Mebrat Hayl vs Sheger Ketema• Premier League, Ethiopia

#160.0:0.51-0FTToday0.5:0.0#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.52PINX2.60BVC22.58PINMargin at best5.6%Books9Markets40Rating50 · 50 levelExp. goals L50.5

Price board · 1X2captured 20 Oct 09:07 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	3.30	2.60	2.45	9.6%
Dafabet	3.40	2.45	2.50	10.2%
Pinnacle	3.52	2.31	2.58	10.5%
1xBet	3.52	2.38	2.48	10.7%
Betano	3.35	2.40	2.52	11.2%
Marathonbet	3.40	2.38	2.46	12.1%
Betfair	3.20	2.55	2.40	12.1%
Bet365	3.10	2.50	2.50	12.3%
William Hill	3.20	2.38	2.50	13.3%
Best of all books	3.52	2.60	2.58	5.6%
Average	3.33	2.44	2.49	11.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Mebrat HaylSheger Ketema

Last 10#16Table position#50.50Points per game2.008Form pts · last 5100.0Goals for · last 50.50.5Goals against · last 50.00Attack rating1000Defence rating10020Form rating8080H2H rating200Goals model10050Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 19 Oct 18:30 UTC

Mebrat Hayl

3W 4D 3L · goals 10:9 · per match 1.0 for, 0.9 against

16 Oct	H	Negelle Arsi	0-0	D
9 Oct	H	Adama Kenema	0-1	L
5 Jul	A	Sidama Bunna	1-0	W
28 Jun	H	Awassa Kenema	1-1	D
22 Jun	A	Welayta Dicha	2-1	W
16 Jun	H	Mekelle Kenema	0-0	D
30 May	A	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1-2	L
20 May	H	Dire Dawa Kenema	1-1	D
16 May	A	Welwalo Adigrat Uni	1-2	L
10 May	H	Fasil Ketema	3-1	W

Sheger Ketema

5W 2D 3L · goals 8:5 · per match 0.8 for, 0.5 against

16 Oct	A	Adama Kenema	0-0	D
11 Oct	A	Ethiopia Bunna	1-0	W
2 Jul	A	Suhul Shire	2-0	W
28 Jun	H	Mekelakeya	2-0	W
20 Jun	A	Dire Dawa Kenema	0-2	L
16 Jun	H	Welwalo Adigrat Uni	0-0	D
29 May	A	Fasil Ketema	1-0	W
20 May	H	Mekelle Kenema	0-1	L
15 May	A	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1-2	L
10 May	H	Sidama Bunna	1-0	W

Head to head

1Mebrat Hayl wins

1draws

0Sheger Ketema wins

2 meetings · goals 1:0 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for Mebrat Hayl

22 Feb 2026Premier League	Premier League	Sheger Ketema0-0Mebrat Hayl
18 Oct 2025Premier League	Premier League	Mebrat Hayl1-0Sheger Ketema

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 20 Oct 16:00 UTC

In the Premier League table, Mebrat Hayl sit 16th with 1 points from 2 games, while Sheger Ketema are 5th with 4 points from 2.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2	2	0	0	2:0	+2	6
2	Ethiopian Medhin	2	1	1	0	3:1	+2	4
3	Halaba Ketema	2	1	1	0	2:1	+1	4
4	Adama Kenema	2	1	1	0	1:0	+1	4
5	Sheger Ketema	2	1	1	0	1:0	+1	4
6	Ethiopia Bunna	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
7	Mekelakeya	2	1	0	1	1:1	0	3
8	Bahardar	2	1	0	1	1:1	0	3
9	Welayta Dicha	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
10	Negelle Arsi	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
11	Welwalo Adigrat Uni	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
12	Fasil Ketema	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
13	Kedus Giorgis	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
14	Awassa Kenema	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
15	Hadiya Hosaena	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
16	Mebrat Hayl	2	0	1	1	0:1	-1	1
17	Sidama Bunna	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
18	Gamo Chencha	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg127%3.33X37%2.44236%2.49

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.22 → 3.33 +3.4%X2.53 → 2.44 -3.6%22.46 → 2.49 +1.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	3.40	1.30	6.3%
Betfair	3.60	1.25	7.8%
BetVictor	3.60	1.25	7.8%
Pinnacle	3.23	1.29	8.5%
1xBet	3.58	1.21	10.6%
Marathonbet	3.58	1.21	10.6%
Best of all books	3.60	1.30	4.7%
Average	3.50	1.25	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.60	1.44	7.9%
BetVictor	2.70	1.40	8.5%
William Hill	2.70	1.40	8.5%
1xBet	2.67	1.40	8.9%
Marathonbet	2.67	1.38	9.9%
Best of all books	2.70	1.44	6.5%
Average	2.67	1.40	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Mebrat Hayl 10%Draw 45%Sheger Ketema 45%

The statistical model rated Mebrat Hayl at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Sheger Ketema at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.33 | 2.44 | 2.49, which imply roughly 41% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Mebrat Hayl are 16th (1 pts, 0-1 goals), Sheger Ketema 5th (4 pts, 1-0).

Over their last five matches, Mebrat Hayl averaged 0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Sheger Ketema averaged 0.5 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Sheger Ketema and -2.5 goals (goal line signal: under 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.33	2.44	2.49

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.42	1.27	1.44

Draw no bet

1	2
2.11	1.63

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.67	1.40

1st half

1	X	2
4.39	1.66	3.48

2nd half

1	X	2
3.96	1.84	3.09

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.78	16.4	47.0
HT X	6.60	3.10	5.24
HT 2	54.2	16.5	4.30

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.51	4.08	2.08

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.15	4.47
1.5	1.83	1.86
2.5	3.50	1.25
3.5	8.35	1.03
4.5	20.0	1.01

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.24	3.44
1	1.32	2.96
1.25	1.58	2.19
1.75	2.13	1.62
2	2.71	1.38
2.25	3.08	1.31
2.75	4.71	1.12
3	7.20	1.03
3.25	7.70	1.03
3.75	8.80	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	3.20	1.30
-0.25	2.74	1.37
0	2.15	1.62
+0.25	1.67	2.05
+0.5	1.47	2.50
+0.75	1.29	3.15

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	8.50	1.01
-1.5	8.55	1.04
-1.25	8.65	1.01
-1	8.00	1.02
-0.75	4.50	1.13
+1	1.12	4.92
+1.25	1.08	5.56
+1.5	1.06	6.20
+1.75	1.01	8.68

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.74	2.00
8	2.00	1.80

Next Premier League matches

21 Oct

Ethiopia Bunna – Negelle Arsi

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

17 Oct	Awassa Kenema 1-1 Ethiopian Medhin
17 Oct	Kedus Giorgis 1-2 Ethiopia Bunna
16 Oct	Adama Kenema 0-0 Sheger Ketema
16 Oct	Mebrat Hayl 0-0 Negelle Arsi
11 Oct	Sidama Bunna 0-1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
11 Oct	Awassa Kenema 0-1 Mekelakeya