Gremio vs Cruzeiro• Serie A, Brazil

#181.0:1.419:0018/10 · Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre2.2:1.6#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.981XBX3.571XB22.50B365Margin at best1.6%Books6Markets64Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 08:02 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.98	3.57	2.34	4.3%
Pinnacle	2.84	3.52	2.43	4.8%
Bet365	2.80	3.40	2.50	5.1%
BetVictor	2.80	3.40	2.38	7.1%
Marathonbet	2.89	3.46	2.27	7.6%
William Hill	2.80	3.30	2.30	9.5%
Best of all books	2.98	3.57	2.50	1.6%
Average	2.85	3.44	2.37	6.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

GremioCruzeiro

Last 10#18Table position#61.03Points per game1.603Form pts · last 591.0Goals for · last 52.21.4Goals against · last 51.631Attack rating6953Defence rating4725Form rating7529H2H rating7158Goals model4239Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 13:01 UTC

Gremio

2W 4D 4L · goals 11:11 · per match 1.1 for, 1.1 against

11 Oct	H	Internacional	1-1	D
7 Oct	A	Remo	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Palmeiras	0-0	D
16 Sep	A	Botafogo	2-3	L
12 Sep	H	Vasco DA Gama	1-2	L
7 Sep	A	Vitoria	0-1	L
3 Sep	H	Internacional	3-1	W
30 Aug	H	Chapecoense-sc	3-1	W
27 Aug	A	Internacional	0-0	D
23 Aug	A	RB Bragantino	0-1	L

Cruzeiro

4W 1D 5L · goals 17:17 · per match 1.7 for, 1.7 against

13 Oct	A	RB Bragantino	2-4	L
8 Oct	H	Sao Paulo	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Vitoria	3-1	W
13 Sep	A	Santos	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	Atletico Paranaense	3-1	W
2 Sep	A	Atletico-MG	1-2	L
30 Aug	A	Vasco DA Gama	1-3	L
26 Aug	H	Atletico-MG	1-1	D
22 Aug	H	Flamengo	2-1	W
20 Aug	A	Flamengo	1-2	L

Head to head

15Gremio wins

8draws

13Cruzeiro wins

36 meetings · goals 44:39 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for Gremio

12 Jul 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Gremio3-1Cruzeiro
18 Apr 2026Serie A	Serie A	Cruzeiro2-0Gremio
5 Nov 2025Serie A	Serie A	Gremio0-1Cruzeiro
13 Jul 2025Serie A	Serie A	Cruzeiro4-1Gremio
28 Nov 2024Serie A	Serie A	Cruzeiro1-1Gremio
10 Jul 2024Serie A	Serie A	Gremio0-2Cruzeiro
27 Aug 2023Serie A	Serie A	Gremio3-0Cruzeiro
31 May 2023Copa Do Brasil	Copa Do Brasil	Cruzeiro0-1Gremio
17 May 2023Copa Do Brasil	Copa Do Brasil	Gremio1-1Cruzeiro
23 Apr 2023Serie A	Serie A	Cruzeiro1-0Gremio

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 16 Oct 03:50 UTC

In the Serie A table, Gremio sit 18th with 31 points from 30 games, while Cruzeiro are 6th with 48 points from 30.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	30	19	7	4	58:25	+33	64
2	Palmeiras	30	18	9	3	52:22	+30	63
3	Atletico Paranaense	30	15	8	7	49:35	+14	53
4	Fluminense	30	14	9	7	48:37	+11	51
5	Bahia	30	13	10	7	44:36	+8	49
6	Cruzeiro	30	14	6	10	46:44	+2	48
7	Atletico-MG	30	13	8	9	41:35	+6	47
8	Santos	30	11	9	10	46:45	+1	42
9	RB Bragantino	30	11	7	12	38:35	+3	40
10	Sao Paulo	30	11	6	13	35:35	0	39
11	Coritiba	30	10	9	11	38:48	-10	39
12	Vitoria	30	10	6	14	33:44	-11	36
13	Botafogo	30	9	9	12	43:48	-5	36
14	Vasco DA Gama	29	9	8	12	36:42	-6	35
15	Mirassol	30	8	9	13	34:44	-10	33
16	Corinthians	30	8	8	14	31:38	-7	32
17	Internacional	30	7	11	12	33:38	-5	32
18	Gremio	30	7	10	13	32:40	-8	31
19	Remo	30	5	10	15	33:48	-15	25
20	Chapecoense-sc	29	3	9	17	30:61	-31	18

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg133%2.85X27%3.44240%2.37

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.06 → 2.85 -6.9%X3.49 → 3.44 -1.4%22.20 → 2.37 +7.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.85	2.00	4.1%
Pinnacle	1.83	2.02	4.1%
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Marathonbet	1.80	1.94	7.1%
BetVictor	1.75	1.93	9.0%
Best of all books	1.85	2.02	3.6%
Average	1.81	1.98	5.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.65	2.15	7.1%
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
1xBet	1.63	2.14	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.63	2.11	8.7%
BetVictor	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Best of all books	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Average	1.63	2.15	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Gremio 10%Draw 45%Cruzeiro 45%

The statistical model rates Gremio at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Cruzeiro at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.85 | 3.44 | 2.37, which imply roughly 29.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Gremio are 18th (31 pts, 32-40 goals), Cruzeiro 6th (48 pts, 46-44).

Over their last five matches, Gremio averaged 1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Cruzeiro averaged 2.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Cruzeiro.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.85	3.44	2.37

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.59	1.37	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
2.07	1.68

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.63	2.15

1st half

1	X	2
3.39	2.21	2.88

2nd half

1	X	2
3.10	2.48	2.62

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.60	14.0	27.3
HT X	6.77	5.43	5.77
HT 2	30.0	14.0	3.69

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.05	12.5	1.87

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.9
1.5	1.23	3.80
2.5	1.81	1.98
3.5	2.96	1.35
4.5	5.62	1.11
5.5	10.8	1.05
6.5	23.0	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.00
1.25	1.11	4.95
1.75	1.27	3.15
2	1.36	2.84
2.25	1.60	2.28
2.75	2.01	1.76
3	2.32	1.53
3.25	2.59	1.39
3.75	3.50	1.22
4	4.75	1.12
4.25	5.10	1.10
4.75	7.25	1.04
5	8.40	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.79	1.44
-0.25	2.42	1.53
0	2.09	1.73
+0.25	1.75	2.00
+0.5	1.57	2.35
+0.75	1.40	2.70

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	10.0	1.01
-1.75	7.68	1.02
-1.5	5.78	1.09
-1.25	5.40	1.11
-1	4.87	1.15
-0.75	3.42	1.27
+1	1.25	3.61
+1.25	1.19	3.95
+1.5	1.16	4.37
+1.75	1.09	5.67
+2	1.01	8.30

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.80	1.91

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.07	4.89
7.5	1.16	3.92
8.5	1.33	2.84
9.5	1.66	2.08
10.5	1.99	1.73
11.5	2.50	1.42
12.5	3.25	1.23
13.5	4.39	1.12

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.08	4.67
8	1.20	3.32
9	1.43	2.54
10	1.81	1.96
11	2.26	1.54
12	2.85	1.27
13	3.77	1.15
14	4.87	1.07