Birzebbuga vs Mosta• Premier League, Malta

#111.6:1.419:00Today · Victor Tedesco Stadium, Hamrun1.2:2.6#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.38B365X3.40B36522.76PINMargin at best7.7%Books8Markets43Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.40	3.35	2.75	7.9%
Betano	2.40	3.30	2.70	9.0%
Pinnacle	2.31	3.31	2.76	9.7%
Betfair	2.20	3.50	2.63	12.0%
William Hill	2.30	3.10	2.75	12.1%
Bet365	2.38	3.40	2.45	12.2%
1xBet	2.26	3.35	2.62	12.3%
Marathonbet	2.26	3.35	2.62	12.3%
Best of all books	2.40	3.50	2.76	6.5%
Average	2.31	3.33	2.66	10.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BirzebbugaMosta

Last 10#11Table position#90.55Points per game1.276Form pts · last 531.6Goals for · last 51.21.4Goals against · last 52.657Attack rating4365Defence rating3567Form rating3380H2H rating2032Goals model6863Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 18:31 UTC

Birzebbuga

1W 3D 6L · goals 9:18 · per match 0.9 for, 1.8 against

31 Oct	A	Birkirkara	2-2	D
25 Oct	A	Gzira United	2-2	D
21 Oct	H	Marsaxlokk	2-0	W
18 Oct	A	Hibernians	0-1	L
9 Oct	A	Mosta	2-2	D
19 Sep	H	Valletta FC	0-3	L
11 Sep	H	Hamrun Spartans	0-2	L
5 Sep	A	Balzan FC	0-3	L
30 Aug	H	Sliema Wanderers	1-2	L
22 Aug	A	Zabbar St. Patrick	0-1	L

Mosta

2W 5D 3L · goals 13:20 · per match 1.3 for, 2.0 against

31 Oct	A	Zabbar St. Patrick	0-5	L
26 Oct	H	Hibernians	2-2	D
21 Oct	H	Valletta FC	0-2	L
18 Oct	A	Floriana	3-3	D
14 Oct	A	Gzira United	1-1	D
9 Oct	H	Birzebbuga	2-2	D
13 Sep	H	Sliema Wanderers	1-3	L
5 Sep	A	Marsaxlokk	1-1	D
30 Aug	H	Birkirkara	1-0	W
23 Aug	H	Balzan FC	2-1	W

Head to head

1Birzebbuga wins

1draws

0Mosta wins

2 meetings · goals 6:2 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for Birzebbuga

9 Oct 2026Premier League	Premier League	Mosta2-2Birzebbuga
17 Jul 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Mosta0-4Birzebbuga

Premier League tablePremier Division: First stage - Mainupdated 5 Nov 18:31 UTC

In the Premier League table, Birzebbuga sit 11th with 6 points from 11 games, while Mosta are 9th with 14 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Valletta FC	11	8	1	2	23:9	+14	25
2	Marsaxlokk	11	6	2	3	21:14	+7	20
3	Sliema Wanderers	11	5	3	3	15:14	+1	18
4	Hamrun Spartans	11	4	5	2	17:13	+4	17
5	Floriana	11	4	4	3	22:15	+7	16
6	Hibernians	11	4	4	3	13:15	-2	16
7	Birkirkara	11	4	3	4	14:11	+3	15
8	Zabbar St. Patrick	11	4	2	5	17:16	+1	14
9	Mosta	11	3	5	3	15:20	-5	14
10	Balzan FC	11	2	5	4	13:14	-1	11
11	Birzebbuga	11	1	3	7	9:21	-12	6
12	Gzira United	11	0	5	6	9:26	-17	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.30X27%3.30234%2.64

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.65 → 2.30 -13.2%X3.40 → 3.30 -2.9%22.30 → 2.64 +14.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.74	2.01	7.2%
Betfair	1.73	2.00	7.8%
Betano	1.72	2.00	8.1%
1xBet	1.71	1.98	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.71	1.98	9.0%
Best of all books	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Average	1.73	2.00	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.62	2.20	7.2%
William Hill	1.60	2.20	8.0%
1xBet	1.58	2.19	9.0%
Betano	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.15	9.8%
Best of all books	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Average	1.59	2.19	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Birzebbuga 45%Draw 45%Mosta 10%

The statistical model rates Birzebbuga at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Mosta at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.64, which imply roughly 43.5% for a Birzebbuga win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Birzebbuga are 11th (6 pts, 9-21 goals), Mosta 9th (14 pts, 15-20).

Over their last five matches, Birzebbuga averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Mosta averaged 1.2 scored and 2.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Birzebbuga or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.31	3.33	2.66

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.40	1.51	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.79	1.88

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.59	2.19

1st half

1	X	2
2.89	2.19	3.22

2nd half

1	X	2
2.63	2.50	2.95

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.77	13.7	25.0
HT X	5.90	5.27	6.47
HT 2	23.3	13.8	4.42

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.87	12.9	1.97

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	11.5
1.5	1.21	3.82
2.5	1.73	2.00
3.5	2.78	1.37
4.5	5.26	1.12
5.5	9.67	1.05

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	8.10
1.75	1.24	3.34
2	1.31	2.99
2.25	1.51	2.30
2.75	1.91	1.78
3	2.22	1.55
3.25	2.50	1.44
3.75	3.34	1.24
4	4.55	1.13
4.25	4.70	1.15

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.73	1.38
-0.5	2.33	1.56
-0.25	2.01	1.71
0	1.74	1.99
+0.25	1.54	2.30
+0.5	1.44	2.65

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.30	1.03
-2	7.10	1.05
-1.75	5.75	1.14
-1.5	4.48	1.16
-1.25	4.56	1.16
-1	3.59	1.23
+0.75	1.29	3.17
+1	1.16	4.40
+1.25	1.19	4.43
+1.5	1.11	5.28
+1.75	1.12	6.00
+2.5	1.01	11.0

Next Premier League matches

7 Nov	Floriana – Hibernians
7 Nov	Gzira United – Balzan FC

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

2 Nov	Gzira United 0-5 Marsaxlokk
1 Nov	Floriana 0-1 Valletta FC
31 Oct	Balzan FC 1-2 Hibernians
31 Oct	Sliema Wanderers 1-1 Hamrun Spartans
31 Oct	Birkirkara 2-2 Birzebbuga
31 Oct	Zabbar St. Patrick 5-0 Mosta