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Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC• Major League Soccer, USA

1.6:2.23-1FT01/11 · Atlanta Stadium, Atlanta2.2:1.8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.20DAFX4.15PIN23.05BTNMargin at best2.3%Books9Markets75Rating46 · 54 levelExp. goals L53.9

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.174.152.983.7%
Dafabet2.204.002.954.4%
Betano2.124.003.055.0%
Bet3652.104.103.005.3%
BetVictor2.103.903.006.6%
Betfair2.104.002.887.3%
Marathonbet2.153.822.887.4%
William Hill2.103.702.8010.4%
SBO2.123.542.8011.1%
Best of all books2.204.153.052.3%
Average2.133.912.936.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Atlanta United FCToronto FC
Last 103Form pts · last 5101.6Goals for · last 52.22.2Goals against · last 51.842Attack rating5845Defence rating5523Form rating7762H2H rating3852Goals model4846Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 06:02 UTC

Atlanta United FC

2W 3D 5L · goals 15:18 · per match 1.5 for, 1.8 against

28 OctANew York City FC1-2L
24 OctHChicago Fire2-3L
17 OctHInter Miami1-3L
14 OctACF Montreal3-0W
10 OctHFC Cincinnati1-3L
26 SepHNew York City FC2-2D
20 SepAPortland Timbers1-0W
12 SepADC United0-0D
9 SepHOrlando City SC2-3L
5 SepAInter Miami2-2D

Toronto FC

4W 2D 4L · goals 18:22 · per match 1.8 for, 2.2 against

28 OctHDC United2-1W
24 OctAColumbus Crew2-4L
17 OctANew York Red Bulls2-0W
14 OctHOrlando City SC3-3D
10 OctHCF Montreal2-1W
27 SepANashville SC0-2L
20 SepASt. Louis City1-3L
12 SepAOrlando City SC0-3L
9 SepHNashville SC2-1W
5 SepHChicago Fire4-4D

Head to head

6Atlanta United FC wins
8draws
6Toronto FC wins

20 meetings · goals 29:29 · last 10: 3W 5D 2L for Atlanta United FC

25 Apr 2026Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerToronto FC1-2Atlanta United FC
24 Aug 2025Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerAtlanta United FC0-0Toronto FC
12 Jul 2025Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerToronto FC1-1Atlanta United FC
29 Jun 2024Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerAtlanta United FC2-1Toronto FC
23 Mar 2024Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerToronto FC2-0Atlanta United FC
15 Apr 2023Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerToronto FC2-2Atlanta United FC
5 Mar 2023Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerAtlanta United FC1-1Toronto FC
10 Sep 2022Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerAtlanta United FC4-2Toronto FC
25 Jun 2022Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerToronto FC2-1Atlanta United FC
30 Oct 2021Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerAtlanta United FC1-1Toronto FC

Major League Soccer tableWestern Conferenceupdated 2 Nov 00:50 UTC

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps33187872:34+3861
2FC Dallas331510859:50+955
3San Jose Earthquakes331410956:48+852
4St. Louis City331491058:48+1051
5Houston Dynamo32149942:39+351
6Los Angeles FC321211950:35+1547
7Los Angeles Galaxy3311111149:55-644
8Colorado Rapids331271446:47-143
9Seattle Sounders3311101242:45-343
10Real Salt Lake331261551:51042
11Portland Timbers321171457:60-340
12San Diego339111357:62-538
13Minnesota United FC329111250:56-638
14Austin338101542:63-2134
15Sporting Kansas City33652239:81-4223

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.13X24%3.91232%2.93

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

30 Oct 06:011 Nov 18:201 2.13X 3.912 2.93
12.16 → 2.13 -1.4%X3.90 → 3.91 +0.3%22.86 → 2.93 +2.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano1.472.774.1%
Pinnacle1.432.874.8%
Betfair1.402.886.2%
Bet3651.442.706.5%
BetVictor1.402.757.8%
Marathonbet1.392.5910.6%
Best of all books1.472.882.7%
Average1.422.766.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.402.886.2%
Betano1.422.727.2%
Bet3651.402.757.8%
BetVictor1.362.888.3%
William Hill1.402.708.5%
Marathonbet1.382.768.7%
Best of all books1.422.885.1%
Average1.392.787.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Atlanta United FC 35%Draw 35%Toronto FC 30%

The statistical model rated Atlanta United FC at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Toronto FC at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.13 | 3.91 | 2.93, which imply roughly 46.9% for a Atlanta United FC win versus the model's 35%.

Over their last five matches, Atlanta United FC averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Toronto FC averaged 2.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Atlanta United FC or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Atlanta United FC

4-3-3

Coach: G. Martino

Goalkeeper

  • 1L. Hoyos

Defence

  • 55T. Jacob
  • 27P. Díaz
  • 6J. Alonso
  • 3E. Báez

Midfield

  • 48C. Sanchez
  • 14M. Amaro
  • 11G. Galoppo

Attack

  • 59A. Miranchuk
  • 36B. Embolo
  • 10M. Almirón
Substitutes (9)
  • 7S. Alzate
  • 20L. Brennan
  • 47Matthew Edwards
  • 35A. Fortune
  • 16Adrian Gill
  • 42Jayden Hibbert
  • 8T. Muyumba
  • 22F. Picault
  • 30C. Togashi

Toronto FC

4-4-2

Coach: R. Fraser

Goalkeeper

  • 1L. Gavran

Defence

  • 22R. Laryea
  • 13B. Kuscevic
  • 15N. Gomis
  • 3Matheus Pereira

Midfield

  • 21J. Osorio
  • 6N. Dorsch
  • 10D. Mihailović
  • 20D. Sallói

Attack

  • 9J. Sargent
  • 7T. Corbeanu
Substitutes (9)
  • 17Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga
  • 96R. Chukwu
  • 71M. Cimermancic
  • 14Alonso Coello
  • 11D. Etienne
  • 38J. Gilman
  • 12Z. Monlouis
  • 90L. Morgan
  • 23W. Yarbrough

Match Statistics

Atlanta United FCToronto FC
4.29Expected Goals1.37
393Passes accurate404
16Shots insidebox11
4Shots outsidebox2
4Blocked Shots4
10Free Kicks13
8Shots on Goal3
2Goalkeeper Saves5
8Shots off Goal6
1Offsides0
467Total passes478
20Total Shots13
3Corner Kicks3
0Yellow Cards2
14Fouls10
0Red Cards0
48%Ball Possession52%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.133.912.93

Double chance

1XX212
1.361.681.22

Draw no bet

12
1.622.22

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.392.78

1st half

1X2
2.572.493.28

2nd half

1X2
2.372.803.05

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.3113.323.4
HT X5.896.907.49
HT 220.313.34.63

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.7422.02.05

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0217.0
1.51.125.96
2.51.422.76
3.52.081.73
4.53.421.29
5.56.321.10
6.511.81.04
7.520.51.02
8.551.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
1.751.114.95
21.134.55
2.251.263.20
2.751.502.43
31.652.19
3.251.861.90
3.752.301.57
42.791.41
4.252.921.31
4.753.851.18
55.001.10
5.255.301.09
69.20–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.401.53
-0.52.111.73
-0.251.861.91
01.622.24
+0.251.482.54
+0.51.402.91
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.512.01.02
-2.57.131.05
-2.256.801.10
-26.231.09
-1.754.451.17
-1.53.571.25
-1.253.251.31
-13.001.37
+0.751.283.46
+11.164.60
+1.251.145.00
+1.51.125.45
+1.751.086.75
+2.51.0310.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
2.51.313.26
31.422.76
3.51.692.11
42.121.68
4.52.331.56
53.391.28
5.53.051.35

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0214.0
5.51.049.00
6.51.086.18
7.51.203.98
8.51.382.80
9.51.682.09
10.52.111.66
11.52.801.38
12.53.841.21
13.55.551.12
14.57.751.06
15.510.41.02
3 more lines
LineOverUnder
91.452.58
101.921.86
112.341.55

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