Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Caracas FC• Copa Venezuela, Venezuela

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Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.85B365X3.40B36524.10MARMargin at best7.9%Books3Markets50Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	1.85	3.40	3.60	11.2%
Marathonbet	1.73	3.40	4.10	11.6%
Pinnacle	1.76	3.25	3.97	12.8%
Best of all books	1.85	3.40	4.10	7.9%
Average	1.78	3.35	3.89	11.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Estudiantes de Merida FCCaracas FC

Last 105Form pts · last 5100.0Goals for · last 52.60.0Goals against · last 51.20Attack rating100100Defence rating00Form rating10075H2H rating250Goals model066Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 17:31 UTC

Estudiantes de Merida FC

3W 4D 3L · goals 12:11 · per match 1.2 for, 1.1 against

18 Oct	H	Metropolitanos FC	2-2	D
11 Oct	A	Monagas SC	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Trujillanos FC	1-1	D
16 Sep	A	Portuguesa FC	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	Deportivo Tachira FC	2-0	W
7 Sep	A	Carabobo FC	0-1	L
3 Sep	H	UCV	1-1	D
30 Aug	A	Deportivo La Guaira	2-1	W
22 Aug	H	Puerto Cabello	1-1	D
15 Aug	H	Anzoátegui FC	1-0	W

Caracas FC

5W 2D 3L · goals 16:11 · per match 1.6 for, 1.1 against

18 Oct	A	Rayo Zuliano	2-1	W
14 Oct	A	Aragua FC	1-3	L
11 Oct	H	Zamora FC	4-1	W
7 Oct	H	Yaracuyanos FC	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Anzoátegui FC	1-1	D
16 Sep	A	Metropolitanos FC	0-3	L
13 Sep	H	Monagas SC	0-1	L
9 Sep	A	Fundación Lara Deportiva	5-0	W
6 Sep	A	Trujillanos FC	1-0	W
2 Sep	H	Portuguesa FC	1-1	D

Head to head

7Estudiantes de Merida FC wins

14draws

13Caracas FC wins

34 meetings · goals 39:55 · last 10: 3W 6D 1L for Estudiantes de Merida FC

3 Aug 2026Primera División	Primera División	Caracas FC2-2Estudiantes de Merida FC
1 Feb 2026Primera División	Primera División	Estudiantes de Merida FC2-2Caracas FC
10 Aug 2025Primera División	Primera División	Estudiantes de Merida FC1-0Caracas FC
1 Mar 2025Primera División	Primera División	Caracas FC0-0Estudiantes de Merida FC
15 Aug 2024Primera División	Primera División	Caracas FC2-3Estudiantes de Merida FC
24 Feb 2024Primera División	Primera División	Estudiantes de Merida FC1-1Caracas FC
5 Aug 2023Primera División	Primera División	Estudiantes de Merida FC0-2Caracas FC
9 Apr 2023Primera División	Primera División	Caracas FC2-2Estudiantes de Merida FC
14 Oct 2022Primera División	Primera División	Estudiantes de Merida FC1-1Caracas FC
7 Oct 2022Primera División	Primera División	Caracas FC1-2Estudiantes de Merida FC

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.69X26%3.38221%4.29

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.11 → 1.78 -15.6%X3.35 → 3.35 0.0%23.11 → 3.89 +25.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Pinnacle	1.99	1.71	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.96	1.72	9.2%
Best of all books	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Average	1.98	1.74	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Marathonbet	1.86	1.80	9.3%
Best of all books	1.86	1.80	9.3%
Average	1.86	1.80	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Estudiantes de Merida FC 45%Draw 45%Caracas FC 10%

The statistical model rates Estudiantes de Merida FC at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Caracas FC at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.69 | 3.38 | 4.29, which imply roughly 59.2% for a Estudiantes de Merida FC win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Estudiantes de Merida FC averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Caracas FC averaged 2.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Estudiantes de Merida FC or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.78	3.35	3.89

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.18	1.83	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.40	2.75

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.86	1.80

1st half

1	X	2
2.42	2.09	4.56

2nd half

1	X	2
2.13	2.42	4.25

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.81	16.3	37.5
HT X	4.60	5.25	8.60
HT 2	26.5	16.5	6.60

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.63	8.10	2.66

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	8.70
1.5	1.29	3.09
2.5	1.98	1.74
3.5	3.42	1.23
4.5	6.75	1.04

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	8.10
1	1.03	7.40
1.25	1.16	4.15
1.75	1.36	2.74
2	1.49	2.38
2.25	1.74	1.94
2.75	2.25	1.53
3	2.77	1.36
3.25	3.08	1.28
3.75	4.30	1.14
4	6.00	1.06
4.25	6.40	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.76	1.36
-1	2.42	1.47
-0.75	1.98	1.69
-0.5	1.87	1.90
-0.25	1.63	2.17
0	1.30	3.02

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	8.70	1.01
-2.5	6.60	1.05
-2.25	6.20	1.06
-2	5.75	1.07
-1.75	3.98	1.17
-1.5	3.14	1.27
+0.25	1.23	3.47
+0.75	1.09	5.30
+1	1.01	8.70
+1.25	1.01	8.50
+1.5	1.01	9.00

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.73	2.00
9	2.02	1.78

Next Copa Venezuela matches

21 Oct	Portuguesa FC – Zamora FC
21 Oct	Puerto Cabello – Rayo Zuliano
21 Oct	Carabobo FC – Mineros de Guyana
22 Oct	Metropolitanos FC – Anzoátegui FC
22 Oct	UCV – Club Atletico Barinas

All Copa Venezuela fixtures and the table

Latest Copa Venezuela results

14 Oct	Deportivo Lara 4-1 Urena SC
14 Oct	Monagas SC 2-1 Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz
14 Oct	Trujillanos FC 0-0 Rayo Zuliano
14 Oct	Yaracuyanos FC 1-1 Fundación Lara Deportiva
14 Oct	Aragua FC 3-1 Caracas FC
14 Oct	Club Atletico Barinas 3-0 Real Frontera