Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno• Copa Paraguay, Paraguay

5.0:3.01-1FT01/10 · Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb2.0:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.40B365X4.991XB27.601XBMargin at best4.6%Books5Markets52Rating67 · 33Exp. goals L55.0

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Sep 16:37 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.49	4.50	6.40	5.0%
Betfair	1.40	4.20	6.50	10.6%
Betano	1.47	3.90	5.80	10.9%
Bet365	1.45	4.00	5.75	11.4%
Marathonbet	1.41	4.00	6.15	12.2%
Best of all books	1.49	4.50	6.50	4.7%
Average	1.44	4.12	6.12	9.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

OlimpiaSportivo Luqueno

Last 109Form pts · last 545.0Goals for · last 52.03.0Goals against · last 50.071Attack rating290Defence rating10050Form rating50100H2H rating00Goals model067Overall rating33

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:51 UTC

Olimpia

6W 4D 0L · goals 19:8 · per match 1.9 for, 0.8 against

11 Oct	A	Rubio NU	0-0	D
6 Oct	H	Nacional Asuncion	1-1	D
1 Oct	H	Sportivo Luqueno	1-1	D
28 Sep	A	Libertad Asuncion	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Club Sp. San Lorenzo	3-0	W
13 Sep	H	Sportivo Luqueno	3-0	W
6 Sep	A	Sportivo Trinidense	2-1	W
2 Sep	H	Club Guarani	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	Deportivo Recoleta	2-1	W
26 Aug	A	Cristóbal Colón JAS	5-3	W

Sportivo Luqueno

2W 2D 6L · goals 9:18 · per match 0.9 for, 1.8 against

10 Oct	H	Cerro Porteno	0-3	L
5 Oct	A	Sportivo Trinidense	2-3	L
1 Oct	A	Olimpia	1-1	D
25 Sep	H	Club Guarani	0-1	L
20 Sep	H	Deportivo Recoleta	1-0	W
13 Sep	A	Olimpia	0-3	L
6 Sep	H	Sportivo Ameliano	1-2	L
1 Sep	A	2 de Mayo	2-2	D
28 Aug	H	Rubio NU	2-1	W
24 Aug	A	Nacional Asuncion	0-2	L

Head to head

28Olimpia wins

5draws

5Sportivo Luqueno wins

38 meetings · goals 84:35 · last 10: 10W 0D 0L for Olimpia

13 Sep 2026Division Profesional - Clausura	Division Profesional - Clausura	Olimpia3-0Sportivo Luqueno
23 May 2026Division Profesional - Apertura	Division Profesional - Apertura	Sportivo Luqueno1-2Olimpia
17 Mar 2026Division Profesional - Apertura	Division Profesional - Apertura	Olimpia1-0Sportivo Luqueno
21 Nov 2025Division Profesional - Clausura	Division Profesional - Clausura	Sportivo Luqueno2-4Olimpia
30 Aug 2025Division Profesional - Clausura	Division Profesional - Clausura	Olimpia2-0Sportivo Luqueno
19 Apr 2025Division Profesional - Apertura	Division Profesional - Apertura	Olimpia3-1Sportivo Luqueno
9 Feb 2025Division Profesional - Apertura	Division Profesional - Apertura	Sportivo Luqueno0-1Olimpia
28 Nov 2024Division Profesional - Clausura	Division Profesional - Clausura	Sportivo Luqueno0-1Olimpia
15 Sep 2024Division Profesional - Clausura	Division Profesional - Clausura	Olimpia4-3Sportivo Luqueno
22 May 2024Division Profesional - Apertura	Division Profesional - Apertura	Sportivo Luqueno0-2Olimpia

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg168%1.34X20%4.54212%7.44

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.44 → 1.37 -4.9%X4.12 → 4.39 +6.6%26.12 → 6.96 +13.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
1xBet	1.84	1.96	5.4%
Marathonbet	1.77	1.90	9.1%
Betano	1.70	1.91	11.2%
Best of all books	1.90	1.96	3.7%
Average	1.80	1.92	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.76	10.0%
Best of all books	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Average	1.88	1.77	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Olimpia 45%Draw 45%Sportivo Luqueno 10%

The statistical model rated Olimpia at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Sportivo Luqueno at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.34 | 4.54 | 7.44, which imply roughly 74.6% for a Olimpia win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Olimpia averaged 5 goals scored and 3 conceded per game; Sportivo Luqueno averaged 2 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Olimpia and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.44	4.12	6.12

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.08	2.46	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
1.17	4.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.88	1.78

1st half

1	X	2
1.98	2.28	6.15

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.40	11.4	3.25

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	10.0
1.5	1.23	3.57
2.5	1.80	1.92
3.5	2.94	1.34
4.5	5.68	1.09
5.5	11.0	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.50
1	1.05	8.20
1.25	1.11	5.32
1.75	1.26	3.20
2	1.39	2.69
2.25	1.59	2.22
2.75	1.94	1.70
3	2.42	1.48
3.25	2.67	1.40
3.75	3.58	1.21
4	4.85	1.12
4.25	5.40	1.10
4.75	7.30	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.74	1.35
-1.5	2.30	1.49
-1.25	2.02	1.69
-1	1.75	1.90
-0.75	1.55	2.17
-0.25	1.27	3.14

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.40	1.01
-3	8.50	1.01
-2.75	5.70	1.08
-2.5	4.40	1.14
-2.25	4.00	1.17
-2	3.58	1.21
0	1.12	4.80
+0.25	1.09	5.40
+0.75	1.01	8.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9	1.82	1.98
9.5	2.00	1.74