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Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz• Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

#82.2:1.001:05Tomorrow · Estadio Tlahuicole, Tlaxcala2.6:1.4#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.55DAFX3.75B36522.55PINMargin at best5.1%Books9Markets48Rating43 · 57Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 4 Nov 00:38 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.533.662.556.1%
Dafabet2.553.652.496.8%
Bet3652.453.752.458.3%
1xBet2.493.622.458.6%
Marathonbet2.493.622.458.6%
BetVictor2.453.702.458.7%
Betano2.473.552.479.1%
Betfair2.453.602.3810.6%
William Hill2.403.602.4011.1%
Best of all books2.553.752.555.1%
Average2.483.642.458.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

TlaxcalaCA La Paz
Last 10#8Table position#11.47Points per game2.0011Form pts · last 5102.2Goals for · last 52.61.0Goals against · last 51.446Attack rating5458Defence rating4252Form rating4825H2H rating7537Goals model6343Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 2 Nov 15:00 UTC

Tlaxcala

6W 3D 1L · goals 22:13 · per match 2.2 for, 1.3 against

31 OctACruz Azul Hidalgo2-0W
25 OctHCorrecaminos Uat2-0W
17 OctACA La Paz2-2D
10 OctHPiratas4-2W
4 OctAMonarcas1-1D
26 SepHCancún4-1W
20 SepATapatío0-4L
12 SepHCDS Tampico Madero3-1W
5 SepADurango1-1D
29 AugHVenados FC3-1W

CA La Paz

7W 2D 1L · goals 26:12 · per match 2.6 for, 1.2 against

31 OctHDorados3-0W
25 OctACDS Tampico Madero3-1W
17 OctHTlaxcala2-2D
9 OctATapatío4-2W
3 OctHVenados FC1-2L
25 SepAAlebrijes de Oaxaca3-1W
19 SepHCorrecaminos Uat3-1W
13 SepALeones Negros UDG2-2D
5 SepHMineros de Zacatecas3-0W
28 AugACancún2-1W

Head to head

1Tlaxcala wins
4draws
4CA La Paz wins

9 meetings · goals 14:19 · last 9: 1W 4D 4L for Tlaxcala

17 Oct 2026Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MXCA La Paz2-2Tlaxcala
8 Mar 2026Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MXCA La Paz2-0Tlaxcala
28 Sep 2025Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MXTlaxcala3-3CA La Paz
11 Jan 2025Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MXCA La Paz4-4Tlaxcala
27 Jul 2024Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MXTlaxcala0-2CA La Paz
17 Feb 2024Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MXTlaxcala2-3CA La Paz
27 Sep 2023Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MXCA La Paz1-0Tlaxcala
4 Apr 2023Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MXTlaxcala1-0CA La Paz
10 Aug 2022Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MXCA La Paz2-2Tlaxcala

Liga de Expansión MX tablePrimera A: Aperturaupdated 3 Nov 15:10 UTC

In the Liga de Expansión MX table, Tlaxcala sit 8th with 22 points from 15 games, while CA La Paz are 1st with 30 points from 15.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1CA La Paz1593336:18+1830
2Leones Negros UDG1593334:20+1430
3Monarcas1582526:19+726
4Piratas1574427:15+1225
5Cancún1574428:18+1025
6Venados FC1574431:25+625
7Durango1573521:15+624
8Tlaxcala1564529:27+222
9Alebrijes de Oaxaca1571715:25-1022
10Mineros de Zacatecas1553726:26018
11Tapatío1553725:28-318
12Correcaminos Uat1545621:24-317
13Dorados1544723:32-916
14CDS Tampico Madero1543815:25-1015
15Cruz Azul Hidalgo1535717:24-714
16Tepatitlán15211211:44-337

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.48X25%3.64238%2.45

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

2 Nov 15:004 Nov 02:301 2.48X 3.642 2.45
12.44 → 2.48 +1.6%X3.56 → 3.64 +2.2%22.45 → 2.45 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.462.646.4%
Bet3651.502.506.7%
Betfair1.402.757.8%
BetVictor1.402.708.5%
Betano1.442.529.1%
1xBet1.412.5210.6%
Marathonbet1.412.5210.6%
Best of all books1.502.753.0%
Average1.432.598.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.402.757.8%
1xBet1.392.778.0%
Betfair1.362.888.3%
BetVictor1.362.888.3%
Marathonbet1.392.728.7%
Betano1.382.729.2%
Best of all books1.402.886.2%
Average1.382.798.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Tlaxcala 10%Draw 45%CA La Paz 45%

The statistical model rates Tlaxcala at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and CA La Paz at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.48 | 3.64 | 2.45, which imply roughly 27.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga de Expansión MX table: Tlaxcala are 8th (22 pts, 29-27 goals), CA La Paz 1st (30 pts, 36-18).

Over their last five matches, Tlaxcala averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; CA La Paz averaged 2.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or CA La Paz and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.483.642.45

Double chance

1XX212
1.501.481.25

Draw no bet

12
1.851.84

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.382.79

1st half

1X2
2.912.412.86

2nd half

1X2
2.672.782.63

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.9312.521.2
HT X6.406.486.36
HT 221.213.23.84

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.9518.41.84

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0115.0
1.51.115.48
2.51.432.59
3.52.091.68
4.53.401.26
5.56.011.09
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0111.0
1.751.124.75
21.144.33
2.251.293.09
2.751.532.32
31.662.07
3.251.871.84
3.752.341.53
42.761.35
4.253.051.30
4.753.991.17
55.151.10
5.255.451.08
69.70–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.461.51
-0.252.151.63
01.871.87
+0.251.672.09
+0.51.502.47
+0.751.362.84
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.58.301.01
-27.701.02
-1.755.451.08
-1.54.351.14
-1.254.011.17
-13.691.22
-0.752.891.35
+11.233.65
+1.251.183.93
+1.51.154.25
+1.751.095.35
+21.037.50
+2.51.028.10

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
101.751.96

Next Liga de Expansión MX matches

4 NovVenados FC – Monarcas
6 NovCancún – Piratas

All Liga de Expansión MX fixtures and the table

Latest Liga de Expansión MX results

1 NovLeones Negros UDG 3-1 Tepatitlán
1 NovPiratas 1-1 Tapatío
1 NovCancún 2-0 CDS Tampico Madero
31 OctCA La Paz 3-0 Dorados
31 OctCorrecaminos Uat 0-0 Venados FC
30 OctAlebrijes de Oaxaca 1-0 Mineros de Zacatecas