Sao Paulo vs 
Vasco DA Gama• Serie A, Brazil
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 12:02 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.11 | 3.50 | 3.52 | 4.4% |
| Pinnacle | 2.06 | 3.49 | 3.60 | 5.0% |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.70 | 5.2% |
| Marathonbet | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.42 | 7.4% |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.60 | 8.1% |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 9.4% |
| Best of all books | 2.11 | 3.50 | 3.70 | 3.0% |
| Average | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.52 | 6.5% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 12:40 UTC
Sao Paulo
4W 1D 5L · goals 9:11 · per match 0.9 for, 1.1 against
| 11 Oct | H | Vitoria | 2-1 | W |
| 8 Oct | A | Cruzeiro | 0-2 | L |
| 2 Oct | H | Santos | 1-2 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Internacional | 1-0 | W |
| 16 Sep | H | Boca Juniors | 1-1 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Palmeiras | 0-2 | L |
| 9 Sep | A | Boca Juniors | 0-1 | L |
| 5 Sep | H | Atletico-MG | 2-0 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | RB Bragantino | 2-1 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | Chapecoense-sc | 0-1 | L |
Vasco DA Gama
7W 2D 1L · goals 17:4 · per match 1.7 for, 0.4 against
| 14 Oct | A | Boca Juniors | 1-0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Remo | 0-0 | D |
| 7 Oct | A | Botafogo | 2-1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Coritiba | 5-0 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Santa Fe | 2-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Gremio | 2-1 | W |
| 8 Sep | A | Santa Fe | 0-0 | D |
| 6 Sep | A | Fluminense | 0-1 | L |
| 3 Sep | A | Vitoria | 2-0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Cruzeiro | 3-1 | W |
Head to head
27 meetings · goals 39:28 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for Sao Paulo
| 18 Apr 2026Serie A | Serie A | Vasco DA Gama2-1Sao Paulo |
| 2 Nov 2025Serie A | Serie A | Vasco DA Gama0-2Sao Paulo |
| 13 Jun 2025Serie A | Serie A | Sao Paulo1-3Vasco DA Gama |
| 17 Oct 2024Serie A | Serie A | Sao Paulo3-0Vasco DA Gama |
| 23 Jun 2024Serie A | Serie A | Vasco DA Gama4-1Sao Paulo |
| 7 Oct 2023Serie A | Serie A | Vasco DA Gama0-0Sao Paulo |
| 20 May 2023Serie A | Serie A | Sao Paulo4-2Vasco DA Gama |
| 5 Aug 2021Copa Do Brasil | Copa Do Brasil | Vasco DA Gama1-2Sao Paulo |
| 29 Jul 2021Copa Do Brasil | Copa Do Brasil | Sao Paulo2-0Vasco DA Gama |
| 22 Nov 2020Serie A | Serie A | Sao Paulo1-1Vasco DA Gama |
Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 16 Oct 03:50 UTC
In the Serie A table, Sao Paulo sit 10th with 39 points from 30 games, while Vasco DA Gama are 14th with 35 points from 29.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 58:25 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 52:22 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 49:35 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:37 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 44:36 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 46:44 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41:35 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 | Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 46:45 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:35 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 35:35 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 | Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 | Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 | Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 43:48 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 | Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 36:42 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 31:38 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 | Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 32:40 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 | Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 30:61 | -31 | 18 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.0% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.07 | 1.79 | 4.2% |
| Pinnacle | 2.07 | 1.77 | 4.8% |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 1.75 | 5.9% |
| Marathonbet | 2.02 | 1.74 | 7.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.97 | 1.72 | 8.9% |
| Best of all books | 2.07 | 1.79 | 4.2% |
| Average | 2.04 | 1.75 | 6.1% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 1.91 | 4.7% |
| 1xBet | 1.81 | 1.90 | 7.9% |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 1.85 | 8.1% |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 1.90 | 8.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.81 | 1.87 | 8.7% |
| Best of all books | 1.91 | 1.91 | 4.7% |
| Average | 1.84 | 1.89 | 7.5% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Sao Paulo at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Vasco DA Gama at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.52, which imply roughly 29.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Serie A table: Sao Paulo are 10th (39 pts, 35-35 goals), Vasco DA Gama 14th (35 pts, 36-42).
Over their last five matches, Sao Paulo averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Vasco DA Gama averaged 1.8 scored and 0.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Vasco DA Gama.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.52 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.29 | 1.72 | 1.29 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.47 | 2.54 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.84 | 1.89 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.70 | 2.11 | 4.10 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.42 | 2.35 | 3.64 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 3.19 | 14.4 | 38.7 |
| HT X | 5.03 | 4.93 | 7.80 |
| HT 2 | 28.7 | 15.4 | 5.80 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | 9.15 | 2.36 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.06 | 9.15 |
| 1.5 | 1.31 | 3.21 |
| 2.5 | 2.04 | 1.75 |
| 3.5 | 3.61 | 1.25 |
| 4.5 | 7.35 | 1.06 |
| 5.5 | 14.5 | 1.02 |
| 6.5 | 29.0 | 1.01 |
12 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.01 | 8.50 |
| 1 | 1.02 | 7.70 |
| 1.25 | 1.15 | 4.20 |
| 1.75 | 1.39 | 2.73 |
| 2 | 1.52 | 2.36 |
| 2.25 | 1.79 | 1.97 |
| 2.75 | 2.30 | 1.54 |
| 3 | 2.83 | 1.34 |
| 3.25 | 3.14 | 1.27 |
| 3.75 | 4.50 | 1.13 |
| 4 | 6.40 | 1.05 |
| 4.25 | 6.80 | 1.04 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1 | 3.06 | 1.33 |
| -0.75 | 2.35 | 1.53 |
| -0.5 | 2.03 | 1.77 |
| -0.25 | 1.76 | 2.01 |
| 0 | 1.49 | 2.56 |
| +0.25 | 1.35 | 2.97 |
10 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.25 | 8.50 | 1.01 |
| -2 | 8.10 | 1.02 |
| -1.75 | 5.13 | 1.12 |
| -1.5 | 3.95 | 1.21 |
| -1.25 | 3.52 | 1.26 |
| +0.5 | 1.29 | 3.56 |
| +0.75 | 1.16 | 4.33 |
| +1 | 1.04 | 6.75 |
| +1.25 | 1.03 | 7.30 |
| +1.5 | 1.02 | 7.90 |
Cards in match
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.05 | 5.32 |
| 7.5 | 1.12 | 4.41 |
| 8.5 | 1.25 | 3.10 |
| 9.5 | 1.49 | 2.37 |
| 10.5 | 1.88 | 1.85 |
| 11.5 | 2.27 | 1.53 |
| 12.5 | 2.86 | 1.30 |
| 13.5 | 3.85 | 1.17 |
| 14.5 | 4.55 | 1.09 |
16 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1.06 | 5.15 |
| 8 | 1.15 | 3.72 |
| 8.75 | 1.32 | 2.81 |
| 9 | 1.33 | 2.78 |
| 9.25 | 1.38 | 2.58 |
| 9.75 | 1.53 | 2.28 |
| 10 | 1.69 | 2.10 |
| 10.25 | 1.74 | 2.02 |
| 10.75 | 1.95 | 1.80 |
| 11 | 2.06 | 1.68 |
| 11.25 | 2.14 | 1.56 |
| 11.75 | 2.45 | 1.42 |
| 12 | 2.63 | 1.37 |
| 12.25 | 2.79 | 1.28 |
| 13 | 3.35 | 1.19 |
| 14 | 4.37 | 1.10 |