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Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelakeya• Premier League, Ethiopia

#71.5:0.512:00Tomorrow0.7:0.3#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.721XBX2.571XB22.721XBMargin at best12.4%Books1Markets10Rating51 · 49 levelExp. goals L51.5

Price board · 1X2captured 26 Oct 05:11 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.722.572.7212.4%
Best of all books2.722.572.7212.4%
Average2.722.572.7212.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Ethiopian MedhinMekelakeya
Last 10#7Table position#32.00Points per game2.004Form pts · last 571.5Goals for · last 50.70.5Goals against · last 50.360Attack rating4050Defence rating5040Form rating6050H2H rating500Goals model051Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 03:30 UTC

Ethiopian Medhin

2W 5D 3L · goals 8:10 · per match 0.8 for, 1.0 against

17 OctAAwassa Kenema1-1D
11 OctAGamo Chencha2-0W
1 JulAFasil Ketema0-1L
27 JunHSuhul Shire0-3L
21 JunAMekelakeya0-1L
14 JunHDire Dawa Kenema1-0W
30 MayAWelwalo Adigrat Uni1-1D
26 MayASidama Bunna2-2D
19 MayHWelayta Dicha0-0D
15 MayAMekelle Kenema1-1D

Mekelakeya

4W 2D 4L · goals 9:9 · per match 0.9 for, 0.9 against

22 OctAGamo Chencha1-0W
18 OctHEthiopia Nigd Bank0-1L
11 OctAAwassa Kenema1-0W
3 JulHHadiya Hosaena0-0D
28 JunASheger Ketema0-2L
21 JunHEthiopian Medhin1-0W
14 JunAKedus Giorgis0-3L
28 MayHArba Minch Kenema1-2L
19 MayABahardar1-1D
14 MayHNegelle Arsi4-0W

Head to head

2Ethiopian Medhin wins
2draws
4Mekelakeya wins

8 meetings · goals 5:6 · last 8: 2W 2D 4L for Ethiopian Medhin

21 Jun 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueMekelakeya1-0Ethiopian Medhin
26 Jan 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueEthiopian Medhin0-1Mekelakeya
10 Jun 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueEthiopian Medhin2-0Mekelakeya
11 Dec 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueMekelakeya0-0Ethiopian Medhin
13 Apr 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueMekelakeya1-2Ethiopian Medhin
1 Dec 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueEthiopian Medhin0-1Mekelakeya
20 Apr 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueEthiopian Medhin0-1Mekelakeya
6 Nov 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueMekelakeya1-1Ethiopian Medhin

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 25 Oct 12:31 UTC

In the Premier League table, Ethiopian Medhin sit 7th with 4 points from 2 games, while Mekelakeya are 3rd with 6 points from 3.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Ethiopia Nigd Bank32103:1+27
2Bahardar32014:2+26
3Mekelakeya32012:1+16
4Negelle Arsi31204:1+35
5Halaba Ketema31203:2+15
6Adama Kenema31202:1+15
7Ethiopian Medhin21103:1+24
8Hadiya Hosaena31112:204
9Mebrat Hayl31111:104
10Sheger Ketema31111:104
11Ethiopia Bunna31022:5-33
12Kedus Giorgis30213:4-12
13Awassa Kenema30212:3-12
14Fasil Ketema30211:2-12
15Welayta Dicha30212:4-22
16Welwalo Adigrat Uni10101:101
17Sidama Bunna10010:1-10
18Gamo Chencha20020:3-30

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg133%2.72X35%2.57233%2.72

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 12.4% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet3.961.199.3%
Best of all books3.961.199.3%
Average3.961.199.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet2.881.349.3%
Best of all books2.881.349.3%
Average2.881.349.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ethiopian Medhin 35%Draw 35%Mekelakeya 30%

The statistical model rates Ethiopian Medhin at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Mekelakeya at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.72 | 2.57 | 2.72, which imply roughly 36.8% for a Ethiopian Medhin win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Ethiopian Medhin are 7th (4 pts, 3-1 goals), Mekelakeya 3rd (6 pts, 2-1).

Over their last five matches, Ethiopian Medhin averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Mekelakeya averaged 0.7 scored and 0.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Ethiopian Medhin or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.722.572.72

Double chance

1XX212
1.321.321.36

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.881.34

1st half

1X2
3.671.733.67

2nd half

1X2
3.671.733.67

Match goals

LineOverUnder
11.273.26
1.51.861.80
22.931.33
2.53.961.19

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
01.831.83

Next Premier League matches

26 OctNegelle Arsi – Adama Kenema
26 OctKedus Giorgis – Sheger Ketema
26 OctGamo Chencha – Ethiopia Nigd Bank

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

22 OctWelayta Dicha 1-3 Bahardar
22 OctKedus Giorgis 1-1 Adama Kenema
22 OctAwassa Kenema 1-1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
21 OctEthiopia Bunna 0-3 Negelle Arsi
20 OctMebrat Hayl 1-0 Sheger Ketema
17 OctAwassa Kenema 1-1 Ethiopian Medhin