie A | Palmeiras0-2Atletico Paranaense |
| 5 Nov 2023Serie A | Serie A | Palmeiras1-0Atletico Paranaense |
| 2 Jul 2023Serie A | Serie A | Atletico Paranaense2-2Palmeiras |
| 26 Oct 2022Serie A | Serie A | Atletico Paranaense1-3Palmeiras |
| 7 Sep 2022CONMEBOL Libertadores | CONMEBOL Libertadores | Palmeiras2-2Atletico Paranaense |
| 31 Aug 2022CONMEBOL Libertadores | CONMEBOL Libertadores | Atletico Paranaense1-0Palmeiras |
| 3 Jul 2022Serie A | Serie A | Palmeiras0-2Atletico Paranaense |
| 3 Mar 2022CONMEBOL Recopa | CONMEBOL Recopa | Palmeiras2-0Atletico Paranaense |
Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 16 Oct 03:50 UTC
In the Serie A table, Atletico Paranaense sit 3rd with 53 points from 30 games, while Palmeiras are 2nd with 63 points from 30.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 58:25 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 52:22 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 49:35 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:37 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 44:36 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 46:44 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41:35 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 | Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 46:45 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:35 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 35:35 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 | Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 | Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 | Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 43:48 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 | Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 36:42 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 31:38 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 | Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 32:40 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 | Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 30:61 | -31 | 18 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.4% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.97 | 1.88 | 4.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.97 | 1.87 | 4.2% |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 1.85 | 5.3% |
| Marathonbet | 1.92 | 1.82 | 7.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.88 | 1.79 | 9.1% |
| Best of all books | 1.97 | 1.88 | 4.0% |
| Average | 1.94 | 1.84 | 5.9% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 2.00 | 7.1% |
| William Hill | 1.70 | 2.05 | 7.6% |
| 1xBet | 1.72 | 2.01 | 7.9% |
| Marathonbet | 1.72 | 1.98 | 8.6% |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 2.00 | 8.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.75 | 2.05 | 5.9% |
| Average | 1.72 | 2.01 | 8.0% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Atletico Paranaense at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Palmeiras at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.94 | 3.39 | 2.34, which imply roughly 29.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Serie A table: Atletico Paranaense are 3rd (53 pts, 49-35 goals), Palmeiras 2nd (63 pts, 52-22).
Over their last five matches, Atletico Paranaense averaged 2.4 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Palmeiras averaged 1.4 scored and 0.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Palmeiras.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.94 | 3.37 | 2.36 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.56 | 1.37 | 1.30 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 2.07 | 1.69 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.72 | 2.01 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.49 | 2.14 | 2.96 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.21 | 2.39 | 2.61 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 4.78 | 14.8 | 28.0 |
| HT X | 6.73 | 5.23 | 5.70 |
| HT 2 | 31.7 | 14.2 | 3.64 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.11 | 9.65 | 1.85 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.05 | 9.53 |
| 1.5 | 1.28 | 3.38 |
| 2.5 | 1.94 | 1.84 |
| 3.5 | 3.32 | 1.29 |
| 4.5 | 6.63 | 1.08 |
| 5.5 | 12.8 | 1.04 |
| 6.5 | 26.0 | 1.01 |
| 7.5 | 50.5 | – |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.01 | 8.65 |
| 1 | 1.02 | 7.90 |
| 1.25 | 1.14 | 4.39 |
| 1.75 | 1.33 | 2.89 |
| 2 | 1.45 | 2.55 |
| 2.25 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 2.75 | 2.15 | 1.62 |
| 3 | 2.61 | 1.43 |
| 3.25 | 2.88 | 1.32 |
| 3.75 | 3.98 | 1.17 |
| 4 | 5.50 | 1.08 |
| 4.25 | 5.85 | 1.07 |
| 5 | 9.70 | 1.01 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 2.89 | 1.41 |
| -0.25 | 2.48 | 1.51 |
| 0 | 2.12 | 1.70 |
| +0.25 | 1.76 | 1.99 |
| +0.5 | 1.58 | 2.34 |
| +0.75 | 1.40 | 2.74 |
11 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.75 | 8.10 | 1.02 |
| -1.5 | 6.07 | 1.08 |
| -1.25 | 5.68 | 1.10 |
| -1 | 5.15 | 1.12 |
| -0.75 | 3.53 | 1.25 |
| +1 | 1.24 | 3.68 |
| +1.25 | 1.19 | 4.14 |
| +1.5 | 1.15 | 4.48 |
| +1.75 | 1.09 | 5.88 |
| +2 | 1.01 | 8.70 |
| +2.5 | 1.02 | 9.00 |
Cards in match
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 1.83 | 1.83 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.06 | 5.09 |
| 7.5 | 1.14 | 4.14 |
| 8.5 | 1.29 | 2.91 |
| 9.5 | 1.56 | 2.21 |
| 10.5 | 1.93 | 1.80 |
| 11.5 | 2.41 | 1.47 |
| 12.5 | 3.06 | 1.26 |
| 13.5 | 4.16 | 1.14 |
| 14.5 | 4.80 | 1.08 |
15 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1.07 | 4.90 |
| 8 | 1.18 | 3.50 |
| 8.75 | 1.31 | 2.86 |
| 9 | 1.37 | 2.62 |
| 9.25 | 1.43 | 2.42 |
| 9.75 | 1.60 | 2.14 |
| 10 | 1.73 | 2.01 |
| 10.25 | 1.84 | 1.90 |
| 10.75 | 2.02 | 1.67 |
| 11 | 2.18 | 1.61 |
| 11.25 | 2.28 | 1.49 |
| 11.75 | 2.62 | 1.38 |
| 12 | 2.80 | 1.33 |
| 13 | 3.55 | 1.17 |
| 14 | 4.64 | 1.09 |