Independiente F.b.c. vs Nacional Asuncion• Copa Paraguay, Paraguay

1.0:0.02-2FT30/092.0:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.60MARX3.921XB21.75BTNMargin at best4.4%Books5Markets48Rating36 · 64Exp. goals L51.5

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Sep 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	4.46	4.16	1.71	4.9%
Betano	4.20	3.60	1.75	8.7%
Betfair	4.20	3.60	1.70	10.4%
Bet365	4.00	3.50	1.73	11.4%
Marathonbet	4.35	3.58	1.63	12.3%
Best of all books	4.46	4.16	1.75	3.6%
Average	4.24	3.69	1.70	9.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Independiente F.b.c.Nacional Asuncion

Last 107Form pts · last 591.0Goals for · last 52.00.0Goals against · last 50.033Attack rating670Defence rating050Form rating5029H2H rating710Goals model036Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 01:40 UTC

Independiente F.b.c.

5W 2D 3L · goals 18:12 · per match 1.8 for, 1.2 against

23 Oct	H	Paraguari AC	1-3	L
20 Oct	A	Tacuary	2-3	L
10 Oct	H	Atlético Tembetary	3-0	W
6 Oct	A	Benjamín Aceval	3-2	W
30 Sep	H	Nacional Asuncion	2-2	D
25 Sep	H	Sportivo Carapeguá	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	12 de Junio VH	4-0	W
14 Sep	H	Encarnación	1-0	W
9 Sep	A	Deportivo Santani	2-1	W
4 Sep	H	Fernando De La Mora	0-0	D

Nacional Asuncion

6W 3D 1L · goals 17:5 · per match 1.7 for, 0.5 against

17 Oct	A	Club Guarani	2-0	W
12 Oct	H	Deportivo Recoleta	1-0	W
6 Oct	A	Olimpia	1-1	D
30 Sep	A	Independiente F.b.c.	2-2	D
25 Sep	H	Sportivo Ameliano	1-1	D
18 Sep	H	2 de Mayo	3-0	W
13 Sep	A	Rubio NU	1-0	W
7 Sep	A	Cerro Porteno	0-1	L
2 Sep	H	Libertad Asuncion	3-0	W
28 Aug	A	Club Sp. San Lorenzo	3-0	W

Head to head

2Independiente F.b.c. wins

1draws

5Nacional Asuncion wins

8 meetings · goals 8:16 · last 8: 2W 1D 5L for Independiente F.b.c.

7 Oct 2018Division Profesional - Clausura	Division Profesional - Clausura	Nacional Asuncion0-3Independiente F.b.c.
23 Jul 2018Division Profesional - Clausura	Division Profesional - Clausura	Independiente F.b.c.2-2Nacional Asuncion
20 Apr 2018Division Profesional - Apertura	Division Profesional - Apertura	Nacional Asuncion1-0Independiente F.b.c.
9 Feb 2018Division Profesional - Apertura	Division Profesional - Apertura	Independiente F.b.c.0-3Nacional Asuncion
4 Dec 2017Division Profesional - Clausura	Division Profesional - Clausura	Nacional Asuncion5-0Independiente F.b.c.
25 Sep 2017Division Profesional - Clausura	Division Profesional - Clausura	Independiente F.b.c.1-2Nacional Asuncion
16 Jun 2017Division Profesional - Apertura	Division Profesional - Apertura	Independiente F.b.c.0-2Nacional Asuncion
1 Apr 2017Division Profesional - Apertura	Division Profesional - Apertura	Nacional Asuncion1-2Independiente F.b.c.

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg121%4.42X26%3.49253%1.70

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.24 → 4.46 +5.2%X3.69 → 3.43 -7.0%21.70 → 1.71 +0.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.77	2.05	5.3%
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Betfair	1.73	2.00	7.8%
Marathonbet	1.74	1.94	9.0%
Betano	1.70	1.91	11.2%
Best of all books	1.80	2.05	4.3%
Average	1.75	1.98	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
1xBet	1.70	1.99	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.70	1.96	9.8%
Betano	1.67	1.95	11.2%
Best of all books	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Average	1.68	2.00	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Independiente F.b.c. 10%Draw 45%Nacional Asuncion 45%

The statistical model rated Independiente F.b.c. at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Nacional Asuncion at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.42 | 3.49 | 1.70, which imply roughly 28.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Independiente F.b.c. averaged 1 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Nacional Asuncion averaged 2 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Nacional Asuncion.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.24	3.69	1.70

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.98	1.16	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
3.09	1.32

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.68	2.00

1st half

1	X	2
4.57	2.25	2.29

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.67	12.8	1.50

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	11.0
1.5	1.22	3.71
2.5	1.75	1.98
3.5	2.78	1.37
4.5	5.10	1.11
5.5	8.47	1.04

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.90
1	1.02	8.10
1.25	1.11	5.42
1.75	1.25	3.28
2	1.34	2.87
2.25	1.56	2.30
2.75	1.92	1.74
3	2.26	1.54
3.25	2.61	1.42
3.75	3.42	1.23
4	4.50	1.15
4.25	5.17	1.11
4.75	7.00	1.04
5	8.60	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	3.28	1.25
+0.25	2.42	1.44
+0.75	1.80	1.89
+1	1.56	2.21
+1.25	1.41	2.52
+1.5	1.33	2.83

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.55	1.02
-1	8.35	1.05
-0.75	5.80	1.07
-0.25	3.82	1.19
+1.75	1.22	3.50
+2	1.11	4.90
+2.25	1.09	5.35
+2.5	1.07	5.75
+2.75	1.03	7.60

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.77	2.02

Next Copa Paraguay matches

27 Oct

Libertad Asuncion – Independiente F.b.c.

All Copa Paraguay fixtures and the table

Latest Copa Paraguay results

14 Oct	Cerro Porteno 2-2 Club Sp. San Lorenzo
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1 Oct	Olimpia 1-1 Sportivo Luqueno
30 Sep	Cerro Porteno 2-1 Rubio NU