Corinthians vs Vitoria• Serie A, Brazil

#161.0:2.623:0019/10 · Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo1.8:1.4#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.681XBX3.841XB25.60DAFMargin at best3.4%Books6Markets60Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 08:02 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.68	3.84	5.36	4.2%
Pinnacle	1.66	3.80	5.42	5.0%
Bet365	1.65	3.70	5.75	5.0%
BetVictor	1.62	3.70	5.50	6.9%
Marathonbet	1.63	3.72	5.20	7.5%
William Hill	1.65	3.50	5.00	9.2%
Best of all books	1.68	3.84	5.75	3.0%
Average	1.65	3.71	5.37	6.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CorinthiansVitoria

Last 10#16Table position#121.07Points per game1.200Form pts · last 571.0Goals for · last 51.82.6Goals against · last 51.436Attack rating6435Defence rating650Form rating10085H2H rating1567Goals model3358Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 12:10 UTC

Corinthians

1W 1D 8L · goals 8:18 · per match 0.8 for, 1.8 against

11 Oct	A	Palmeiras	1-4	L
7 Oct	A	Internacional	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Fluminense	1-3	L
17 Sep	H	Estudiantes L.P.	0-1	L
13 Sep	A	Flamengo	1-2	L
10 Sep	A	Estudiantes L.P.	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Chapecoense-sc	1-2	L
30 Aug	H	Santos	0-1	L
23 Aug	A	Coritiba	1-2	L
21 Aug	H	Rosario Central	1-0	W

Vitoria

3W 1D 6L · goals 11:14 · per match 1.1 for, 1.4 against

11 Oct	A	Sao Paulo	1-2	L
7 Oct	H	Chapecoense-sc	4-0	W
20 Sep	H	Cruzeiro	1-3	L
13 Sep	A	Mirassol	2-2	D
7 Sep	H	Gremio	1-0	W
3 Sep	H	Vasco DA Gama	0-2	L
29 Aug	A	Atletico-MG	1-2	L
27 Aug	A	Vasco DA Gama	0-1	L
23 Aug	H	Bahia	0-2	L
16 Aug	H	Botafogo	1-0	W

Head to head

9Corinthians wins

8draws

2Vitoria wins

19 meetings · goals 24:15 · last 10: 4W 5D 1L for Corinthians

18 Apr 2026Serie A	Serie A	Vitoria0-0Corinthians
25 Oct 2025Serie A	Serie A	Vitoria0-1Corinthians
1 Jun 2025Serie A	Serie A	Corinthians0-0Vitoria
9 Nov 2024Serie A	Serie A	Vitoria1-2Corinthians
4 Jul 2024Serie A	Serie A	Corinthians3-2Vitoria
21 Oct 2018Serie A	Serie A	Vitoria2-2Corinthians
10 Jun 2018Serie A	Serie A	Corinthians0-0Vitoria
10 May 2018Copa Do Brasil	Copa Do Brasil	Corinthians3-1Vitoria
25 Apr 2018Copa Do Brasil	Copa Do Brasil	Vitoria0-0Corinthians
19 Aug 2017Serie A	Serie A	Corinthians0-1Vitoria

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 16 Oct 03:50 UTC

In the Serie A table, Corinthians sit 16th with 32 points from 30 games, while Vitoria are 12th with 36 points from 30.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	30	19	7	4	58:25	+33	64
2	Palmeiras	30	18	9	3	52:22	+30	63
3	Atletico Paranaense	30	15	8	7	49:35	+14	53
4	Fluminense	30	14	9	7	48:37	+11	51
5	Bahia	30	13	10	7	44:36	+8	49
6	Cruzeiro	30	14	6	10	46:44	+2	48
7	Atletico-MG	30	13	8	9	41:35	+6	47
8	Santos	30	11	9	10	46:45	+1	42
9	RB Bragantino	30	11	7	12	38:35	+3	40
10	Sao Paulo	30	11	6	13	35:35	0	39
11	Coritiba	30	10	9	11	38:48	-10	39
12	Vitoria	30	10	6	14	33:44	-11	36
13	Botafogo	30	9	9	12	43:48	-5	36
14	Vasco DA Gama	29	9	8	12	36:42	-6	35
15	Mirassol	30	8	9	13	34:44	-10	33
16	Corinthians	30	8	8	14	31:38	-7	32
17	Internacional	30	7	11	12	33:38	-5	32
18	Gremio	30	7	10	13	32:40	-8	31
19	Remo	30	5	10	15	33:48	-15	25
20	Chapecoense-sc	29	3	9	17	30:61	-31	18

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg157%1.65X25%3.71218%5.34

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.4% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.07	1.79	4.2%
Pinnacle	2.10	1.75	4.8%
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Marathonbet	2.02	1.74	7.0%
BetVictor	1.97	1.72	8.9%
Best of all books	2.10	1.79	3.5%
Average	2.04	1.75	6.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.75	7.1%
William Hill	2.00	1.75	7.1%
1xBet	1.98	1.74	8.0%
BetVictor	1.95	1.75	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.98	1.72	8.6%
Best of all books	2.00	1.75	7.1%
Average	1.98	1.74	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Corinthians 35%Draw 35%Vitoria 30%

The statistical model rates Corinthians at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Vitoria at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.65 | 3.71 | 5.34, which imply roughly 60.6% for a Corinthians win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Corinthians are 16th (32 pts, 31-38 goals), Vitoria 12th (36 pts, 33-44).

Over their last five matches, Corinthians averaged 1 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Vitoria averaged 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Corinthians or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.65	3.71	5.37

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.15	2.18	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.22	3.90

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.98	1.74

1st half

1	X	2
2.19	2.17	5.73

2nd half

1	X	2
2.00	2.45	5.03

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.44	16.1	45.7
HT X	4.28	5.37	11.2
HT 2	25.0	17.3	9.37

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.52	8.55	3.03

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.55
1.5	1.32	3.15
2.5	2.04	1.75
3.5	3.59	1.25
4.5	7.03	1.07
5.5	14.8	1.02
6.5	29.0	1.01

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.50
1	1.04	6.90
1.25	1.17	4.00
1.75	1.41	2.68
2	1.53	2.34
2.25	1.80	1.97
2.75	2.30	1.54
3	2.78	1.35
3.25	3.08	1.28
3.75	4.25	1.15
4	5.85	1.07
4.25	6.15	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.87	1.40
-1.25	2.46	1.49
-1	2.13	1.67
-0.75	1.79	1.94
-0.5	1.62	2.24
-0.25	1.41	2.69

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	6.90	1.04
-2.5	5.48	1.11
-2.25	5.17	1.12
-2	4.62	1.15
-1.75	3.58	1.28
0	1.22	3.89
+0.25	1.18	4.45
+0.5	1.15	5.50
+0.75	1.07	6.58
+1	1.01	9.80

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.80	1.91

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.17	3.96
8.5	1.35	2.74
9.5	1.64	2.12
10.5	2.00	1.75
11.5	2.56	1.44
12.5	3.58	1.21
13.5	5.15	1.10

2 more lines

Line	Over	Under
10	1.86	1.93
11	2.20	1.63