Cerro Porteno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo• Copa Paraguay, Paraguay

1.5:0.522:30Today · Estadio Defensores del Chaco2.0:1.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.42B365X4.75B36527.601XBMargin at best4.6%Books9Markets58Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Oct 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.42	4.70	6.40	7.3%
Pinnacle	1.40	4.56	6.32	9.2%
BetVictor	1.36	4.60	7.00	9.6%
1xBet	1.33	4.45	7.60	10.8%
Betano	1.42	4.25	5.90	10.9%
Bet365	1.42	4.75	5.00	11.5%
William Hill	1.40	4.00	6.50	11.8%
Marathonbet	1.32	4.45	7.20	12.1%
Betfair	1.33	4.60	6.50	12.3%
Best of all books	1.42	4.75	7.60	4.6%
Average	1.38	4.48	6.49	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Cerro PortenoClub Sp. San Lorenzo

Last 109Form pts · last 561.5Goals for · last 52.00.5Goals against · last 51.043Attack rating5767Defence rating3350Form rating5085H2H rating1558Goals model4262Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Oct 16:20 UTC

Cerro Porteno

6W 2D 2L · goals 14:8 · per match 1.4 for, 0.8 against

10 Oct	A	Sportivo Luqueno	3-0	W
5 Oct	H	2 de Mayo	0-2	L
30 Sep	H	Rubio NU	2-1	W
26 Sep	A	Sportivo Trinidense	1-2	L
19 Sep	H	Rubio NU	1-0	W
12 Sep	A	Club Guarani	1-1	D
7 Sep	H	Nacional Asuncion	1-0	W
3 Sep	A	Deportivo Recoleta	3-1	W
30 Aug	H	Libertad Asuncion	1-1	D
27 Aug	A	Resistencia	1-0	W

Club Sp. San Lorenzo

1W 3D 6L · goals 6:16 · per match 0.6 for, 1.6 against

10 Oct	H	Sportivo Trinidense	1-1	D
3 Oct	A	Club Guarani	1-1	D
28 Sep	H	Deportivo Recoleta	0-0	D
23 Sep	H	4 de Mayo	2-1	W
20 Sep	H	Olimpia	0-3	L
11 Sep	A	Sportivo Ameliano	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	2 de Mayo	1-2	L
1 Sep	A	Rubio NU	1-3	L
28 Aug	H	Nacional Asuncion	0-3	L
24 Aug	A	Libertad Asuncion	0-1	L

Head to head

5Cerro Porteno wins

3draws

2Club Sp. San Lorenzo wins

10 meetings · goals 18:10 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for Cerro Porteno

16 Aug 2026Division Profesional - Clausura	Division Profesional - Clausura	Cerro Porteno1-0Club Sp. San Lorenzo
28 Mar 2026Division Profesional - Apertura	Division Profesional - Apertura	Cerro Porteno2-0Club Sp. San Lorenzo
27 Jan 2026Division Profesional - Apertura	Division Profesional - Apertura	Club Sp. San Lorenzo2-4Cerro Porteno
13 Dec 2020Division Profesional - Clausura	Division Profesional - Clausura	Cerro Porteno1-1Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2 Oct 2020Division Profesional - Apertura	Division Profesional - Apertura	Club Sp. San Lorenzo1-1Cerro Porteno
2 Aug 2020Division Profesional - Apertura	Division Profesional - Apertura	Cerro Porteno4-1Club Sp. San Lorenzo
20 Oct 2019Division Profesional - Clausura	Division Profesional - Clausura	Cerro Porteno2-0Club Sp. San Lorenzo
28 Jul 2019Division Profesional - Clausura	Division Profesional - Clausura	Club Sp. San Lorenzo2-1Cerro Porteno
1 May 2019Division Profesional - Apertura	Division Profesional - Apertura	Cerro Porteno1-1Club Sp. San Lorenzo
26 Feb 2019Division Profesional - Apertura	Division Profesional - Apertura	Club Sp. San Lorenzo2-1Cerro Porteno

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg166%1.38X20%4.48214%6.49

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.37 → 1.38 +0.7%X4.46 → 4.48 +0.4%26.76 → 6.49 -4.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Pinnacle	1.59	2.25	7.3%
Betfair	1.57	2.25	8.1%
BetVictor	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Betano	1.55	2.20	10.0%
1xBet	1.54	2.19	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.54	2.19	10.6%
Best of all books	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Average	1.57	2.22	8.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.80	1.91	7.9%
BetVictor	1.75	1.95	8.4%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
1xBet	1.78	1.89	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.78	1.86	9.9%
Best of all books	1.80	1.95	6.8%
Average	1.77	1.91	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Cerro Porteno 45%Draw 45%Club Sp. San Lorenzo 10%

The statistical model rates Cerro Porteno at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Club Sp. San Lorenzo at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.38 | 4.48 | 6.49, which imply roughly 72.5% for a Cerro Porteno win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Cerro Porteno averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Club Sp. San Lorenzo averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Cerro Porteno or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.38	4.48	6.49

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.07	2.71	1.15

Draw no bet

1	2
1.16	4.66

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.77	1.91

1st half

1	X	2
1.85	2.43	6.19

2nd half

1	X	2
1.67	2.88	5.98

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.97	17.5	51.6
HT X	4.08	6.94	13.9
HT 2	21.0	18.1	11.7

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.35	15.4	3.22

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	11.7
1.5	1.14	4.64
2.5	1.57	2.22
3.5	2.40	1.49
4.5	4.45	1.15
5.5	8.48	1.03

15 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.95
1	1.02	9.30
1.25	1.05	6.55
1.75	1.17	4.00
2	1.24	3.48
2.25	1.40	2.64
2.75	1.70	1.99
3	1.91	1.77
3.25	2.17	1.59
3.75	2.84	1.34
4	3.58	1.21
4.25	3.92	1.18
4.75	5.35	1.09
5	7.50	1.03
5.25	7.80	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.36	1.51
-1.5	2.06	1.67
-1.25	1.83	1.87
-1	1.60	2.15
-0.75	1.45	2.49
-0.5	1.42	2.76

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	6.95	1.04
-3.25	6.33	1.08
-3	6.02	1.09
-2.75	4.31	1.17
-2.5	3.48	1.25
-2.25	3.13	1.30
-2	2.87	1.36
-0.25	1.25	3.49
0	1.12	5.27
+0.25	1.10	5.80
+0.5	1.15	5.50
+0.75	1.10	7.00
+1	1.01	11.5