Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato• Primera Nacional, Argentina

0.8:1.818:00Today · Estadio Nuevo Monumental, Rafaela1.0:0.8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.40PINX2.98PIN22.40BTNMargin at best4.6%Books10Markets73Rating54 · 46 levelExp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Nov 08:09 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.40	2.98	2.29	6.6%
BetVictor	3.30	2.88	2.38	7.0%
Dafabet	3.30	2.95	2.33	7.1%
Betano	3.15	2.90	2.40	7.9%
William Hill	3.25	2.80	2.30	10.0%
Bet365	3.20	2.90	2.25	10.2%
Betfair	3.20	2.80	2.30	10.4%
1xBet	3.12	2.90	2.27	10.6%
Marathonbet	3.04	2.90	2.25	11.8%
SBO	2.80	2.63	2.31	17.0%
Best of all books	3.40	2.98	2.40	4.6%
Average	3.18	2.86	2.31	9.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Atletico DE RafaelaPatronato

Last 104Form pts · last 560.8Goals for · last 51.01.8Goals against · last 50.844Attack rating5631Defence rating6940Form rating6080H2H rating2075Goals model2554Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 2 Nov 00:10 UTC

Atletico DE Rafaela

3W 2D 5L · goals 11:16 · per match 1.1 for, 1.6 against

24 Oct	A	Colegiales	1-1	D
17 Oct	H	Quilmes	1-0	W
10 Oct	A	Midland	0-4	L
4 Oct	H	Atlanta	2-3	L
27 Sep	A	Gimnasia Y Tiro	0-1	L
19 Sep	H	San Martin Tucuman	4-2	W
13 Sep	A	Gimnasia Jujuy	1-2	L
6 Sep	A	Agropecuario	0-2	L
29 Aug	H	Tristan Suarez	2-1	W
24 Aug	A	Club Atlético Güemes	0-0	D

Patronato

3W 3D 4L · goals 8:6 · per match 0.8 for, 0.6 against

25 Oct	H	Agropecuario	0-2	L
17 Oct	A	Tristan Suarez	0-1	L
11 Oct	H	Club Atlético Güemes	2-0	W
4 Oct	A	Chacarita Juniors	0-1	L
27 Sep	H	San Martin S.J.	3-0	W
21 Sep	A	Nueva Chicago	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Temperley	0-0	D
6 Sep	A	Deportivo Maipu	0-0	D
30 Aug	H	Almagro	0-1	L
26 Aug	H	Atlanta	2-0	W

Head to head

1Atletico DE Rafaela wins

1draws

0Patronato wins

2 meetings · goals 3:0 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for Atletico DE Rafaela

14 Jun 2026Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Patronato0-0Atletico DE Rafaela
17 Dec 2016Liga Profesional Argentina	Liga Profesional Argentina	Atletico DE Rafaela3-0Patronato

Primera Nacional tableGroup 1updated 2 Nov 01:40 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Godoy Cruz	36	19	9	8	53:33	+20	66
2	Ferro Carril Oeste	36	19	9	8	38:31	+7	66
3	Deportivo Moron	36	18	7	11	53:37	+16	61
4	Deportivo Madryn	36	16	12	8	52:31	+21	60
5	Colon Santa Fe	36	16	12	8	45:27	+18	60
6	Almirante Brown	36	13	12	11	30:26	+4	51
7	Ciudad de Bolívar	36	13	12	11	30:33	-3	51
8	CA Estudiantes	35	13	10	12	35:34	+1	49
9	Chaco For Ever	36	12	10	14	39:37	+2	46
10	Los Andes	36	9	16	11	27:26	+1	43
11	San Telmo	36	10	11	15	30:41	-11	41
12	Atletico Mitre	36	8	16	12	31:42	-11	40
13	Racing Cordoba	36	10	10	16	32:45	-13	40
14	Defensores De Belgrano	36	8	15	13	25:34	-9	39
15	Central Norte	36	7	17	12	23:32	-9	38
16	All Boys	35	7	17	11	21:30	-9	38
17	Acassuso	36	8	11	17	25:35	-10	35
18	San Miguel	36	6	15	15	27:42	-15	33

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg129%3.18X32%2.86239%2.31

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.55 → 3.18 -10.4%X3.03 → 2.86 -5.6%22.07 → 2.31 +11.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.88	1.40	6.2%
Betano	2.75	1.42	6.8%
Pinnacle	2.85	1.38	7.6%
BetVictor	2.90	1.36	8.0%
Betfair	2.88	1.36	8.3%
1xBet	2.74	1.35	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.74	1.35	10.6%
Best of all books	2.90	1.42	4.9%
Average	2.82	1.37	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.30	1.57	7.2%
William Hill	2.20	1.62	7.2%
Betano	2.22	1.60	7.5%
1xBet	2.23	1.57	8.5%
BetVictor	2.25	1.55	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.23	1.55	9.4%
Best of all books	2.30	1.62	5.2%
Average	2.24	1.58	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Atletico DE Rafaela 45%Draw 45%Patronato 10%

The statistical model rates Atletico DE Rafaela at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Patronato at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.18 | 2.86 | 2.31, which imply roughly 31.4% for a Atletico DE Rafaela win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Atletico DE Rafaela averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Patronato averaged 1 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Atletico DE Rafaela or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.18	2.86	2.31

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.51	1.31	1.33

Draw no bet

1	2
2.13	1.65

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.24	1.58

1st half

1	X	2
4.07	1.83	3.16

2nd half

1	X	2
3.66	2.06	2.85

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.27	15.0	36.7
HT X	6.58	3.88	5.17
HT 2	44.4	14.9	3.84

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.32	6.13	1.92

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.10	5.94
1.5	1.58	2.26
2.5	2.82	1.37
3.5	5.91	1.10
4.5	11.1	1.03
5.5	15.1	1.01

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.08	5.50
1	1.12	4.70
1.25	1.36	2.80
1.75	1.76	1.95
2	2.06	1.66
2.25	2.41	1.48
2.75	3.43	1.23
3	4.90	1.11
3.25	5.36	1.09
3.75	7.80	1.02
4	8.70	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	3.11	1.34
-0.25	2.68	1.40
0	2.18	1.61
+0.25	1.78	1.93
+0.5	1.57	2.29
+0.75	1.36	2.80

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	8.60	1.01
-1.5	8.10	1.02
-1.25	7.40	1.03
-1	6.25	1.07
-0.75	4.12	1.18
+1	1.18	4.06
+1.25	1.14	4.64
+1.5	1.09	5.30
+1.75	1.03	7.30
+2	1.01	9.50
+2.5	1.01	9.60

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.04	6.25
6.5	1.19	3.75
7.5	1.43	2.54
8.5	1.79	1.91
9.5	2.28	1.54
10.5	3.06	1.29
11.5	4.48	1.12
12.5	7.01	1.02

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.05	5.97
6	1.06	5.68
6.25	1.12	4.42
6.75	1.22	3.50
7	1.25	3.30
7.25	1.34	2.83
7.75	1.49	2.38
8	1.56	2.29
8.25	1.68	2.06
8.75	1.89	1.81
9	2.01	1.74
9.25	2.15	1.62
9.75	2.48	1.45
10	2.71	1.40
10.25	2.92	1.32
10.75	3.48	1.22
11	4.10	1.15
11.25	4.28	1.14
11.75	5.27	1.08
12	6.55	1.03
12.25	6.78	1.02

Next Primera Nacional matches

2 Nov	All Boys – CA Estudiantes
2 Nov	Chacarita Juniors – Nueva Chicago

All Primera Nacional fixtures and the table

Latest Primera Nacional results

1 Nov	Gimnasia Y Tiro 0-1 Quilmes
1 Nov	San Martin Tucuman 0-0 Colegiales
31 Oct	Colon Santa Fe 2-0 Defensores De Belgrano
31 Oct	Chaco For Ever 3-1 Racing Cordoba
31 Oct	Deportivo Moron 2-0 Ciudad de Bolívar
31 Oct	Los Andes 0-0 Atletico Mitre