Ethiopia Bunna vs Negelle Arsi• Premier League, Ethiopia

#61.0:1.012:00Tomorrow0.5:0.5#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.61PINX2.75BFR23.02PINMargin at best7.8%Books9Markets39Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L51.5

Price board · 1X2captured 20 Oct 17:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	2.55	2.70	3.00	9.6%
Dafabet	2.55	2.65	3.00	10.3%
Betfair	2.50	2.70	3.00	10.4%
Pinnacle	2.61	2.56	3.02	10.5%
Betano	2.55	2.65	2.95	10.8%
1xBet	2.55	2.59	3.02	10.9%
Bet365	2.55	2.60	3.00	11.0%
Marathonbet	2.53	2.59	2.93	12.3%
William Hill	2.50	2.45	3.00	14.1%
Best of all books	2.61	2.70	3.02	8.5%
Average	2.54	2.61	2.99	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Ethiopia BunnaNegelle Arsi

Last 10#6Table position#101.50Points per game1.008Form pts · last 561.0Goals for · last 50.51.0Goals against · last 50.567Attack rating3333Defence rating6760Form rating40100H2H rating00Goals model10059Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 11:30 UTC

Ethiopia Bunna

3W 3D 4L · goals 9:8 · per match 0.9 for, 0.8 against

17 Oct	A	Kedus Giorgis	2-1	W
11 Oct	H	Sheger Ketema	0-1	L
3 Jul	A	Welayta Dicha	0-0	D
26 Jun	H	Mekelle Kenema	3-0	W
20 Jun	A	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0-0	D
14 Jun	H	Sidama Bunna	1-2	L
28 May	A	Awassa Kenema	0-1	L
20 May	H	Fasil Ketema	2-1	W
14 May	A	Suhul Shire	0-1	L
9 May	H	Mekelakeya	1-1	D

Negelle Arsi

3W 5D 2L · goals 9:10 · per match 0.9 for, 1.0 against

16 Oct	A	Mebrat Hayl	0-0	D
10 Oct	A	Kedus Giorgis	1-1	D
1 Jul	A	Mekelle Kenema	0-3	L
26 Jun	H	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2-0	W
20 Jun	A	Sidama Bunna	1-1	D
15 Jun	H	Awassa Kenema	2-1	W
4 Jun	A	Welayta Dicha	0-0	D
21 May	H	Suhul Shire	0-0	D
14 May	A	Mekelakeya	0-4	L
11 May	H	Dire Dawa Kenema	3-0	W

Head to head

2Ethiopia Bunna wins

0draws

0Negelle Arsi wins

2 meetings · goals 3:1 · last 2: 2W 0D 0L for Ethiopia Bunna

26 Feb 2026Premier League	Premier League	Negelle Arsi0-1Ethiopia Bunna
23 Oct 2025Premier League	Premier League	Ethiopia Bunna2-1Negelle Arsi

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 20 Oct 16:00 UTC

In the Premier League table, Ethiopia Bunna sit 6th with 3 points from 2 games, while Negelle Arsi are 10th with 2 points from 2.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2	2	0	0	2:0	+2	6
2	Ethiopian Medhin	2	1	1	0	3:1	+2	4
3	Halaba Ketema	2	1	1	0	2:1	+1	4
4	Adama Kenema	2	1	1	0	1:0	+1	4
5	Sheger Ketema	2	1	1	0	1:0	+1	4
6	Ethiopia Bunna	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
7	Mekelakeya	2	1	0	1	1:1	0	3
8	Bahardar	2	1	0	1	1:1	0	3
9	Welayta Dicha	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
10	Negelle Arsi	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
11	Welwalo Adigrat Uni	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
12	Fasil Ketema	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
13	Kedus Giorgis	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
14	Awassa Kenema	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
15	Hadiya Hosaena	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
16	Mebrat Hayl	2	0	1	1	0:1	-1	1
17	Sidama Bunna	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
18	Gamo Chencha	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.55X34%2.65231%2.96

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.49 → 2.55 +2.4%X2.79 → 2.65 -5.0%22.86 → 2.96 +3.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	3.00	1.36	6.9%
BetVictor	3.10	1.33	7.4%
Betfair	3.00	1.33	8.5%
Pinnacle	3.22	1.29	8.6%
1xBet	2.97	1.30	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.97	1.30	10.6%
Best of all books	3.22	1.36	4.6%
Average	3.04	1.32	8.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.25	1.57	8.1%
BetVictor	2.40	1.50	8.3%
William Hill	2.38	1.50	8.7%
1xBet	2.34	1.51	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.34	1.49	9.8%
Best of all books	2.40	1.57	5.4%
Average	2.34	1.51	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ethiopia Bunna 45%Draw 45%Negelle Arsi 10%

The statistical model rates Ethiopia Bunna at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Negelle Arsi at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.55 | 2.65 | 2.96, which imply roughly 39.2% for a Ethiopia Bunna win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Ethiopia Bunna are 6th (3 pts, 2-2 goals), Negelle Arsi 10th (2 pts, 1-1).

Over their last five matches, Ethiopia Bunna averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Negelle Arsi averaged 0.5 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Ethiopia Bunna or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.54	2.61	2.99

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.31	1.42	1.39

Draw no bet

1	2
1.72	1.99

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.34	1.51

1st half

1	X	2
3.43	1.76	3.91

2nd half

1	X	2
3.04	1.96	3.51

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.33	14.9	44.6
HT X	5.44	3.50	6.20
HT 2	39.8	15.9	5.05

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.09	4.85	2.30

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.12	5.23
1.5	1.65	2.07
2.5	3.04	1.32
3.5	6.73	1.06
4.5	14.0	1.01

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.14	4.35
1	1.21	3.65
1.25	1.44	2.49
1.75	1.88	1.80
2	2.25	1.54
2.25	2.65	1.40
2.75	3.75	1.19
3	5.35	1.09
3.25	5.80	1.07
3.75	8.10	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	3.17	1.28
-0.5	2.55	1.44
-0.25	2.12	1.62
0	1.73	2.00
+0.25	1.46	2.46
+0.5	1.34	2.94

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	8.10	1.02
-1.5	5.95	1.07
-1.25	5.41	1.09
-1	4.80	1.11
+0.75	1.20	3.78
+1	1.06	6.05
+1.25	1.05	6.70
+1.5	1.03	7.30
+1.75	1.01	8.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.85	1.85

Latest Premier League results

20 Oct	Mebrat Hayl 1-0 Sheger Ketema
17 Oct	Awassa Kenema 1-1 Ethiopian Medhin
17 Oct	Kedus Giorgis 1-2 Ethiopia Bunna
16 Oct	Adama Kenema 0-0 Sheger Ketema
16 Oct	Mebrat Hayl 0-0 Negelle Arsi
11 Oct	Sidama Bunna 0-1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank