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New England Revolution vs Inter Miami• Major League Soccer, USA

1.8:1.61-2FTToday · Boston Stadium, Boston2.2:1.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.08PINX4.15PIN22.20DAFMargin at best2.0%Books8Markets73Rating37 · 63Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle3.084.152.123.7%
Dafabet3.004.002.203.8%
Bet3653.004.102.105.3%
Betano2.954.002.155.4%
Betfair2.904.002.156.0%
BetVictor2.904.002.107.1%
Marathonbet2.843.882.157.5%
William Hill2.803.702.1010.4%
Best of all books3.084.152.202.0%
Average2.933.982.136.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

New England RevolutionInter Miami
Last 1012Form pts · last 5101.8Goals for · last 52.21.6Goals against · last 51.045Attack rating5538Defence rating6255Form rating457H2H rating9352Goals model4837Overall rating63

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 2 Nov 00:10 UTC

New England Revolution

7W 0D 3L · goals 18:17 · per match 1.8 for, 1.7 against

28 OctHNew York Red Bulls3-2W
24 OctAPhiladelphia Union2-1W
17 OctHChicago Fire1-0W
14 OctAFC Cincinnati3-2W
10 OctHSeattle Sounders0-3L
27 SepAReal Salt Lake0-3L
19 SepHOrlando City SC4-2W
13 SepAChicago Fire2-1W
10 SepANew York City FC2-1W
6 SepALos Angeles Galaxy1-2L

Inter Miami

4W 4D 2L · goals 19:12 · per match 1.9 for, 1.2 against

28 OctHFC Cincinnati2-2D
24 OctANew York Red Bulls0-2L
17 OctAAtlanta United FC3-1W
14 OctHNew York City FC2-0W
10 OctHDC United4-0W
27 SepAColumbus Crew1-2L
20 SepHSan Diego2-2D
17 SepHCruz Azul2-0W
12 SepHNashville SC2-2D
10 SepAChicago Fire1-1D

Head to head

3New England Revolution wins
1draws
7Inter Miami wins

11 meetings · goals 19:24 · last 10: 2W 1D 7L for New England Revolution

25 Apr 2026Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerInter Miami1-1New England Revolution
4 Oct 2025Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerInter Miami4-1New England Revolution
9 Jul 2025Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerNew England Revolution1-2Inter Miami
20 Oct 2024Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerInter Miami6-2New England Revolution
27 Apr 2024Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerNew England Revolution1-4Inter Miami
10 Jun 2023Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerNew England Revolution3-1Inter Miami
13 May 2023Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerInter Miami2-1New England Revolution
30 Apr 2022Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerNew England Revolution2-0Inter Miami
9 Apr 2022Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerInter Miami3-2New England Revolution
7 Nov 2021Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerNew England Revolution0-1Inter Miami

Major League Soccer tableWestern Conferenceupdated 2 Nov 04:50 UTC

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps33187872:34+3861
2FC Dallas331510859:50+955
3San Jose Earthquakes331410956:48+852
4St. Louis City331491058:48+1051
5Houston Dynamo32149942:39+351
6Los Angeles FC3312111051:38+1347
7Los Angeles Galaxy3311111149:55-644
8Colorado Rapids331271446:47-143
9Seattle Sounders3311101242:45-343
10Real Salt Lake331261551:51042
11Minnesota United FC3310111253:57-441
12Portland Timbers321171457:60-340
13San Diego339111357:62-538
14Austin338101542:63-2134
15Sporting Kansas City33652239:81-4223

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg133%2.89X23%4.01244%2.14

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

30 Oct 00:011 Nov 17:001 2.93X 3.982 2.13
12.70 → 2.93 +8.5%X3.98 → 3.98 0.0%22.25 → 2.13 -5.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.403.034.4%
Betano1.402.955.3%
Betfair1.363.105.8%
Bet3651.402.886.2%
BetVictor1.362.908.0%
Marathonbet1.352.7410.6%
Best of all books1.403.103.7%
Average1.382.936.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.363.105.8%
Betano1.372.927.2%
Bet3651.402.757.8%
William Hill1.362.908.0%
BetVictor1.333.008.5%
Marathonbet1.352.888.8%
Best of all books1.403.103.7%
Average1.362.937.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

New England Revolution 10%Draw 45%Inter Miami 45%

The statistical model rated New England Revolution at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Inter Miami at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.89 | 4.01 | 2.14, which imply roughly 24.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, New England Revolution averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Inter Miami averaged 2.2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Inter Miami.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

New England Revolution

4-2-3-1

Coach: M. Mićović

Goalkeeper

  • 30M. Turner

Defence

  • 12I. Feingold
  • 22E. Kohler
  • 66J. Wynder
  • 23W. Sands

Midfield

  • 8M. Polster
  • 21B. Raines
  • 25P. Miller
  • 10Carles Gil
  • 16D. Gazdag

Attack

  • 99D. Turgeman
Substitutes (9)
  • 88A. Farrell
  • 77D. Fagundez
  • 4T. Beason
  • 2M. Fofana
  • 41L. Langoni
  • 33D. Parisian
  • 7G. Yow
  • 14J. Yueill
  • 80A. Yusuf

Inter Miami

4-3-3

Coach: Kily González

Goalkeeper

  • 97D. St. Clair

Defence

  • 17I. Fray
  • 5Casemiro
  • 16Micael
  • 2G. Luján

Midfield

  • 7R. De Paul
  • 42Y. Bright
  • 8T. Segovia

Attack

  • 10L. Messi
  • 11Riquelme Fillipi
  • 19G. Berterame
Substitutes (9)
  • 9L. Suárez
  • 22D. Ayala
  • 37M. Falcón
  • 80M. Galarza
  • 20S. Morales
  • 4F. Mura
  • 56Daniel Pinter
  • 3Reguilón
  • 34R. Ríos Novo

Match Statistics

New England RevolutionInter Miami
1.25Expected Goals1.55
532Passes accurate424
11Shots insidebox8
2Shots outsidebox6
6Blocked Shots2
13Free Kicks5
3Shots on Goal6
3Goalkeeper Saves2
4Shots off Goal6
1Offsides0
579Total passes481
13Total Shots14
1Yellow Cards3
7Corner Kicks1
6Fouls16
0Red Cards0
54%Ball Possession46%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.933.982.13

Double chance

1XX212
1.671.381.23

Draw no bet

12
2.191.62

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.362.93

1st half

1X2
3.262.542.56

2nd half

1X2
2.942.872.38

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.5613.420.0
HT X7.607.095.93
HT 223.813.13.33

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.0124.01.74

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0217.5
1.51.106.34
2.51.382.93
3.51.971.81
4.53.181.33
5.55.681.13
6.510.31.05
7.517.31.02
8.529.01.01
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
1.751.095.30
21.114.85
2.251.233.42
2.751.472.50
31.572.33
3.251.761.98
3.752.181.63
42.571.48
4.252.741.35
4.753.581.21
54.651.12
5.254.901.11
68.501.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.901.40
-0.252.551.48
02.231.62
+0.251.901.85
+0.51.732.10
+0.751.532.39
16 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.513.01.01
-2.59.351.02
-29.001.01
-1.756.651.08
-1.55.421.12
-1.254.951.14
-14.311.19
-0.753.341.30
+11.372.94
+1.251.313.28
+1.51.253.52
+1.751.174.40
+21.106.10
+2.251.106.80
+2.51.066.80
+3.51.0212.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
31.303.24
3.51.522.44
41.871.92
4.52.101.70
52.961.36
5.52.671.44

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0211.6
5.51.067.65
6.51.135.02
7.51.283.29
8.51.542.33
9.51.921.83
10.52.471.48
11.53.421.26
12.54.721.14
13.57.001.08
14.59.251.04
15.511.91.02
2 more lines
LineOverUnder
91.682.13
102.151.67

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