Penarol vs Atletico Torque• Copa Uruguay, Uruguay

1.3:1.022:30Today · Montevideo1.7:1.3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.27BTNX3.40B36523.10DAFMargin at best5.7%Books9Markets66Rating65 · 35Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.19	3.40	3.15	6.8%
Betano	2.27	3.30	3.05	7.1%
Pinnacle	2.18	3.16	3.03	10.5%
1xBet	2.20	3.06	3.08	10.6%
BetVictor	2.20	3.25	2.90	10.7%
Betfair	2.15	3.30	2.90	11.3%
Bet365	2.15	3.40	2.80	11.6%
Marathonbet	2.18	3.06	3.00	11.9%
William Hill	2.25	3.00	2.80	13.5%
Best of all books	2.27	3.40	3.15	5.2%
Average	2.20	3.21	2.97	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PenarolAtletico Torque

Last 106Form pts · last 591.3Goals for · last 51.71.0Goals against · last 51.344Attack rating5657Defence rating4356Form rating4493H2H rating7100Goals model065Overall rating35

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 03:30 UTC

Penarol

5W 4D 1L · goals 15:7 · per match 1.5 for, 0.7 against

23 Oct	A	Juventud	0-0	D
18 Oct	A	Liverpool Montevideo	0-1	L
10 Oct	H	Progreso	1-1	D
4 Oct	A	Racing Montevideo	1-0	W
30 Sep	A	Atletico Torque	1-1	D
26 Sep	H	Boston River	2-1	W
24 Sep	A	Danubio	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Cerro	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	Albion FC	3-1	W
5 Sep	A	Danubio	4-0	W

Atletico Torque

4W 2D 4L · goals 15:15 · per match 1.5 for, 1.5 against

25 Oct	H	Cerro	3-1	W
21 Oct	H	Atletico-MG	2-0	W
18 Oct	A	Albion FC	1-2	L
14 Oct	A	Atletico-MG	0-3	L
9 Oct	H	Danubio	1-0	W
5 Oct	A	Club Nacional	0-2	L
30 Sep	H	Penarol	1-1	D
27 Sep	H	Deportivo Maldonado	0-2	L
24 Sep	H	Atenas	3-3	D
21 Sep	A	Central Espanol	4-1	W

Head to head

10Penarol wins

4draws

4Atletico Torque wins

18 meetings · goals 26:18 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for Penarol

30 Sep 2026Primera División	Primera División	Atletico Torque1-1Penarol
26 Aug 2026Copa Uruguay	Copa Uruguay	Penarol1-0Atletico Torque
7 Feb 2026Primera División	Primera División	Penarol3-1Atletico Torque
9 Nov 2025Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Atletico Torque0-2Penarol
17 May 2025Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Penarol2-1Atletico Torque
17 Apr 2024Copa Uruguay	Copa Uruguay	Penarol1-3Atletico Torque
18 Oct 2023Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Atletico Torque2-3Penarol
3 Jul 2023Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Penarol2-0Atletico Torque
12 Mar 2023Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Penarol2-2Atletico Torque
24 Sep 2022Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Penarol0-1Atletico Torque

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.21X28%3.20231%2.97

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.44 → 2.21 -9.4%X3.64 → 3.20 -12.1%22.38 → 2.97 +24.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Betano	1.90	1.87	6.1%
Pinnacle	1.91	1.85	6.4%
Betfair	1.85	1.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.85	1.82	9.0%
BetVictor	1.86	1.81	9.0%
Best of all books	1.95	1.87	4.8%
Average	1.88	1.84	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.70	2.05	7.6%
Betfair	1.73	2.00	7.8%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.68	2.04	8.5%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
William Hill	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.68	2.01	9.3%
Best of all books	1.80	2.20	1.0%
Average	1.69	2.03	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Penarol 45%Draw 45%Atletico Torque 10%

The statistical model rates Penarol at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Atletico Torque at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.21 | 3.20 | 2.97, which imply roughly 45.2% for a Penarol win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Penarol averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Atletico Torque averaged 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Penarol or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.20	3.21	2.97

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.34	1.56	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.64	2.15

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.69	2.03

1st half

1	X	2
2.80	2.11	3.53

2nd half

1	X	2
2.54	2.47	3.16

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.56	13.8	30.8
HT X	5.36	5.06	6.82
HT 2	25.4	14.0	4.90

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.83	9.55	2.17

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.48
1.5	1.26	3.40
2.5	1.88	1.84
3.5	3.07	1.32
4.5	5.85	1.09
5.5	9.18	1.03
6.5	12.7	1.01
7.5	21.0	–
8.5	21.0	–

15 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.70
1	1.04	7.10
1.25	1.15	4.34
1.75	1.32	2.96
2	1.43	2.57
2.25	1.65	2.07
2.75	2.10	1.64
3	2.49	1.46
3.25	2.78	1.36
3.75	3.69	1.20
4	4.95	1.11
4.25	5.25	1.09
4.75	5.40	1.09
5	8.70	1.01
5.25	6.60	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.55	1.43
-0.5	2.19	1.62
-0.25	1.90	1.80
0	1.65	2.13
+0.25	1.42	2.55
+0.5	1.34	2.97

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.30	1.02
-2	7.50	1.03
-1.75	5.20	1.10
-1.5	4.10	1.16
-1.25	3.70	1.20
-1	3.27	1.26
+0.75	1.21	3.59
+1	1.09	5.25
+1.25	1.08	5.70
+1.5	1.06	6.10
+1.75	1.02	7.90
+2	1.02	8.90
+2.5	1.02	8.60

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.03	6.32
6.5	1.22	3.75
7.5	1.44	2.57
8.5	1.80	1.92
9.5	2.32	1.55
10.5	3.16	1.30
11.5	4.43	1.12
12.5	6.92	1.02

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.06	5.75
7	1.24	3.32
8	1.56	2.25
9	2.01	1.71
10	2.74	1.36
11	4.06	1.16
12	6.47	1.03

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