Sportivo Luqueno vs Deportivo Recoleta• Copa Paraguay, Paraguay

2.0:0.50-0LiveToday · Estadio Luis Alberto Salinas Tanasio, Luque2.5:0.5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.27DAFX3.35DAF23.10BVCMargin at best6.2%Books8Markets46Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 20:57 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.27	3.35	3.05	6.7%
BetVictor	2.15	3.25	3.10	9.5%
Pinnacle	2.13	3.27	3.05	10.3%
Betano	2.18	3.20	2.95	11.0%
Betfair	2.10	3.30	3.00	11.3%
Bet365	2.15	3.25	2.90	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.17	3.22	2.86	12.1%
William Hill	2.20	3.00	3.00	12.1%
Best of all books	2.27	3.35	3.10	6.2%
Average	2.17	3.23	2.99	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sportivo LuquenoDeportivo Recoleta

Last 104Form pts · last 552.0Goals for · last 52.50.5Goals against · last 50.544Attack rating5650Defence rating5050Form rating5093H2H rating70Goals model061Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 00:04 UTC

Sportivo Luqueno

2W 2D 6L · goals 10:18 · per match 1.0 for, 1.8 against

23 Oct	A	Libertad Asuncion	0-1	L
18 Oct	H	Club Sp. San Lorenzo	3-2	W
10 Oct	H	Cerro Porteno	0-3	L
5 Oct	A	Sportivo Trinidense	2-3	L
1 Oct	A	Olimpia	1-1	D
25 Sep	H	Club Guarani	0-1	L
20 Sep	H	Deportivo Recoleta	1-0	W
13 Sep	A	Olimpia	0-3	L
6 Sep	H	Sportivo Ameliano	1-2	L
1 Sep	A	2 de Mayo	2-2	D

Deportivo Recoleta

2W 2D 6L · goals 8:14 · per match 0.8 for, 1.4 against

24 Oct	A	2 de Mayo	1-1	D
16 Oct	H	Rubio NU	1-0	W
12 Oct	A	Nacional Asuncion	0-1	L
5 Oct	H	Libertad Asuncion	1-2	L
28 Sep	A	Club Sp. San Lorenzo	0-0	D
24 Sep	H	Guairena FC	3-1	W
20 Sep	A	Sportivo Luqueno	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Sportivo Trinidense	1-3	L
7 Sep	A	Club Guarani	0-2	L
3 Sep	H	Cerro Porteno	1-3	L

Head to head

5Sportivo Luqueno wins

2draws

0Deportivo Recoleta wins

7 meetings · goals 9:4 · last 7: 5W 2D 0L for Sportivo Luqueno

20 Sep 2026Division Profesional - Clausura	Division Profesional - Clausura	Sportivo Luqueno1-0Deportivo Recoleta
11 Apr 2026Division Profesional - Apertura	Division Profesional - Apertura	Sportivo Luqueno2-1Deportivo Recoleta
13 Feb 2026Division Profesional - Apertura	Division Profesional - Apertura	Deportivo Recoleta1-2Sportivo Luqueno
7 Nov 2025Division Profesional - Clausura	Division Profesional - Clausura	Deportivo Recoleta2-3Sportivo Luqueno
23 Aug 2025Division Profesional - Clausura	Division Profesional - Clausura	Sportivo Luqueno0-0Deportivo Recoleta
20 May 2025Division Profesional - Apertura	Division Profesional - Apertura	Sportivo Luqueno0-0Deportivo Recoleta
16 Mar 2025Division Profesional - Apertura	Division Profesional - Apertura	Deportivo Recoleta0-1Sportivo Luqueno

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.17X28%3.23230%2.99

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Pinnacle	1.97	1.78	6.9%
Betfair	1.91	1.80	7.9%
1xBet	1.92	1.76	8.9%
BetVictor	1.92	1.76	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.92	1.76	8.9%
Betano	1.90	1.75	9.8%
Best of all books	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Average	1.93	1.77	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.73	2.00	7.8%
BetVictor	1.75	1.95	8.4%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.72	1.93	10.0%
Best of all books	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Average	1.74	1.96	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sportivo Luqueno 45%Draw 45%Deportivo Recoleta 10%

The statistical model rates Sportivo Luqueno at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Deportivo Recoleta at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.17 | 3.23 | 2.99, which imply roughly 46.1% for a Sportivo Luqueno win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Sportivo Luqueno averaged 2 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Deportivo Recoleta averaged 2.5 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Sportivo Luqueno or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.17	3.23	2.99

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.32	1.57	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.60	2.20

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.74	1.96

1st half

1	X	2
2.75	2.11	3.59

2nd half

1	X	2
2.51	2.35	3.34

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.50	13.8	31.0
HT X	5.41	5.06	6.86
HT 2	25.5	14.0	4.86

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.82	9.00	2.16

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	9.33
1.5	1.27	3.33
2.5	1.93	1.77
3.5	3.39	1.26
4.5	6.80	1.06
5.5	13.3	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.40
1	1.02	7.70
1.25	1.14	4.30
1.75	1.35	2.82
2	1.46	2.43
2.25	1.70	1.99
2.75	2.18	1.58
3	2.64	1.40
3.25	3.00	1.31
3.75	4.10	1.16
4	5.70	1.08
4.25	6.05	1.06
5	10.5	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.54	1.43
-0.5	2.10	1.62
-0.25	1.87	1.82
0	1.67	2.11
+0.25	1.42	2.55
+0.5	1.33	2.97

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.50	1.03
-2	8.70	1.01
-1.75	5.70	1.08
-1.5	4.35	1.14
-1.25	3.92	1.18
-1	3.29	1.27
+0.75	1.22	3.50
+1	1.09	5.30
+1.25	1.07	5.80
+1.5	1.06	6.25
+1.75	1.01	8.40

Latest Copa Paraguay results

27 Oct	Libertad Asuncion 3-1 Independiente F.b.c.
14 Oct	Cerro Porteno 2-2 Club Sp. San Lorenzo
14 Oct	Atlético Tembetary 2-3 SOL DE America
1 Oct	Olimpia 1-1 Sportivo Luqueno
30 Sep	Cerro Porteno 2-1 Rubio NU
30 Sep	Independiente F.b.c. 2-2 Nacional Asuncion