Ethiopian Medhin vs
Mekelakeya• Premier League, Ethiopia
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 26 Oct 05:11 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.72 | 2.57 | 2.72 | 12.4% |
| Best of all books | 2.72 | 2.57 | 2.72 | 12.4% |
| Average | 2.72 | 2.57 | 2.72 | 12.4% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 03:30 UTC
Ethiopian Medhin
2W 5D 3L · goals 8:10 · per match 0.8 for, 1.0 against
| 17 Oct | A | Awassa Kenema | 1-1 | D |
| 11 Oct | A | Gamo Chencha | 2-0 | W |
| 1 Jul | A | Fasil Ketema | 0-1 | L |
| 27 Jun | H | Suhul Shire | 0-3 | L |
| 21 Jun | A | Mekelakeya | 0-1 | L |
| 14 Jun | H | Dire Dawa Kenema | 1-0 | W |
| 30 May | A | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | 1-1 | D |
| 26 May | A | Sidama Bunna | 2-2 | D |
| 19 May | H | Welayta Dicha | 0-0 | D |
| 15 May | A | Mekelle Kenema | 1-1 | D |
Mekelakeya
4W 2D 4L · goals 9:9 · per match 0.9 for, 0.9 against
| 22 Oct | A | Gamo Chencha | 1-0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 0-1 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Awassa Kenema | 1-0 | W |
| 3 Jul | H | Hadiya Hosaena | 0-0 | D |
| 28 Jun | A | Sheger Ketema | 0-2 | L |
| 21 Jun | H | Ethiopian Medhin | 1-0 | W |
| 14 Jun | A | Kedus Giorgis | 0-3 | L |
| 28 May | H | Arba Minch Kenema | 1-2 | L |
| 19 May | A | Bahardar | 1-1 | D |
| 14 May | H | Negelle Arsi | 4-0 | W |
Head to head
8 meetings · goals 5:6 · last 8: 2W 2D 4L for Ethiopian Medhin
| 21 Jun 2026Premier League | Premier League | Mekelakeya1-0Ethiopian Medhin |
| 26 Jan 2026Premier League | Premier League | Ethiopian Medhin0-1Mekelakeya |
| 10 Jun 2025Premier League | Premier League | Ethiopian Medhin2-0Mekelakeya |
| 11 Dec 2024Premier League | Premier League | Mekelakeya0-0Ethiopian Medhin |
| 13 Apr 2024Premier League | Premier League | Mekelakeya1-2Ethiopian Medhin |
| 1 Dec 2023Premier League | Premier League | Ethiopian Medhin0-1Mekelakeya |
| 20 Apr 2023Premier League | Premier League | Ethiopian Medhin0-1Mekelakeya |
| 6 Nov 2022Premier League | Premier League | Mekelakeya1-1Ethiopian Medhin |
Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 25 Oct 12:31 UTC
In the Premier League table, Ethiopian Medhin sit 7th with 4 points from 2 games, while Mekelakeya are 3rd with 6 points from 3.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 7 |
| 2 | Bahardar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | +2 | 6 |
| 3 | Mekelakeya | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | +1 | 6 |
| 4 | Negelle Arsi | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:1 | +3 | 5 |
| 5 | Halaba Ketema | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | +1 | 5 |
| 6 | Adama Kenema | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 7 | Ethiopian Medhin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 4 |
| 8 | Hadiya Hosaena | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Mebrat Hayl | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Ethiopia Bunna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 12 | Kedus Giorgis | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
| 13 | Awassa Kenema | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | Fasil Ketema | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 | Welayta Dicha | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Sidama Bunna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Gamo Chencha | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 12.4% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.96 | 1.19 | 9.3% |
| Best of all books | 3.96 | 1.19 | 9.3% |
| Average | 3.96 | 1.19 | 9.3% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.88 | 1.34 | 9.3% |
| Best of all books | 2.88 | 1.34 | 9.3% |
| Average | 2.88 | 1.34 | 9.3% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Ethiopian Medhin at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Mekelakeya at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.72 | 2.57 | 2.72, which imply roughly 36.8% for a Ethiopian Medhin win versus the model's 35%.
Form context from the Premier League table: Ethiopian Medhin are 7th (4 pts, 3-1 goals), Mekelakeya 3rd (6 pts, 2-1).
Over their last five matches, Ethiopian Medhin averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Mekelakeya averaged 0.7 scored and 0.3 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Ethiopian Medhin or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.72 | 2.57 | 2.72 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.32 | 1.32 | 1.36 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.88 | 1.34 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.67 | 1.73 | 3.67 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.67 | 1.73 | 3.67 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.27 | 3.26 |
| 1.5 | 1.86 | 1.80 |
| 2 | 2.93 | 1.33 |
| 2.5 | 3.96 | 1.19 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.83 | 1.83 |
Next Premier League matches
| 26 Oct | Negelle Arsi – Adama Kenema |
| 26 Oct | Kedus Giorgis – Sheger Ketema |
| 26 Oct | Gamo Chencha – Ethiopia Nigd Bank |