Libertad Asuncion vs 
Independiente F.b.c.• Copa Paraguay, Paraguay
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 01:09 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 1.36 | 4.70 | 8.20 | 7.0% |
| Betano | 1.36 | 4.40 | 7.70 | 9.2% |
| Betfair | 1.30 | 4.75 | 8.00 | 10.5% |
| 1xBet | 1.30 | 4.50 | 8.70 | 10.6% |
| Bet365 | 1.36 | 4.50 | 6.50 | 11.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.28 | 4.50 | 8.20 | 12.5% |
| Best of all books | 1.36 | 4.75 | 8.70 | 6.1% |
| Average | 1.33 | 4.56 | 7.88 | 10.0% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 01:40 UTC
Libertad Asuncion
4W 3D 3L · goals 13:12 · per match 1.3 for, 1.2 against
| 23 Oct | H | Sportivo Luqueno | 1-0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Sportivo Trinidense | 0-1 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Club Guarani | 2-2 | D |
| 5 Oct | A | Deportivo Recoleta | 2-1 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Olimpia | 0-1 | L |
| 23 Sep | A | Fernando De La Mora | 1-1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Sportivo Ameliano | 1-1 | D |
| 11 Sep | A | 2 de Mayo | 2-0 | W |
| 6 Sep | H | Rubio NU | 4-2 | W |
| 2 Sep | A | Nacional Asuncion | 0-3 | L |
Independiente F.b.c.
5W 2D 3L · goals 18:12 · per match 1.8 for, 1.2 against
| 23 Oct | H | Paraguari AC | 1-3 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Tacuary | 2-3 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Atlético Tembetary | 3-0 | W |
| 6 Oct | A | Benjamín Aceval | 3-2 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Nacional Asuncion | 2-2 | D |
| 25 Sep | H | Sportivo Carapeguá | 0-1 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | 12 de Junio VH | 4-0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Encarnación | 1-0 | W |
| 9 Sep | A | Deportivo Santani | 2-1 | W |
| 4 Sep | H | Fernando De La Mora | 0-0 | D |
Head to head
8 meetings · goals 12:5 · last 8: 6W 0D 2L for Libertad Asuncion
| 22 Oct 2018Division Profesional - Clausura | Division Profesional - Clausura | Libertad Asuncion2-1Independiente F.b.c. |
| 3 Aug 2018Division Profesional - Clausura | Division Profesional - Clausura | Independiente F.b.c.1-0Libertad Asuncion |
| 3 Jun 2018Division Profesional - Apertura | Division Profesional - Apertura | Libertad Asuncion1-0Independiente F.b.c. |
| 29 Mar 2018Division Profesional - Apertura | Division Profesional - Apertura | Independiente F.b.c.3-1Libertad Asuncion |
| 13 Nov 2017Division Profesional - Clausura | Division Profesional - Clausura | Independiente F.b.c.0-1Libertad Asuncion |
| 3 Sep 2017Division Profesional - Clausura | Division Profesional - Clausura | Libertad Asuncion3-0Independiente F.b.c. |
| 24 Jun 2017Division Profesional - Apertura | Division Profesional - Apertura | Libertad Asuncion2-0Independiente F.b.c. |
| 7 Apr 2017Division Profesional - Apertura | Division Profesional - Apertura | Independiente F.b.c.0-2Libertad Asuncion |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.1% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 6.4% |
| Betano | 1.70 | 2.05 | 7.6% |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 2.10 | 8.2% |
| 1xBet | 1.67 | 2.03 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.67 | 2.03 | 9.1% |
| Best of all books | 1.70 | 2.10 | 6.4% |
| Average | 1.68 | 2.06 | 8.1% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 2.00 | 1.73 | 7.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.99 | 1.70 | 9.1% |
| Betano | 1.95 | 1.72 | 9.4% |
| Marathonbet | 1.99 | 1.68 | 9.8% |
| Best of all books | 2.00 | 1.73 | 7.8% |
| Average | 1.98 | 1.71 | 9.0% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Libertad Asuncion at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Independiente F.b.c. at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.33 | 4.56 | 7.88, which imply roughly 75.2% for a Libertad Asuncion win versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Libertad Asuncion averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Independiente F.b.c. averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Libertad Asuncion or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.33 | 4.56 | 7.88 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.06 | 2.97 | 1.13 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.12 | 5.35 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.98 | 1.71 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.81 | 2.39 | 7.10 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.59 | 2.88 | 6.90 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 1.90 | 18.5 | 59.2 |
| HT X | 3.84 | 6.70 | 15.8 |
| HT 2 | 22.0 | 19.7 | 14.2 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.32 | 12.6 | 3.62 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 10.3 |
| 1.5 | 1.20 | 3.84 |
| 2.5 | 1.68 | 2.06 |
| 3.5 | 2.65 | 1.40 |
| 4.5 | 4.88 | 1.13 |
| 5.5 | 8.48 | 1.03 |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.04 | 8.65 |
| 1.25 | 1.09 | 5.30 |
| 1.75 | 1.23 | 3.42 |
| 2 | 1.28 | 3.05 |
| 2.25 | 1.48 | 2.36 |
| 2.75 | 1.83 | 1.81 |
| 3 | 2.10 | 1.59 |
| 3.25 | 2.36 | 1.48 |
| 3.75 | 3.15 | 1.27 |
| 4 | 4.10 | 1.16 |
| 4.25 | 4.46 | 1.14 |
| 4.75 | 6.00 | 1.06 |
| 5 | 8.40 | 1.01 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2 | 2.66 | 1.37 |
| -1.75 | 2.20 | 1.55 |
| -1.5 | 1.97 | 1.75 |
| -1.25 | 1.72 | 1.93 |
| -1 | 1.48 | 2.33 |
| -0.75 | 1.38 | 2.67 |
10 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.75 | 8.10 | 1.02 |
| -3.5 | 6.40 | 1.05 |
| -3.25 | 6.05 | 1.06 |
| -3 | 5.70 | 1.08 |
| -2.75 | 4.11 | 1.16 |
| -2.5 | 3.28 | 1.25 |
| -2.25 | 2.98 | 1.30 |
| -0.25 | 1.17 | 3.96 |
| 0 | 1.05 | 6.45 |
| +0.25 | 1.04 | 7.10 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 1.81 | 1.92 |