Aragua FC vs Caracas FC• Copa Venezuela, Venezuela

#22.2:1.43-1FTToday2.6:0.8#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.60DAFX3.75BFR25.861XBMargin at best6.2%Books9Markets49Rating36 · 64Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Oct 16:29 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.60	3.65	5.60	7.8%
1xBet	1.57	3.32	5.86	10.9%
Betano	1.53	3.55	5.70	11.1%
Betfair	1.55	3.75	5.00	11.2%
William Hill	1.57	3.60	5.00	11.5%
Marathonbet	1.55	3.32	5.70	12.2%
Pinnacle	1.55	3.30	5.65	12.5%
Bet365	1.57	3.60	4.75	12.5%
BetVictor	1.50	3.20	4.50	20.1%
Best of all books	1.60	3.75	5.86	6.2%
Average	1.55	3.48	5.31	11.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Aragua FCCaracas FC

Last 10#2Table position#11.40Points per game2.6013Form pts · last 572.2Goals for · last 52.61.4Goals against · last 50.846Attack rating5436Defence rating6435Form rating6550H2H rating507Goals model9336Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Oct 18:01 UTC

Aragua FC

7W 2D 1L · goals 24:9 · per match 2.4 for, 0.9 against

11 Oct	H	Mineros de Guyana	3-0	W
7 Oct	A	Fundación Lara Deportiva	4-1	W
4 Oct	A	Marítimo	3-0	W
27 Sep	H	Atletico Avila FC	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Bolívar	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Petare FC	2-1	W
9 Sep	A	Yaracuyanos FC	5-2	W
5 Sep	A	Monagas II	2-2	D
29 Aug	H	Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz	2-0	W
26 Aug	H	Yaracuyanos FC	1-2	L

Caracas FC

5W 3D 2L · goals 16:8 · per match 1.6 for, 0.8 against

11 Oct	H	Zamora FC	4-1	W
7 Oct	H	Yaracuyanos FC	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Anzoátegui FC	1-1	D
16 Sep	A	Metropolitanos FC	0-3	L
13 Sep	H	Monagas SC	0-1	L
9 Sep	A	Fundación Lara Deportiva	5-0	W
6 Sep	A	Trujillanos FC	1-0	W
2 Sep	H	Portuguesa FC	1-1	D
30 Aug	A	Deportivo Tachira FC	0-0	D
26 Aug	H	Fundación Lara Deportiva	3-1	W

Head to head

8Aragua FC wins

6draws

13Caracas FC wins

27 meetings · goals 25:40 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Aragua FC

24 Jun 2026Copa Venezuela	Copa Venezuela	Caracas FC1-1Aragua FC
25 Jun 2025Copa Venezuela	Copa Venezuela	Caracas FC4-0Aragua FC
18 Jun 2025Copa Venezuela	Copa Venezuela	Aragua FC2-1Caracas FC
18 Sep 2022Primera División	Primera División	Aragua FC4-2Caracas FC
26 Feb 2022Primera División	Primera División	Caracas FC1-0Aragua FC
8 Dec 2020Primera División	Primera División	Aragua FC0-0Caracas FC
12 Nov 2020Primera División	Primera División	Caracas FC0-1Aragua FC
6 Mar 2020Primera División	Primera División	Aragua FC0-1Caracas FC
22 Nov 2019Primera División	Primera División	Caracas FC2-0Aragua FC
18 Nov 2019Primera División	Primera División	Aragua FC3-1Caracas FC

Copa Venezuela tableRound 1 - Group Cupdated 14 Oct 21:01 UTC

In the Copa Venezuela table, Aragua FC sit 2nd with 7 points from 5 games, while Caracas FC are 1st with 13 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Caracas FC	5	4	1	0	13:4	+9	13
2	Aragua FC	5	2	1	2	11:7	+4	7
3	Yaracuyanos FC	5	2	0	3	10:10	0	6
4	Fundación Lara Deportiva	5	1	0	4	3:16	-13	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg157%1.56X26%3.43217%5.38

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.24 → 1.55 -30.8%X3.05 → 3.48 +14.1%23.23 → 5.31 +64.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Betfair	1.95	1.75	8.4%
Pinnacle	2.02	1.69	8.7%
1xBet	1.96	1.72	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.96	1.72	9.2%
Betano	1.91	1.72	10.5%
BetVictor	1.80	1.55	20.1%
Best of all books	2.02	1.90	2.1%
Average	1.93	1.72	9.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Betfair	1.57	2.25	8.1%
1xBet	1.96	1.73	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.96	1.70	9.8%
BetVictor	1.78	1.57	19.9%
Best of all books	1.96	2.25	-4.5%
Average	1.84	1.81	9.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Aragua FC 10%Draw 45%Caracas FC 45%

The statistical model rated Aragua FC at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Caracas FC at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.56 | 3.43 | 5.38, which imply roughly 29.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Copa Venezuela table: Aragua FC are 2nd (7 pts, 11-7 goals), Caracas FC 1st (13 pts, 13-4).

Over their last five matches, Aragua FC averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Caracas FC averaged 2.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Caracas FC and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.55	3.48	5.31

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.10	2.17	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.20	3.68

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.84	1.81

1st half

1	X	2
2.14	2.10	5.49

2nd half

1	X	2
1.91	2.47	5.31

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.42	16.9	54.3
HT X	4.26	5.35	11.1
HT 2	22.5	17.3	9.21

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.50	8.30	3.07

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	9.20
1.5	1.29	3.08
2.5	1.93	1.72
3.5	3.39	1.25
4.5	7.10	1.06
5.5	12.5	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.05	6.45
1.25	1.17	4.00
1.75	1.37	2.67
2	1.50	2.32
2.25	1.71	1.88
2.75	2.24	1.52
3	2.75	1.35
3.25	2.88	1.32
3.75	3.91	1.18
4	5.65	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.32	1.50
-1	1.98	1.70
-0.75	1.72	1.91
-0.5	1.67	1.98
-0.25	1.50	2.39
+0.5	1.65	2.18

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	9.65	1.01
-2.5	5.00	1.10
-2.25	4.80	1.12
-2	4.25	1.15
-1.75	3.13	1.27
-1.5	2.64	1.38
0	1.27	3.62
+0.25	1.37	3.32
+0.75	1.20	4.40
+1	1.09	6.93
+1.25	1.21	3.74
+1.5	1.02	9.00
+1.75	1.12	4.77
+2	1.02	8.95
+2.5	1.02	8.45

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8	1.85	1.95
8.5	2.10	1.67