Negelle Arsi vs 
Adama Kenema• Premier League, Ethiopia
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 26 Oct 01:12 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 1.80 | 3.10 | 4.50 | 10.0% |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.00 | 4.60 | 10.6% |
| 1xBet | 1.75 | 3.08 | 4.69 | 10.9% |
| Betano | 1.83 | 3.00 | 4.35 | 11.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.73 | 3.08 | 4.55 | 12.2% |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.10 | 4.33 | 12.5% |
| Best of all books | 1.83 | 3.10 | 4.69 | 8.2% |
| Average | 1.78 | 3.06 | 4.50 | 11.2% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 17:30 UTC
Negelle Arsi
3W 5D 2L · goals 9:10 · per match 0.9 for, 1.0 against
| 21 Oct | A | Ethiopia Bunna | 3-0 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Mebrat Hayl | 0-0 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Kedus Giorgis | 1-1 | D |
| 1 Jul | A | Mekelle Kenema | 0-3 | L |
| 26 Jun | H | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 2-0 | W |
| 20 Jun | A | Sidama Bunna | 1-1 | D |
| 15 Jun | H | Awassa Kenema | 2-1 | W |
| 4 Jun | A | Welayta Dicha | 0-0 | D |
| 21 May | H | Suhul Shire | 0-0 | D |
| 14 May | A | Mekelakeya | 0-4 | L |
Adama Kenema
3W 4D 3L · goals 8:10 · per match 0.8 for, 1.0 against
| 22 Oct | A | Kedus Giorgis | 1-1 | D |
| 16 Oct | H | Sheger Ketema | 0-0 | D |
| 9 Oct | A | Mebrat Hayl | 1-0 | W |
| 2 Jul | A | Awassa Kenema | 3-2 | W |
| 28 Jun | H | Welayta Dicha | 0-2 | L |
| 21 Jun | A | Mekelle Kenema | 0-0 | D |
| 15 Jun | H | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 2-1 | W |
| 30 May | A | Sidama Bunna | 0-1 | L |
| 21 May | H | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | 0-0 | D |
| 16 May | A | Fasil Ketema | 1-3 | L |
Head to head
2 meetings · goals 4:2 · last 2: 2W 0D 0L for Negelle Arsi
| 5 Apr 2026Premier League | Premier League | Adama Kenema1-2Negelle Arsi |
| 20 Nov 2025Premier League | Premier League | Negelle Arsi2-1Adama Kenema |
Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 25 Oct 12:31 UTC
In the Premier League table, Negelle Arsi sit 4th with 5 points from 3 games, while Adama Kenema are 6th with 5 points from 3.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 7 |
| 2 | Bahardar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | +2 | 6 |
| 3 | Mekelakeya | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | +1 | 6 |
| 4 | Negelle Arsi | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:1 | +3 | 5 |
| 5 | Halaba Ketema | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | +1 | 5 |
| 6 | Adama Kenema | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 7 | Ethiopian Medhin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 4 |
| 8 | Hadiya Hosaena | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Mebrat Hayl | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Ethiopia Bunna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 12 | Kedus Giorgis | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
| 13 | Awassa Kenema | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | Fasil Ketema | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 | Welayta Dicha | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Sidama Bunna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Gamo Chencha | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.2% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 1.44 | 7.6% |
| 1xBet | 2.56 | 1.40 | 10.5% |
| Marathonbet | 2.56 | 1.40 | 10.5% |
| Best of all books | 2.62 | 1.44 | 7.6% |
| Average | 2.58 | 1.41 | 9.5% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.31 | 1.52 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 2.31 | 1.50 | 10.0% |
| Best of all books | 2.31 | 1.52 | 9.1% |
| Average | 2.31 | 1.51 | 9.5% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Negelle Arsi at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Adama Kenema at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.78 | 3.06 | 4.50, which imply roughly 56.2% for a Negelle Arsi win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Premier League table: Negelle Arsi are 4th (5 pts, 4-1 goals), Adama Kenema 6th (5 pts, 2-1).
Over their last five matches, Negelle Arsi averaged 1.3 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game; Adama Kenema averaged 0.7 scored and 0.3 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Negelle Arsi or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.78 | 3.06 | 4.50 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.14 | 1.84 | 1.29 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.31 | 3.18 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.31 | 1.51 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.48 | 1.89 | 5.33 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.22 | 2.14 | 4.93 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 2.74 | 16.8 | 60.3 |
| HT X | 4.23 | 4.03 | 9.32 |
| HT 2 | 34.0 | 17.3 | 7.97 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.57 | 6.50 | 3.02 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.05 | 6.50 |
| 1.5 | 1.51 | 2.32 |
| 2.5 | 2.58 | 1.41 |
| 3.5 | 5.30 | 1.09 |
| 4.5 | 11.0 | 1.01 |
10 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.07 | 5.75 |
| 1 | 1.11 | 4.95 |
| 1.25 | 1.30 | 2.98 |
| 1.75 | 1.65 | 2.01 |
| 2 | 1.91 | 1.73 |
| 2.25 | 2.26 | 1.53 |
| 2.75 | 3.15 | 1.27 |
| 3 | 4.45 | 1.14 |
| 3.25 | 4.91 | 1.11 |
| 3.75 | 7.10 | 1.04 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.25 | 3.05 | 1.29 |
| -1 | 2.62 | 1.40 |
| -0.75 | 2.02 | 1.64 |
| -0.5 | 1.79 | 1.92 |
| -0.25 | 1.50 | 2.28 |
| 0 | 1.25 | 3.28 |
9 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8.30 | 1.01 |
| -2.25 | 7.80 | 1.02 |
| -2 | 7.20 | 1.03 |
| -1.75 | 4.60 | 1.13 |
| -1.5 | 3.50 | 1.22 |
| +0.25 | 1.18 | 3.88 |
| +0.75 | 1.06 | 6.25 |
| +1 | 1.02 | 8.90 |
| +1.5 | 1.01 | 10.0 |
Next Premier League matches
| 26 Oct | Kedus Giorgis – Sheger Ketema |
| 27 Oct | Ethiopian Medhin – Mekelakeya |