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Deportivo La Guaira vs Aragua FC• Copa Venezuela, Venezuela

0.0:0.00-0LiveToday · Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, Caracas2.6:1.4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.60WHX3.64MAR25.261XBMargin at best9.0%Books6Markets57Rating83 · 17Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 20:29 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.563.645.2610.6%
Pinnacle1.583.545.1011.1%
Marathonbet1.543.645.1511.8%
William Hill1.603.405.0011.9%
Bet3651.573.604.7512.5%
BetVictor1.503.204.5020.1%
Best of all books1.603.645.269.0%
Average1.563.504.9612.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Deportivo La GuairaAragua FC
Last 101Form pts · last 5130.0Goals for · last 52.60.0Goals against · last 51.40Attack rating100100Defence rating00Form rating10093H2H rating70Goals model083Overall rating17

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 17:31 UTC

Deportivo La Guaira

3W 2D 5L · goals 17:14 · per match 1.7 for, 1.4 against

17 OctHTrujillanos FC1-2L
10 OctAPortuguesa FC0-0D
20 SepHDeportivo Tachira FC2-4L
15 SepACarabobo FC0-1L
12 SepHUCV0-2L
6 SepHAnzoátegui FC2-0W
3 SepAPuerto Cabello1-1D
30 AugHEstudiantes de Merida FC1-2L
22 AugARayo Zuliano4-1W
16 AugHZamora FC6-1W

Aragua FC

7W 3D 0L · goals 26:10 · per match 2.6 for, 1.0 against

18 OctADinamo de Puerto La Cruz2-2D
14 OctHCaracas FC3-1W
11 OctHMineros de Guyana3-0W
7 OctAFundación Lara Deportiva4-1W
4 OctAMarítimo3-0W
27 SepHAtletico Avila FC1-0W
20 SepABolívar1-1D
13 SepHPetare FC2-1W
9 SepAYaracuyanos FC5-2W
5 SepAMonagas II2-2D

Head to head

11Deportivo La Guaira wins
9draws
7Aragua FC wins

27 meetings · goals 33:23 · last 10: 5W 4D 1L for Deportivo La Guaira

27 Jun 2024Copa VenezuelaCopa VenezuelaAragua FC1-2Deportivo La Guaira
6 Jun 2024Copa VenezuelaCopa VenezuelaDeportivo La Guaira3-0Aragua FC
31 Jul 2022Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónAragua FC0-2Deportivo La Guaira
21 Apr 2022Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónDeportivo La Guaira3-3Aragua FC
11 Sep 2021Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónAragua FC0-1Deportivo La Guaira
22 Jul 2021Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónDeportivo La Guaira5-0Aragua FC
4 Jun 2021Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónAragua FC2-0Deportivo La Guaira
11 Apr 2021Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónDeportivo La Guaira0-0Aragua FC
6 Oct 2019Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónAragua FC0-0Deportivo La Guaira
14 Apr 2019Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónDeportivo La Guaira0-0Aragua FC

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg157%1.56X25%3.50218%4.96

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

20 Oct 17:3021 Oct 21:101 1.56X 3.502 4.96
11.61 → 1.56 -3.1%X3.86 → 3.50 -9.3%24.58 → 4.96 +8.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.951.855.3%
Pinnacle1.961.796.9%
1xBet1.941.749.0%
Marathonbet1.941.749.0%
BetVictor1.721.6219.9%
Best of all books1.961.855.1%
Average1.901.759.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.851.838.7%
1xBet1.951.748.8%
Marathonbet1.951.729.4%
BetVictor1.731.6219.5%
Best of all books1.951.835.9%
Average1.871.7311.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Deportivo La Guaira 50%Draw 50%Aragua FC 0%

The statistical model rates Deportivo La Guaira at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Aragua FC at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.56 | 3.50 | 4.96, which imply roughly 64.1% for a Deportivo La Guaira win versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, Deportivo La Guaira averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Aragua FC averaged 2.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Deportivo La Guaira or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.563.504.96

Double chance

1XX212
1.102.131.19

Draw no bet

12
1.233.20

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.871.73

1st half

1X2
2.112.165.29

2nd half

1X2
1.952.475.13

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.4016.742.0
HT X4.325.5710.7
HT 224.317.18.60

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.468.903.08

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.018.30
1.51.293.05
2.51.901.75
3.53.341.24
4.56.301.06
5.512.11.03
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.027.68
11.047.10
1.251.164.10
1.751.362.74
21.472.39
2.251.711.97
2.752.091.57
32.691.37
3.253.031.30
3.754.141.16
45.651.08
4.255.951.07
4.755.581.08
59.30–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.631.39
-1.252.321.50
-11.941.70
-0.751.731.91
-0.51.572.26
-0.251.372.71
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.59.601.02
-38.801.02
-2.756.551.05
-2.55.101.10
-2.254.751.12
-24.351.14
-1.753.061.29
01.193.86
+0.251.144.33
+0.751.066.98
+11.0110.2
+1.51.028.70

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
7.51.672.10
81.951.85

Next Copa Venezuela matches

21 OctPortuguesa FC – Zamora FC
21 OctPuerto Cabello – Rayo Zuliano
21 OctCarabobo FC – Mineros de Guyana
22 OctMetropolitanos FC – Anzoátegui FC
22 OctUCV – Club Atletico Barinas

All Copa Venezuela fixtures and the table

Latest Copa Venezuela results

14 OctDeportivo Lara 4-1 Urena SC
14 OctMonagas SC 2-1 Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz
14 OctTrujillanos FC 0-0 Rayo Zuliano
14 OctYaracuyanos FC 1-1 Fundación Lara Deportiva
14 OctAragua FC 3-1 Caracas FC
14 OctClub Atletico Barinas 3-0 Real Frontera