Cerrito vs Wanderers• Copa Uruguay, Uruguay

1.7:1.02-2FTToday · Montevideo1.0:2.7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.02PINX3.40B36523.70BVCMargin at best5.9%Books9Markets44Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Oct 16:50 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.05	3.40	3.50	6.8%
Pinnacle	2.06	3.32	3.27	9.2%
BetVictor	1.95	3.20	3.70	9.6%
1xBet	1.95	3.25	3.47	10.9%
Betano	2.02	3.20	3.30	11.1%
Bet365	1.85	3.40	3.60	11.2%
Marathonbet	1.93	3.25	3.38	12.2%
Betfair	1.91	3.10	3.60	12.4%
William Hill	2.00	3.00	3.30	13.6%
Best of all books	2.06	3.40	3.70	5.0%
Average	1.97	3.24	3.46	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CerritoWanderers

Last 108Form pts · last 581.7Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 52.763Attack rating3873Defence rating2786Form rating1429H2H rating710Goals model10059Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Oct 17:11 UTC

Cerrito

4W 2D 4L · goals 15:11 · per match 1.5 for, 1.1 against

4 Oct	A	Plaza Colonia	3-1	W
27 Sep	H	La Luz	1-2	L
23 Sep	A	Wanderers	3-1	W
20 Sep	H	CA River Plate	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	Atenas	0-0	D
10 Sep	A	Cerro	2-0	W
5 Sep	H	Paysandu	1-2	L
2 Sep	H	Deportivo Maldonado	0-2	L
29 Aug	A	Sportivo Huracan	1-2	L
22 Aug	H	Uruguay Montevideo	3-0	W

Wanderers

3W 3D 4L · goals 13:18 · per match 1.3 for, 1.8 against

4 Oct	A	Cerro	2-0	W
28 Sep	H	Albion FC	2-1	W
23 Sep	H	Cerrito	1-3	L
20 Sep	A	Danubio	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Club Nacional	1-1	D
9 Sep	A	Deportivo Maldonado	1-4	L
5 Sep	A	Deportivo Maldonado	0-2	L
1 Sep	H	Cerro	1-1	D
28 Aug	H	Central Espanol	3-0	W
23 Aug	A	Atletico Torque	1-5	L

Head to head

1Cerrito wins

1draws

4Wanderers wins

6 meetings · goals 7:10 · last 6: 1W 1D 4L for Cerrito

23 Sep 2026Copa Uruguay	Copa Uruguay	Wanderers1-3Cerrito
14 Oct 2022Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Wanderers2-1Cerrito
22 May 2022Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Cerrito0-2Wanderers
24 Oct 2021Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Cerrito2-2Wanderers
29 Jun 2021Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Wanderers1-0Cerrito
19 May 2012Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Cerrito1-2Wanderers

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg146%1.97X28%3.24226%3.46

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.97 → 1.94 -1.5%X3.32 → 3.25 -2.1%23.30 → 3.47 +5.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Pinnacle	2.19	1.64	6.6%
Betfair	2.10	1.65	8.2%
1xBet	2.12	1.62	8.9%
Marathonbet	2.12	1.62	8.9%
BetVictor	2.11	1.62	9.1%
Betano	2.12	1.60	9.7%
Best of all books	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Average	2.14	1.63	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.20	1.62	7.2%
Betfair	1.80	1.91	7.9%
BetVictor	1.93	1.78	8.0%
1xBet	1.88	1.79	9.1%
William Hill	1.85	1.80	9.6%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.76	10.0%
Best of all books	2.20	1.91	-2.2%
Average	1.92	1.78	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Cerrito 45%Draw 45%Wanderers 10%

The statistical model rated Cerrito at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Wanderers at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.97 | 3.24 | 3.46, which imply roughly 50.8% for a Cerrito win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Cerrito averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Wanderers averaged 1 scored and 2.7 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Cerrito or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.97	3.24	3.46

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.25	1.70	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.44	2.54

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.92	1.78

1st half

1	X	2
2.60	2.02	4.23

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.69	8.10	2.51

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	8.23
1.5	1.35	2.88
2.5	2.14	1.63
3.5	3.88	1.21
4.5	7.90	1.05
5.5	15.5	1.01
6.5	17.0	–

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	6.75
1.25	1.19	3.78
1.75	1.46	2.46
2	1.61	2.12
2.25	1.87	1.81
2.75	2.46	1.46
3	3.17	1.28
3.25	3.50	1.22
3.75	4.90	1.14
4	7.10	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.99	1.33
-0.75	2.30	1.52
-0.5	1.96	1.76
-0.25	1.71	1.99
0	1.44	2.51
+0.25	1.34	2.86

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.50	1.01
-2.25	6.30	1.09
-2	7.70	1.03
-1.75	5.00	1.10
-1.5	3.84	1.18
-1.25	3.42	1.23
+0.5	1.31	3.20
+0.75	1.18	4.20
+1	1.04	7.00
+1.25	1.10	5.80
+1.5	1.02	8.10