Venados FC vs Monarcas• Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

#61.4:1.023:00Today · Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero1.2:1.6#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.21PINX3.70B36523.14PINMargin at best4.1%Books9Markets62Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 4 Nov 00:38 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.21	3.57	3.14	5.1%
Dafabet	2.18	3.55	3.05	6.8%
Bet365	2.20	3.70	2.88	7.2%
1xBet	2.16	3.52	3.01	7.9%
Marathonbet	2.14	3.52	2.99	8.6%
BetVictor	2.15	3.60	2.90	8.8%
Betano	2.18	3.55	2.87	8.9%
Betfair	2.15	3.50	2.88	9.8%
William Hill	2.10	3.40	2.80	12.7%
Best of all books	2.21	3.70	3.14	4.1%
Average	2.16	3.55	2.95	8.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Venados FCMonarcas

Last 10#6Table position#31.67Points per game1.739Form pts · last 551.4Goals for · last 51.21.0Goals against · last 51.654Attack rating4662Defence rating3864Form rating3650H2H rating5064Goals model3657Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 2 Nov 15:00 UTC

Venados FC

4W 3D 3L · goals 19:15 · per match 1.9 for, 1.5 against

31 Oct	A	Correcaminos Uat	0-0	D
24 Oct	H	Durango	3-2	W
18 Oct	A	Cancún	1-1	D
10 Oct	H	Leones Negros UDG	1-1	D
3 Oct	A	CA La Paz	2-1	W
26 Sep	H	Monarcas	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	Piratas	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	Tepatitlán	5-0	W
6 Sep	A	CDS Tampico Madero	3-4	L
29 Aug	A	Tlaxcala	1-3	L

Monarcas

5W 2D 3L · goals 15:11 · per match 1.5 for, 1.1 against

1 Nov	A	Durango	1-3	L
25 Oct	A	Tapatío	2-1	W
18 Oct	H	CDS Tampico Madero	1-2	L
10 Oct	A	Tepatitlán	1-1	D
4 Oct	H	Tlaxcala	1-1	D
26 Sep	A	Venados FC	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Leones Negros UDG	2-0	W
13 Sep	A	Mineros de Zacatecas	1-0	W
6 Sep	H	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	4-1	W
29 Aug	A	Dorados	1-0	W

Head to head

4Venados FC wins

5draws

6Monarcas wins

15 meetings · goals 18:21 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Venados FC

26 Sep 2026Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Venados FC2-1Monarcas
15 Feb 2026Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Monarcas2-1Venados FC
5 Sep 2025Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Venados FC2-2Monarcas
3 Mar 2025Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Monarcas1-0Venados FC
14 Sep 2024Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Venados FC2-1Monarcas
29 Mar 2024Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Monarcas3-4Venados FC
10 Nov 2023Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Monarcas1-1Venados FC
20 Oct 2023Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Venados FC2-1Monarcas
27 Jan 2023Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Monarcas1-0Venados FC
30 Jul 2022Liga de Expansión MX	Liga de Expansión MX	Venados FC0-2Monarcas

Liga de Expansión MX tablePrimera A: Aperturaupdated 3 Nov 15:10 UTC

In the Liga de Expansión MX table, Venados FC sit 6th with 25 points from 15 games, while Monarcas are 3rd with 26 points from 15.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	CA La Paz	15	9	3	3	36:18	+18	30
2	Leones Negros UDG	15	9	3	3	34:20	+14	30
3	Monarcas	15	8	2	5	26:19	+7	26
4	Piratas	15	7	4	4	27:15	+12	25
5	Cancún	15	7	4	4	28:18	+10	25
6	Venados FC	15	7	4	4	31:25	+6	25
7	Durango	15	7	3	5	21:15	+6	24
8	Tlaxcala	15	6	4	5	29:27	+2	22
9	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	15	7	1	7	15:25	-10	22
10	Mineros de Zacatecas	15	5	3	7	26:26	0	18
11	Tapatío	15	5	3	7	25:28	-3	18
12	Correcaminos Uat	15	4	5	6	21:24	-3	17
13	Dorados	15	4	4	7	23:32	-9	16
14	CDS Tampico Madero	15	4	3	8	15:25	-10	15
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	15	3	5	7	17:24	-7	14
16	Tepatitlán	15	2	1	12	11:44	-33	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.16X26%3.55231%2.95

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.31 → 2.16 -6.5%X3.34 → 3.55 +6.3%22.73 → 2.95 +8.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.61	2.31	5.4%
Bet365	1.60	2.30	6.0%
1xBet	1.54	2.36	7.3%
Marathonbet	1.54	2.36	7.3%
Betfair	1.57	2.25	8.1%
BetVictor	1.55	2.25	9.0%
Betano	1.53	2.27	9.4%
Best of all books	1.61	2.36	4.5%
Average	1.56	2.30	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.46	2.53	8.0%
Betfair	1.45	2.55	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.46	2.49	8.7%
Betano	1.47	2.45	8.8%
BetVictor	1.45	2.50	9.0%
William Hill	1.44	2.45	10.3%
Best of all books	1.47	2.55	7.2%
Average	1.46	2.49	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Venados FC 45%Draw 45%Monarcas 10%

The statistical model rates Venados FC at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Monarcas at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.16 | 3.55 | 2.95, which imply roughly 46.3% for a Venados FC win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga de Expansión MX table: Venados FC are 6th (25 pts, 31-25 goals), Monarcas 3rd (26 pts, 26-19).

Over their last five matches, Venados FC averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Monarcas averaged 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Venados FC or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.16	3.55	2.95

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.36	1.62	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.63	2.14

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.46	2.49

1st half

1	X	2
2.67	2.34	3.37

2nd half

1	X	2
2.42	2.71	3.06

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.41	13.3	25.4
HT X	5.78	6.04	7.14
HT 2	21.2	13.6	4.60

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.79	15.6	2.05

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.9
1.5	1.15	4.72
2.5	1.56	2.30
3.5	2.32	1.53
4.5	4.09	1.19
5.5	7.42	1.05

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.35
1.25	1.05	6.40
1.75	1.15	4.25
2	1.19	3.80
2.25	1.39	2.72
2.75	1.67	2.06
3	1.86	1.83
3.25	2.09	1.64
3.75	2.59	1.39
4	3.20	1.26
4.25	3.50	1.22
4.75	4.75	1.12
5	6.40	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.48	1.47
-0.5	2.14	1.65
-0.25	1.88	1.85
0	1.61	2.22
+0.25	1.45	2.56
+0.5	1.37	3.10

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.40	1.03
-2	6.70	1.05
-1.75	4.70	1.12
-1.5	3.74	1.19
-1.25	3.45	1.26
-1	3.11	1.31
+0.75	1.24	3.63
+1	1.11	4.90
+1.25	1.09	5.31
+1.5	1.08	5.70
+1.75	1.03	7.40
+2	1.01	10.5
+2.5	1.01	11.5

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.13	4.39
8.5	1.31	2.95
9.5	1.59	2.20
10.5	1.93	1.79
11.5	2.48	1.45
12.5	3.34	1.24
13.5	4.79	1.10
14.5	7.31	1.01

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.02	6.85
8	1.16	3.98
9	1.39	2.64
10	1.76	1.96
11	2.23	1.57
12	3.04	1.30
13	4.43	1.12
14	6.89	1.02

Next Liga de Expansión MX matches

5 Nov	Tlaxcala – CA La Paz
6 Nov	Cancún – Piratas

All Liga de Expansión MX fixtures and the table

Latest Liga de Expansión MX results

1 Nov	Leones Negros UDG 3-1 Tepatitlán
1 Nov	Cancún 2-0 CDS Tampico Madero
1 Nov	Piratas 1-1 Tapatío
31 Oct	CA La Paz 3-0 Dorados
31 Oct	Correcaminos Uat 0-0 Venados FC
30 Oct	Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-0 Mineros de Zacatecas