Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls• Major League Soccer, USA

2.2:0.43-2FT01/11 · Geodis Park, Nashville1.8:1.6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.52BTNX5.10BTN25.81PINMargin at best2.6%Books9Markets80Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.52	5.10	5.80	2.6%
Dafabet	1.51	5.00	5.60	4.1%
Pinnacle	1.49	5.03	5.81	4.2%
Bet365	1.50	5.00	5.25	5.7%
BetVictor	1.45	4.80	5.75	7.2%
Marathonbet	1.46	4.85	5.45	7.5%
Betfair	1.44	5.00	5.50	7.6%
SBO	1.47	4.41	5.03	10.6%
William Hill	1.44	4.40	5.00	12.2%
Best of all books	1.52	5.10	5.81	2.6%
Average	1.48	4.84	5.47	6.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Nashville SCNew York Red Bulls

Last 1011Form pts · last 562.2Goals for · last 51.80.4Goals against · last 51.655Attack rating4580Defence rating2065Form rating3562H2H rating3882Goals model1866Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 06:02 UTC

Nashville SC

5W 4D 1L · goals 19:6 · per match 1.9 for, 0.6 against

29 Oct	H	Philadelphia Union	0-0	D
24 Oct	A	CF Montreal	2-0	W
18 Oct	A	San Jose Earthquakes	1-1	D
15 Oct	H	Sporting Kansas City	4-0	W
11 Oct	A	Austin	4-1	W
27 Sep	H	Toronto FC	2-0	W
20 Sep	H	Chicago Fire	3-0	W
12 Sep	A	Inter Miami	2-2	D
9 Sep	A	Toronto FC	1-2	L
4 Sep	A	New York City FC	0-0	D

New York Red Bulls

4W 1D 5L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against

28 Oct	A	New England Revolution	2-3	L
24 Oct	H	Inter Miami	2-0	W
17 Oct	H	Toronto FC	0-2	L
14 Oct	A	DC United	1-2	L
10 Oct	H	San Diego	4-1	W
30 Sep	H	St. Louis City	0-3	L
18 Sep	A	New York City FC	1-0	W
12 Sep	A	Columbus Crew	1-0	W
10 Sep	A	Los Angeles FC	0-2	L
6 Sep	A	Seattle Sounders	0-0	D

Head to head

2Nashville SC wins

4draws

5New York Red Bulls wins

11 meetings · goals 4:9 · last 10: 2W 4D 4L for Nashville SC

19 Aug 2026Major League Soccer	Major League Soccer	New York Red Bulls0-1Nashville SC
15 May 2025Major League Soccer	Major League Soccer	Nashville SC2-1New York Red Bulls
2 Mar 2025Major League Soccer	Major League Soccer	New York Red Bulls2-0Nashville SC
15 Jun 2024Major League Soccer	Major League Soccer	New York Red Bulls0-0Nashville SC
24 Feb 2024Major League Soccer	Major League Soccer	Nashville SC0-0New York Red Bulls
22 Oct 2023Major League Soccer	Major League Soccer	Nashville SC0-1New York Red Bulls
5 Mar 2023Major League Soccer	Major League Soccer	New York Red Bulls0-0Nashville SC
21 Jan 2023Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	New York Red Bulls1-0Nashville SC
21 Jan 2023Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Nashville SC0-1New York Red Bulls
7 Nov 2021Major League Soccer	Major League Soccer	Nashville SC1-1New York Red Bulls

Major League Soccer tableWestern Conferenceupdated 2 Nov 04:50 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	33	18	7	8	72:34	+38	61
2	FC Dallas	33	15	10	8	59:50	+9	55
3	San Jose Earthquakes	33	14	10	9	56:48	+8	52
4	St. Louis City	33	14	9	10	58:48	+10	51
5	Houston Dynamo	32	14	9	9	42:39	+3	51
6	Los Angeles FC	33	12	11	10	51:38	+13	47
7	Los Angeles Galaxy	33	11	11	11	49:55	-6	44
8	Colorado Rapids	33	12	7	14	46:47	-1	43
9	Seattle Sounders	33	11	10	12	42:45	-3	43
10	Real Salt Lake	33	12	6	15	51:51	0	42
11	Minnesota United FC	33	10	11	12	53:57	-4	41
12	Portland Timbers	32	11	7	14	57:60	-3	40
13	San Diego	33	9	11	13	57:62	-5	38
14	Austin	33	8	10	15	42:63	-21	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	33	6	5	22	39:81	-42	23

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg163%1.48X19%4.84217%5.47

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.50 → 1.48 -1.3%X4.61 → 4.84 +5.0%25.33 → 5.47 +2.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.37	3.15	4.7%
Pinnacle	1.35	3.26	4.7%
Bet365	1.36	3.10	5.8%
Betfair	1.36	3.10	5.8%
BetVictor	1.30	3.20	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.31	2.92	10.6%
Best of all books	1.37	3.26	3.7%
Average	1.34	3.12	6.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.47	2.63	6.1%
Betano	1.47	2.57	6.9%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
William Hill	1.44	2.62	7.6%
BetVictor	1.40	2.70	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.44	2.53	9.0%
Best of all books	1.53	2.70	2.4%
Average	1.46	2.57	7.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Nashville SC 45%Draw 45%New York Red Bulls 10%

The statistical model rated Nashville SC at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and New York Red Bulls at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.48 | 4.84 | 5.47, which imply roughly 67.6% for a Nashville SC win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Nashville SC averaged 2.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; New York Red Bulls averaged 1.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Nashville SC or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Nashville SC

4-3-3

Coach: B. Callaghan

Goalkeeper

99B. Schwake

Defence

31A. Najar
4J. Palacios
3M. Woledzi
27R. Baker-Whiting

Midfield

8P. Yazbek
16M. Corcoran
11E. Saad

Attack

7C. Espinoza
10H. Mukhtar
9S. Surridge

Substitutes (9)

1J. Willis
20E. Tagseth
19A. Muyl
14S. Mohammed
5J. Maher
41W. Madrigal
2D. Lovitz
22J. Bauer
6B. Acosta

New York Red Bulls

4-3-3

Coach: Michael Bradley

Goalkeeper

34E. Horvath

Defence

3J. Marshall-Rutty
26T. Parker
14J. Bazán
59D. Padelford

Midfield

15A. Mehmeti
60S. Kone
11J. Ruvalcaba

Attack

7C. Cowell
16J. Hall
17C. Harper

Substitutes (9)

45C. Faello
10E. Forsberg
91M. Jimenez
1A. Marcucci
77J. McCarthy
79R. Mosquera
8D. Ruíz
37M. Sofo
56M. Dos Santos

Match Statistics

Nashville SCNew York Red Bulls

2.92Expected Goals2.93

431Passes accurate243

19Shots insidebox11

2Shots outsidebox3

4Blocked Shots6

13Free Kicks4

7Shots on Goal4

2Goalkeeper Saves6

10Shots off Goal4

3Offsides0

505Total passes322

21Total Shots14

12Corner Kicks3

0Yellow Cards2

5Fouls13

0Red Cards0

61%Ball Possession39%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.48	4.84	5.47

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	2.54	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
1.20	4.23

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.46	2.57

1st half

1	X	2
1.90	2.71	5.00

2nd half

1	X	2
1.78	3.05	4.68

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.11	15.1	38.3
HT X	4.80	8.39	12.6
HT 2	17.5	16.6	9.06

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.42	25.0	2.70

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	18.2
1.5	1.09	6.86
2.5	1.34	3.12
3.5	1.91	1.88
4.5	3.02	1.36
5.5	5.29	1.14
6.5	9.83	1.06
7.5	17.0	1.02
8.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.07	5.75
2	1.09	5.30
2.25	1.20	3.70
2.75	1.45	2.57
3	1.52	2.47
3.25	1.71	2.09
3.75	2.05	1.71
4	2.40	1.54
4.25	2.56	1.40
4.75	3.28	1.25
5	4.20	1.15
5.25	4.50	1.13
6	7.70	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.46	1.50
-1.5	2.20	1.65
-1.25	1.96	1.81
-1	1.72	2.08
-0.75	1.55	2.35
-0.5	1.47	2.66

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	6.38	1.07
-3.25	6.28	1.09
-3	5.95	1.10
-2.75	4.30	1.17
-2.5	3.57	1.24
-2.25	3.37	1.30
-2	3.04	1.36
-0.25	1.33	3.17
0	1.20	4.23
+0.25	1.16	4.50
+0.5	1.17	5.00
+0.75	1.12	6.40
+1.5	1.03	10.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
2	1.20	4.11
2.5	1.48	2.57
3	1.81	1.98
3.5	2.10	1.69
4	3.21	1.31
4.5	3.11	1.34

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.02	13.9
5.5	1.05	8.30
6.5	1.11	5.42
7.5	1.24	3.66
8.5	1.45	2.54
9.5	1.80	1.94
10.5	2.24	1.59
11.5	3.04	1.32
12.5	4.19	1.18
13.5	5.90	1.11
14.5	8.13	1.05
15.5	10.8	1.02

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
9	1.50	2.45
10	1.91	1.89
11	2.46	1.50

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