Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC• Major League Soccer, USA

#61.2:1.221:00Today · Talen Energy Stadium, Philadelphia2.0:2.2#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.47BTNX5.35PIN26.58PINMargin at best1.9%Books9Markets80Rating53 · 48 levelExp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.47	5.20	6.40	2.9%
Dafabet	1.46	5.20	6.20	3.9%
Pinnacle	1.42	5.35	6.58	4.3%
Betfair	1.44	5.00	6.00	6.1%
Bet365	1.42	5.25	6.00	6.1%
BetVictor	1.40	5.00	6.50	6.8%
Marathonbet	1.42	4.85	6.05	7.6%
SBO	1.42	4.51	5.61	10.4%
William Hill	1.40	4.60	5.50	11.3%
Best of all books	1.47	5.35	6.58	1.9%
Average	1.43	5.00	6.09	6.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Philadelphia UnionToronto FC

Last 10#6Table position#121.42Points per game1.185Form pts · last 571.2Goals for · last 52.01.2Goals against · last 52.238Attack rating6365Defence rating3542Form rating5850H2H rating5070Goals model3053Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Nov 00:01 UTC

Philadelphia Union

6W 2D 2L · goals 26:12 · per match 2.6 for, 1.2 against

31 Oct	A	FC Cincinnati	0-1	L
29 Oct	A	Nashville SC	0-0	D
24 Oct	H	New England Revolution	1-2	L
17 Oct	H	Charlotte	2-2	D
15 Oct	A	Chicago Fire	3-1	W
10 Oct	H	Real Salt Lake	2-1	W
26 Sep	H	Orlando City SC	4-2	W
20 Sep	A	Sporting Kansas City	4-3	W
14 Sep	A	San Diego	5-0	W
9 Sep	H	FC Cincinnati	5-0	W

Toronto FC

4W 1D 5L · goals 15:21 · per match 1.5 for, 2.1 against

1 Nov	A	Atlanta United FC	1-3	L
28 Oct	H	DC United	2-1	W
24 Oct	A	Columbus Crew	2-4	L
17 Oct	A	New York Red Bulls	2-0	W
14 Oct	H	Orlando City SC	3-3	D
10 Oct	H	CF Montreal	2-1	W
27 Sep	A	Nashville SC	0-2	L
20 Sep	A	St. Louis City	1-3	L
12 Sep	A	Orlando City SC	0-3	L
9 Sep	H	Nashville SC	2-1	W

Head to head

10Philadelphia Union wins

9draws

14Toronto FC wins

33 meetings · goals 48:49 · last 10: 3W 4D 3L for Philadelphia Union

22 Apr 2026Major League Soccer	Major League Soccer	Toronto FC3-3Philadelphia Union
9 Aug 2025Major League Soccer	Major League Soccer	Philadelphia Union1-1Toronto FC
28 May 2025Major League Soccer	Major League Soccer	Toronto FC1-2Philadelphia Union
13 Jul 2024Major League Soccer	Major League Soccer	Toronto FC2-1Philadelphia Union
29 May 2024Major League Soccer	Major League Soccer	Philadelphia Union0-0Toronto FC
30 Aug 2023Major League Soccer	Major League Soccer	Toronto FC3-1Philadelphia Union
22 Apr 2023Major League Soccer	Major League Soccer	Philadelphia Union4-2Toronto FC
9 Oct 2022Major League Soccer	Major League Soccer	Philadelphia Union4-0Toronto FC
16 Apr 2022Major League Soccer	Major League Soccer	Toronto FC2-1Philadelphia Union
27 Oct 2021Major League Soccer	Major League Soccer	Toronto FC2-2Philadelphia Union

Major League Soccer tableEastern Conferenceupdated 7 Nov 00:20 UTC

In the Major League Soccer table, Philadelphia Union sit 6th with 47 points from 33 games, while Toronto FC are 12th with 39 points from 33.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	33	22	8	3	69:25	+44	74
2	Inter Miami	33	16	11	6	77:56	+21	59
3	New England Revolution	33	18	4	11	55:46	+9	58
4	Chicago Fire	33	16	7	10	61:50	+11	55
5	Charlotte	33	15	8	10	63:48	+15	53
6	Philadelphia Union	33	13	8	12	62:51	+11	47
7	FC Cincinnati	33	12	10	11	67:73	-6	46
8	Columbus Crew	33	13	5	15	55:49	+6	44
9	Orlando City SC	33	12	7	14	62:78	-16	43
10	New York Red Bulls	33	11	6	16	45:62	-17	39
11	New York City FC	33	9	12	12	48:45	+3	39
12	Toronto FC	33	9	12	12	51:63	-12	39
13	Atlanta United FC	33	9	6	18	43:57	-14	33
14	DC United	33	7	12	14	39:60	-21	33
15	CF Montreal	33	6	8	19	37:67	-30	26

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg166%1.43X19%5.00215%6.09

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.43 → 1.43 0.0%X4.92 → 5.00 +1.6%25.90 → 6.09 +3.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.42	2.95	4.3%
Pinnacle	1.41	2.96	4.7%
Betfair	1.40	2.88	6.2%
Bet365	1.44	2.70	6.5%
BetVictor	1.40	2.80	7.1%
Marathonbet	1.39	2.59	10.6%
Best of all books	1.44	2.96	3.2%
Average	1.41	2.81	6.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.57	2.38	5.7%
Betano	1.55	2.35	7.1%
William Hill	1.55	2.30	8.0%
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.56	2.24	8.7%
BetVictor	1.53	2.30	8.8%
Best of all books	1.57	2.38	5.7%
Average	1.55	2.30	7.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Philadelphia Union 45%Draw 45%Toronto FC 10%

The statistical model rates Philadelphia Union at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Toronto FC at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.43 | 5.00 | 6.09, which imply roughly 69.9% for a Philadelphia Union win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Major League Soccer table: Philadelphia Union are 6th (47 pts, 62-51 goals), Toronto FC 12th (39 pts, 51-63).

Over their last five matches, Philadelphia Union averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Toronto FC averaged 2 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Philadelphia Union or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.43	5.00	6.09

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.12	2.69	1.15

Draw no bet

1	2
1.17	4.69

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.56	2.30

1st half

1	X	2
1.84	2.67	5.42

2nd half

1	X	2
1.72	3.08	4.95

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.01	16.2	41.9
HT X	4.53	8.26	13.6
HT 2	18.0	17.2	10.2

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.41	23.5	2.86

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	17.5
1.5	1.11	6.11
2.5	1.41	2.81
3.5	2.04	1.76
4.5	3.32	1.31
5.5	6.10	1.11
6.5	10.5	1.05
7.5	18.8	1.02
8.5	51.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.11	4.95
2	1.13	4.50
2.25	1.26	3.20
2.75	1.49	2.47
3	1.62	2.23
3.25	1.85	1.91
3.75	2.27	1.60
4	2.64	1.46
4.25	2.92	1.31
4.75	3.88	1.18
5	5.05	1.10
5.25	5.35	1.09
6	9.30	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.37	1.54
-1.5	2.11	1.71
-1.25	1.87	1.90
-1	1.65	2.19
-0.75	1.49	2.49
-0.5	1.41	2.85

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	6.13	1.08
-3.25	6.25	1.09
-3	5.93	1.10
-2.75	4.30	1.18
-2.5	3.46	1.25
-2.25	3.22	1.32
-2	2.93	1.38
-0.25	1.28	3.47
0	1.15	4.68
+0.25	1.13	5.23
+0.5	1.13	5.90
+1.5	1.03	10.5

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.40	2.81
3	1.55	2.38
3.5	1.88	1.87
4	2.46	1.52
4.5	2.87	1.38
5.5	3.20	1.32

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.02	10.1
6.5	1.08	6.85
7.5	1.17	4.40
8.5	1.33	3.01
9.5	1.58	2.25
10.5	1.96	1.77
11.5	2.52	1.46
12.5	3.36	1.27
13.5	4.70	1.15
14.5	6.25	1.10
15.5	8.50	1.05
16.5	10.0	1.03

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
9	1.43	2.66
10	1.80	1.99
11	2.31	1.56

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