Ferro Carril Oeste vs Gimnasia Y Tiro• Primera Nacional, Argentina

0.4:1.223:30Tomorrow · Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry, Buenos Aires1.0:1.6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.60BTNX3.63PIN27.36PINMargin at best3.6%Books10Markets80Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 20:06 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.59	3.55	6.40	6.7%
Pinnacle	1.54	3.57	7.23	6.8%
BetVictor	1.57	3.40	7.00	7.4%
Betano	1.60	3.35	6.60	7.5%
William Hill	1.55	3.40	7.00	8.2%
Bet365	1.57	3.30	6.50	9.4%
Betfair	1.55	3.50	6.00	9.8%
1xBet	1.51	3.44	6.53	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.50	3.44	6.20	11.9%
SBO	1.50	3.15	5.42	16.9%
Best of all books	1.60	3.57	7.23	4.3%
Average	1.55	3.41	6.49	9.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Ferro Carril OesteGimnasia Y Tiro

Last 105Form pts · last 540.4Goals for · last 51.01.2Goals against · last 51.629Attack rating7157Defence rating4356Form rating4480H2H rating2049Goals model5156Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Nov 00:01 UTC

Ferro Carril Oeste

3W 5D 2L · goals 6:8 · per match 0.6 for, 0.8 against

31 Oct	A	Acassuso	0-0	D
24 Oct	H	Chaco For Ever	0-3	L
18 Oct	H	Racing Cordoba	1-0	W
11 Oct	A	Central Norte	1-1	D
2 Oct	H	Deportivo Madryn	0-2	L
27 Sep	A	Defensores De Belgrano	1-0	W
19 Sep	H	Ciudad de Bolívar	1-0	W
13 Sep	A	Almirante Brown	0-0	D
4 Sep	H	Atletico Mitre	0-0	D
30 Aug	A	CA Estudiantes	2-2	D

Gimnasia Y Tiro

4W 2D 4L · goals 10:10 · per match 1.0 for, 1.0 against

1 Nov	H	Quilmes	0-1	L
25 Oct	A	Midland	0-3	L
17 Oct	H	Atlanta	3-1	W
11 Oct	A	Gimnasia Jujuy	2-2	D
4 Oct	A	San Martin Tucuman	0-1	L
27 Sep	H	Atletico DE Rafaela	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Agropecuario	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Tristan Suarez	0-0	D
6 Sep	A	Club Atlético Güemes	3-1	W
29 Aug	H	Chacarita Juniors	1-0	W

Head to head

1Ferro Carril Oeste wins

1draws

0Gimnasia Y Tiro wins

2 meetings · goals 2:1 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for Ferro Carril Oeste

5 Jul 2025Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Ferro Carril Oeste0-0Gimnasia Y Tiro
2 Mar 2025Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Gimnasia Y Tiro1-2Ferro Carril Oeste

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg159%1.54X27%3.42214%6.45

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.49 → 1.54 +3.4%X3.55 → 3.42 -3.7%27.22 → 6.45 -10.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.65	1.47	5.8%
Bet365	2.70	1.44	6.5%
Betfair	2.70	1.44	6.5%
Betano	2.65	1.45	6.7%
BetVictor	2.49	1.45	9.1%
1xBet	2.52	1.41	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.52	1.41	10.6%
Best of all books	2.70	1.47	5.1%
Average	2.60	1.44	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.62	1.44	7.6%
Betfair	2.75	1.40	7.8%
Betano	2.60	1.44	7.9%
1xBet	2.57	1.44	8.4%
BetVictor	2.55	1.44	8.7%
Marathonbet	2.57	1.42	9.3%
William Hill	2.50	1.44	9.4%
Best of all books	2.75	1.44	5.8%
Average	2.59	1.43	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ferro Carril Oeste 45%Draw 45%Gimnasia Y Tiro 10%

The statistical model rates Ferro Carril Oeste at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Gimnasia Y Tiro at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.54 | 3.42 | 6.45, which imply roughly 64.9% for a Ferro Carril Oeste win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Ferro Carril Oeste averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Gimnasia Y Tiro averaged 1 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Ferro Carril Oeste or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.55	3.41	6.49

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.08	2.28	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.16	4.65

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.59	1.43

1st half

1	X	2
2.20	1.96	6.96

2nd half

1	X	2
1.99	2.24	6.22

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.39	17.8	68.7
HT X	3.86	4.40	11.8
HT 2	32.2	18.4	11.6

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.47	6.20	3.67

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.08	6.35
1.5	1.52	2.39
2.5	2.60	1.44
3.5	5.29	1.13
4.5	10.9	1.03
5.5	22.0	1.01
6.5	50.5	–

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.08	5.70
1	1.10	5.00
1.25	1.31	2.98
1.75	1.67	2.05
2	1.94	1.77
2.25	2.25	1.56
2.75	3.09	1.29
3	4.25	1.15
3.25	4.70	1.12
3.75	6.60	1.05
4	8.60	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.83	1.38
-1.25	2.45	1.48
-1	2.07	1.69
-0.75	1.72	2.02
-0.5	1.56	2.36
-0.25	1.34	2.99

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	11.0	1.01
-2.75	7.90	1.02
-2.5	5.97	1.09
-2.25	5.58	1.10
-2	5.29	1.12
-1.75	3.57	1.25
0	1.15	4.91
+0.25	1.11	5.64
+0.5	1.12	6.40
+0.75	1.01	8.30
+1.5	1.01	21.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.01	7.07
6.5	1.15	4.09
7.5	1.37	2.75
8.5	1.67	2.07
9.5	2.10	1.66
10.5	2.76	1.35
11.5	3.90	1.17
12.5	6.09	1.04

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.02	6.78
6	1.03	6.48
6.25	1.09	4.94
6.75	1.17	3.88
7	1.20	3.66
7.25	1.28	3.08
7.75	1.42	2.57
8	1.44	2.58
8.25	1.59	2.20
8.75	1.78	1.92
9	1.88	1.88
9.25	2.01	1.71
9.75	2.29	1.53
10	2.42	1.50
10.25	2.67	1.39
10.75	3.14	1.27
11	3.64	1.20
11.25	3.82	1.18
11.75	4.64	1.11
12	5.66	1.06
12.25	5.88	1.05

Next Primera Nacional matches

14 Nov	Deportivo Madryn – Deportivo Maipu
14 Nov	Gimnasia Jujuy – Almirante Brown
15 Nov	Deportivo Moron – Colegiales
15 Nov	Godoy Cruz – Tristan Suarez

All Primera Nacional fixtures and the table

Latest Primera Nacional results

14 Nov	Temperley 1-2 Ciudad de Bolívar
14 Nov	Atlanta 1-1 CA Estudiantes
2 Nov	Chacarita Juniors 2-0 Nueva Chicago
2 Nov	Atletico DE Rafaela 0-0 Patronato
2 Nov	All Boys 1-0 CA Estudiantes
1 Nov	Gimnasia Y Tiro 0-1 Quilmes