Fluminense vs Santos• Serie A, Brazil

#41.8:1.019:0018/10 · Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro1.8:1.4#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.15B365X3.541XB23.481XBMargin at best3.5%Books6Markets68Rating65 · 35Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 08:02 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.11	3.54	3.48	4.4%
Pinnacle	2.13	3.44	3.47	4.8%
Bet365	2.15	3.50	3.30	5.4%
BetVictor	2.10	3.40	3.30	7.3%
Marathonbet	2.05	3.44	3.38	7.4%
William Hill	2.05	3.30	3.30	9.4%
Best of all books	2.15	3.54	3.48	3.5%
Average	2.10	3.44	3.37	6.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FluminenseSantos

Last 10#4Table position#81.70Points per game1.406Form pts · last 571.8Goals for · last 51.81.0Goals against · last 51.450Attack rating5058Defence rating4247Form rating5393H2H rating761Goals model3965Overall rating35

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 10:30 UTC

Fluminense

5W 1D 4L · goals 18:13 · per match 1.8 for, 1.3 against

15 Oct	H	Palmeiras	1-2	L
11 Oct	A	Flamengo	0-1	L
9 Oct	H	Coritiba	4-0	W
20 Sep	A	Corinthians	3-1	W
15 Sep	A	Platense	1-2	L
12 Sep	A	Atletico-MG	1-3	L
8 Sep	H	Platense	2-0	W
6 Sep	H	Vasco DA Gama	1-0	W
30 Aug	A	Atletico Paranaense	3-3	D
22 Aug	H	Remo	2-1	W

Santos

6W 2D 2L · goals 17:13 · per match 1.7 for, 1.3 against

11 Oct	A	Atletico-MG	1-2	L
8 Oct	H	Flamengo	2-2	D
2 Oct	A	Sao Paulo	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	Remo	2-1	W
16 Sep	A	Atletico-MG	2-4	L
13 Sep	H	Cruzeiro	2-1	W
9 Sep	H	Atletico-MG	2-0	W
6 Sep	A	Internacional	3-2	W
3 Sep	H	Palmeiras	0-0	D
30 Aug	A	Corinthians	1-0	W

Head to head

13Fluminense wins

7draws

11Santos wins

31 meetings · goals 37:39 · last 10: 5W 4D 1L for Fluminense

19 Apr 2026Serie A	Serie A	Santos2-3Fluminense
31 Aug 2025Serie A	Serie A	Santos0-0Fluminense
13 Apr 2025Serie A	Serie A	Fluminense1-0Santos
29 Nov 2023Serie A	Serie A	Santos0-3Fluminense
29 Jul 2023Serie A	Serie A	Fluminense1-0Santos
1 Aug 2022Serie A	Serie A	Santos2-2Fluminense
9 Apr 2022Serie A	Serie A	Fluminense0-0Santos
27 Oct 2021Serie A	Serie A	Santos2-0Fluminense
17 Jun 2021Serie A	Serie A	Fluminense1-0Santos
21 Feb 2021Serie A	Serie A	Santos1-1Fluminense

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 16 Oct 03:50 UTC

In the Serie A table, Fluminense sit 4th with 51 points from 30 games, while Santos are 8th with 42 points from 30.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	30	19	7	4	58:25	+33	64
2	Palmeiras	30	18	9	3	52:22	+30	63
3	Atletico Paranaense	30	15	8	7	49:35	+14	53
4	Fluminense	30	14	9	7	48:37	+11	51
5	Bahia	30	13	10	7	44:36	+8	49
6	Cruzeiro	30	14	6	10	46:44	+2	48
7	Atletico-MG	30	13	8	9	41:35	+6	47
8	Santos	30	11	9	10	46:45	+1	42
9	RB Bragantino	30	11	7	12	38:35	+3	40
10	Sao Paulo	30	11	6	13	35:35	0	39
11	Coritiba	30	10	9	11	38:48	-10	39
12	Vitoria	30	10	6	14	33:44	-11	36
13	Botafogo	30	9	9	12	43:48	-5	36
14	Vasco DA Gama	29	9	8	12	36:42	-6	35
15	Mirassol	30	8	9	13	34:44	-10	33
16	Corinthians	30	8	8	14	31:38	-7	32
17	Internacional	30	7	11	12	33:38	-5	32
18	Gremio	30	7	10	13	32:40	-8	31
19	Remo	30	5	10	15	33:48	-15	25
20	Chapecoense-sc	29	3	9	17	30:61	-31	18

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.10X27%3.44228%3.37

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.01 → 2.10 +4.5%X3.48 → 3.44 -1.1%23.55 → 3.37 -5.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.03	1.82	4.2%
1xBet	1.98	1.86	4.3%
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Marathonbet	1.93	1.81	7.1%
BetVictor	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Best of all books	2.03	1.86	3.0%
Average	1.95	1.83	5.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.75	2.00	7.1%
BetVictor	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.75	1.97	7.9%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.75	1.94	8.7%
Best of all books	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Average	1.75	1.97	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Fluminense 45%Draw 45%Santos 10%

The statistical model rates Fluminense at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Santos at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.10 | 3.44 | 3.37, which imply roughly 47.6% for a Fluminense win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Fluminense are 4th (51 pts, 48-37 goals), Santos 8th (42 pts, 46-45).

Over their last five matches, Fluminense averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Santos averaged 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Fluminense or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.10	3.44	3.37

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.30	1.70	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.52	2.40

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.75	1.97

1st half

1	X	2
2.66	2.15	3.93

2nd half

1	X	2
2.41	2.42	3.56

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.24	14.3	35.0
HT X	5.23	5.23	7.63
HT 2	26.3	15.1	5.60

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.75	9.60	2.30

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	9.48
1.5	1.29	3.34
2.5	1.95	1.83
3.5	3.37	1.28
4.5	6.71	1.08
5.5	13.3	1.03
6.5	29.0	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.50
1	1.02	7.80
1.25	1.14	4.39
1.75	1.34	2.84
2	1.47	2.49
2.25	1.72	2.05
2.75	2.19	1.60
3	2.65	1.41
3.25	2.92	1.31
3.75	4.05	1.16
4	5.60	1.08
4.25	5.95	1.07
5	9.20	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.12	1.32
-0.75	2.39	1.51
-0.5	2.09	1.71
-0.25	1.81	1.97
0	1.53	2.45
+0.25	1.38	2.83

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.20	1.02
-2.25	7.78	1.02
-2	7.20	1.05
-1.75	5.10	1.12
-1.5	3.88	1.20
-1.25	3.48	1.26
+0.5	1.32	3.37
+0.75	1.19	4.20
+1	1.08	6.25
+1.25	1.06	6.77
+1.5	1.03	7.20

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.73	2.00

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.07	4.97
7.5	1.16	3.86
8.5	1.33	2.80
9.5	1.62	2.15
10.5	2.03	1.73
11.5	2.52	1.42
12.5	3.29	1.23
13.5	4.46	1.12
14.5	4.92	1.07

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.08	4.77
8	1.19	3.40
9	1.41	2.61
10	1.80	1.95
11	2.23	1.56
12	2.77	1.29
13	3.67	1.16
14	4.77	1.08