OddsFilter

Defensor Sporting vs Plaza Colonia• Copa Uruguay, Uruguay

0.5:0.50-1FT30/091.5:1.5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.76PINX3.691XB24.841XBMargin at best4.6%Books3Markets40Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Sep 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.723.604.349.0%
Betfair1.623.505.0010.3%
Bet3651.673.504.3311.5%
Best of all books1.723.605.005.9%
Average1.673.534.5610.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Defensor SportingPlaza Colonia
Last 103Form pts · last 550.5Goals for · last 51.50.5Goals against · last 51.525Attack rating7575Defence rating2540Form rating6093H2H rating70Goals model062Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Oct 18:32 UTC

Defensor Sporting

2W 3D 5L · goals 11:15 · per match 1.1 for, 1.5 against

10 OctHCerro2-3L
3 OctAAlbion FC2-3L
30 SepHPlaza Colonia0-1L
27 SepHDanubio1-0W
20 SepAClub Nacional2-3L
13 SepHDeportivo Maldonado1-0W
9 SepACerro Largo1-1D
6 SepACentral Espanol1-1D
29 AugHAtletico Torque1-3L
25 AugHRentistas0-0D

Plaza Colonia

4W 2D 4L · goals 9:11 · per match 0.9 for, 1.1 against

7 OctHJuventud0-1L
4 OctHCerrito1-3L
30 SepADefensor Sporting1-0W
27 SepAAtenas0-0D
19 SepHPaysandu1-1D
16 SepARentistas1-2L
12 SepASportivo Huracan2-1W
7 SepHUruguay Montevideo1-0W
30 AugAOriental0-2L
26 AugHCerro Largo2-1W

Head to head

10Defensor Sporting wins
4draws
4Plaza Colonia wins

18 meetings · goals 26:18 · last 10: 7W 2D 1L for Defensor Sporting

23 Aug 2025Primera División - ClausuraPrimera División - ClausuraDefensor Sporting1-0Plaza Colonia
28 Jun 2025Primera División - AperturaPrimera División - AperturaDefensor Sporting1-1Plaza Colonia
23 Feb 2025Primera División - AperturaPrimera División - AperturaPlaza Colonia1-2Defensor Sporting
29 Feb 2024Copa UruguayCopa UruguayPlaza Colonia0-1Defensor Sporting
5 Nov 2023Primera División - ClausuraPrimera División - ClausuraPlaza Colonia0-2Defensor Sporting
25 Mar 2023Primera División - AperturaPrimera División - AperturaDefensor Sporting4-0Plaza Colonia
28 Aug 2022Primera División - ClausuraPrimera División - ClausuraPlaza Colonia0-1Defensor Sporting
24 Jul 2022Primera División - AperturaPrimera División - AperturaDefensor Sporting1-2Plaza Colonia
12 Mar 2022Primera División - AperturaPrimera División - AperturaDefensor Sporting0-0Plaza Colonia
7 Feb 2021Primera División - ClausuraPrimera División - ClausuraDefensor Sporting3-2Plaza Colonia

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.71X27%3.35220%4.65

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

28 Sep 03:1130 Sep 11:011 1.72X 3.342 4.54
11.67 → 1.72 +3.0%X3.53 → 3.34 -5.4%24.56 → 4.54 -0.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.351.576.2%
1xBet2.301.558.0%
Betfair2.401.508.3%
Best of all books2.401.575.4%
Average2.351.547.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3652.501.506.7%
1xBet2.161.637.6%
Best of all books2.501.631.3%
Average2.331.566.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Defensor Sporting 45%Draw 45%Plaza Colonia 10%

The statistical model rated Defensor Sporting at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Plaza Colonia at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.71 | 3.35 | 4.65, which imply roughly 58.5% for a Defensor Sporting win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Defensor Sporting averaged 0.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Plaza Colonia averaged 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Defensor Sporting or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.673.534.56

Double chance

1XX212
1.152.041.24

Draw no bet

12
1.303.40

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.331.57

1st half

1X2
2.352.015.42

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.577.003.00

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.067.30
1.51.442.61
2.52.351.54
3.54.371.18
4.58.451.04
5.512.01.01
6.517.0–
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.105.40
1.251.283.30
1.751.552.29
21.731.98
2.252.021.71
2.752.741.40
33.601.24
3.254.001.20
3.755.401.12
47.101.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.53.101.31
-1.252.751.40
-12.331.53
-0.751.931.81
-0.251.492.43
01.293.30
7 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.56.701.06
-25.601.10
-1.753.901.21
+0.251.223.80
+0.751.115.50
+11.038.50
+1.51.019.60