Porongos vs 
Deportivo Maldonado• Copa Uruguay, Uruguay
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 21:09 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 10.0 | 5.40 | 1.27 | 7.3% |
| Betano | 9.50 | 4.90 | 1.28 | 9.1% |
| 1xBet | 12.5 | 5.05 | 1.21 | 10.4% |
| Pinnacle | 8.99 | 5.33 | 1.23 | 11.2% |
| Marathonbet | 11.8 | 5.05 | 1.20 | 11.6% |
| Bet365 | 8.00 | 4.75 | 1.28 | 11.7% |
| William Hill | 12.0 | 4.60 | 1.22 | 12.0% |
| Betfair | 10.0 | 5.00 | 1.20 | 13.3% |
| Best of all books | 12.5 | 5.40 | 1.28 | 4.6% |
| Average | 10.3 | 5.01 | 1.24 | 10.5% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 21:30 UTC
Porongos
2W 1D 3L · goals 8:13 · per match 1.3 for, 2.2 against
| 10 Sep | A | Albion FC | 0-4 | L |
| 6 Aug | H | Deportivo Maldonado | 2-2 | D |
| 15 Aug | A | Río Negro | 0-4 | L |
| 10 Aug | H | Juventud Unida | 3-1 | W |
| 17 Aug | A | Durazno | 1-2 | L |
| 3 Aug | H | Boquita | 2-0 | W |
Deportivo Maldonado
7W 1D 2L · goals 22:9 · per match 2.2 for, 0.9 against
| 24 Oct | H | Danubio | 2-1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Club Nacional | 2-3 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | Albion FC | 4-1 | W |
| 9 Oct | H | Liverpool Montevideo | 1-1 | D |
| 3 Oct | H | Central Espanol | 3-0 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Atletico Torque | 2-0 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Cerro | 2-1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Cerro Largo | 2-0 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Defensor Sporting | 0-1 | L |
| 9 Sep | H | Wanderers | 4-1 | W |
Head to head
1 meeting · goals 2:2 · last 1: 0W 1D 0L for Porongos
| 6 Aug 2025Copa Uruguay | Copa Uruguay | Porongos2-2Deportivo Maldonado |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 6.2% |
| Pinnacle | 1.60 | 2.21 | 7.7% |
| 1xBet | 1.59 | 2.17 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.59 | 2.17 | 9.0% |
| Betano | 1.60 | 2.15 | 9.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.62 | 2.25 | 6.2% |
| Average | 1.60 | 2.19 | 8.2% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 1.62 | 7.2% |
| 1xBet | 2.12 | 1.63 | 8.5% |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 1.67 | 8.7% |
| Betano | 2.00 | 1.70 | 8.8% |
| Marathonbet | 2.12 | 1.61 | 9.3% |
| Best of all books | 2.20 | 1.70 | 4.3% |
| Average | 2.10 | 1.65 | 8.4% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Porongos at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Deportivo Maldonado at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 10.34 | 5.01 | 1.24, which imply roughly 9.7% for a Porongos win versus the model's 50%.
Over their last five matches, Porongos averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Deportivo Maldonado averaged 3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Porongos or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 10.3 | 5.01 | 1.24 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.40 | 1.04 | 1.12 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 7.53 | 1.07 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.10 | 1.65 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 8.73 | 2.51 | 1.67 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 8.14 | 3.07 | 1.50 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 19.4 | 23.3 | 23.8 |
| HT X | 20.1 | 7.18 | 3.69 |
| HT 2 | 73.0 | 22.1 | 1.75 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.20 | 13.4 | 1.25 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 12.7 |
| 1.5 | 1.17 | 4.23 |
| 2.5 | 1.60 | 2.19 |
| 3.5 | 2.44 | 1.47 |
| 4.5 | 4.22 | 1.17 |
| 5.5 | 7.38 | 1.05 |
| 6.5 | 10.5 | 1.02 |
| 7.5 | 17.0 | – |
| 8.5 | 21.0 | – |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.02 | 9.10 |
| 1.25 | 1.07 | 5.90 |
| 1.75 | 1.19 | 3.85 |
| 2 | 1.25 | 3.35 |
| 2.25 | 1.41 | 2.58 |
| 2.75 | 1.74 | 1.95 |
| 3 | 1.95 | 1.73 |
| 3.25 | 2.18 | 1.56 |
| 3.75 | 2.84 | 1.34 |
| 4 | 3.58 | 1.21 |
| 4.25 | 3.93 | 1.18 |
| 4.75 | 5.35 | 1.09 |
| 5 | 7.40 | 1.03 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| +1.25 | 2.27 | 1.53 |
| +1.5 | 1.96 | 1.74 |
| +1.75 | 1.78 | 1.93 |
| +2 | 1.56 | 2.20 |
| +2.25 | 1.44 | 2.49 |
| +2.5 | 1.36 | 2.74 |
8 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| +0.25 | 5.00 | 1.10 |
| +0.75 | 3.21 | 1.26 |
| +1 | 2.87 | 1.33 |
| +2.75 | 1.25 | 3.28 |
| +3 | 1.14 | 4.33 |
| +3.25 | 1.12 | 4.70 |
| +3.5 | 1.10 | 5.05 |
| +3.75 | 1.05 | 6.45 |