Club Nacional vs Rentistas• Copa Uruguay, Uruguay

1.3:0.73-0FT15/10 · Gran Parque Central, Montevideo0.7:0.7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.54DAFX4.00BFR26.551XBMargin at best5.2%Books9Markets76Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L51.7

Price board · 1X2captured 15 Oct 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.54	4.00	5.80	7.2%
Betano	1.50	3.90	5.90	9.3%
1xBet	1.43	3.94	6.55	10.6%
Betfair	1.44	4.00	6.00	11.1%
BetVictor	1.44	3.80	6.50	11.1%
Bet365	1.50	3.75	5.50	11.5%
Marathonbet	1.42	3.94	6.25	11.8%
Pinnacle	1.39	3.95	6.15	13.5%
William Hill	1.44	3.60	6.00	13.9%
Best of all books	1.54	4.00	6.55	5.2%
Average	1.46	3.88	6.07	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Club NacionalRentistas

Last 1015Form pts · last 561.3Goals for · last 50.70.7Goals against · last 50.767Attack rating3350Defence rating5064Form rating3675H2H rating250Goals model066Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 19 Oct 10:50 UTC

Club Nacional

8W 2D 0L · goals 19:7 · per match 1.9 for, 0.7 against

15 Oct	H	Rentistas	3-0	W
11 Oct	A	Central Espanol	1-0	W
5 Oct	H	Atletico Torque	2-0	W
26 Sep	A	Cerro Largo	2-0	W
20 Sep	H	Defensor Sporting	3-2	W
16 Sep	A	Progreso	1-0	W
12 Sep	A	Wanderers	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Juventud	2-2	D
3 Sep	A	CA River Plate	3-2	W
30 Aug	A	Penarol	1-0	W

Rentistas

5W 1D 4L · goals 11:12 · per match 1.1 for, 1.2 against

15 Oct	A	Club Nacional	0-3	L
10 Oct	A	Paysandu	1-2	L
3 Oct	H	Sportivo Huracan	2-1	W
30 Sep	A	Cerro Largo	0-1	L
26 Sep	A	Uruguay Montevideo	3-1	W
20 Sep	H	Oriental	0-2	L
16 Sep	H	Plaza Colonia	2-1	W
13 Sep	A	Colón	1-0	W
6 Sep	H	Fenix	2-1	W
30 Aug	A	CA River Plate	0-0	D

Head to head

8Club Nacional wins

3draws

3Rentistas wins

14 meetings · goals 26:15 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Club Nacional

5 Aug 2022Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Club Nacional3-0Rentistas
12 Feb 2022Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Rentistas0-4Club Nacional
24 Oct 2021Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Club Nacional2-2Rentistas
27 Jun 2021Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Rentistas1-1Club Nacional
17 Jan 2021Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Club Nacional1-1Rentistas
14 Oct 2020Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Club Nacional0-1Rentistas
16 Feb 2020Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Rentistas2-0Club Nacional
28 May 2016Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Rentistas2-0Club Nacional
29 Nov 2015Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Club Nacional3-2Rentistas
26 Apr 2015Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Rentistas2-4Club Nacional

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg162%1.46X23%3.88215%6.07

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.46 → 1.46 0.0%X3.80 → 3.88 +2.1%26.20 → 6.07 -2.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Betfair	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Betano	1.93	1.78	8.0%
Pinnacle	1.89	1.81	8.2%
1xBet	1.88	1.79	9.1%
BetVictor	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Best of all books	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Average	1.90	1.80	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.20	1.62	7.2%
Betfair	2.00	1.73	7.8%
1xBet	2.04	1.68	8.5%
Betano	2.05	1.67	8.7%
BetVictor	2.00	1.70	8.8%
William Hill	2.00	1.70	8.8%
Marathonbet	2.04	1.66	9.3%
Best of all books	2.20	1.73	3.3%
Average	2.05	1.68	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Club Nacional 45%Draw 45%Rentistas 10%

The statistical model rated Club Nacional at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Rentistas at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.46 | 3.88 | 6.07, which imply roughly 68.5% for a Club Nacional win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Club Nacional averaged 1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game; Rentistas averaged 0.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Club Nacional or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.46	3.88	6.07

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.09	2.45	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.17	4.55

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.05	1.68

1st half

1	X	2
1.99	2.21	6.24

2nd half

1	X	2
1.83	2.57	5.60

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.13	17.2	52.6
HT X	4.03	5.90	13.0
HT 2	23.0	17.6	11.2

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.41	8.85	3.36

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.45
1.5	1.30	3.17
2.5	1.90	1.80
3.5	3.14	1.30
4.5	6.05	1.08
5.5	10.3	1.03
6.5	14.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	8.10
1	1.03	7.50
1.25	1.15	4.30
1.75	1.38	2.70
2	1.45	2.42
2.25	1.67	2.01
2.75	2.11	1.61
3	2.53	1.42
3.25	2.74	1.37
3.75	3.91	1.18
4	5.30	1.09
4.25	5.65	1.08
4.75	6.20	1.06
5	9.30	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.69	1.37
-1.5	2.23	1.58
-1.25	2.02	1.68
-1	1.78	1.93
-0.75	1.53	2.24
-0.5	1.40	2.60

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.75	7.30	1.03
-3.5	8.50	1.01
-3.25	7.23	1.04
-3	7.80	1.02
-2.75	5.40	1.09
-2.5	4.30	1.15
-2.25	3.64	1.22
-2	3.40	1.24
-0.25	1.26	3.20
0	1.12	4.75
+0.25	1.09	5.30
+0.75	1.02	7.80
+1	1.01	10.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.05	5.97
7.5	1.19	3.68
8.5	1.42	2.57
9.5	1.74	2.00
10.5	2.17	1.60
11.5	2.86	1.34
12.5	4.00	1.16
13.5	5.98	1.05

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.07	5.46
8	1.25	3.30
9	1.53	2.29
10	1.97	1.79
11	2.58	1.42
12	3.66	1.20
13	5.58	1.06

Next Copa Uruguay matches

21 Oct

Liverpool Montevideo – Cerro Largo

All Copa Uruguay fixtures and the table

Latest Copa Uruguay results

15 Oct	Central Espanol 0-6 Danubio
15 Oct	Deportivo Maldonado 4-1 Albion FC
14 Oct	Boston River 0-0 CA River Plate
7 Oct	Plaza Colonia 0-1 Juventud
7 Oct	Cerrito 2-2 Wanderers
30 Sep	Defensor Sporting 0-1 Plaza Colonia