Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopian Medhin• Premier League, Ethiopia

#140.0:1.015:00Tomorrow2.0:0.0#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.65MARX2.75B36522.70B365Margin at best11.1%Books3Markets36Rating35 · 66Exp. goals L51.5

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 15:57 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	2.60	2.75	2.70	11.9%
1xBet	2.65	2.72	2.65	12.2%
Marathonbet	2.65	2.72	2.65	12.2%
Best of all books	2.65	2.75	2.70	11.1%
Average	2.63	2.73	2.67	12.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Awassa KenemaEthiopian Medhin

Last 10#14Table position#40.00Points per game3.002Form pts · last 560.0Goals for · last 52.01.0Goals against · last 50.00Attack rating1000Defence rating1000Form rating10029H2H rating710Goals model10035Overall rating66

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 18:11 UTC

Awassa Kenema

1W 4D 5L · goals 6:10 · per match 0.6 for, 1.0 against

11 Oct	H	Mekelakeya	0-1	L
2 Jul	H	Adama Kenema	2-3	L
28 Jun	A	Mebrat Hayl	1-1	D
21 Jun	H	Bahardar	0-0	D
15 Jun	A	Negelle Arsi	1-2	L
28 May	H	Ethiopia Bunna	1-0	W
20 May	A	Kedus Giorgis	0-1	L
16 May	H	Arba Minch Kenema	0-0	D
9 May	A	Hadiya Hosaena	0-1	L
4 May	H	Sheger Ketema	1-1	D

Ethiopian Medhin

3W 4D 3L · goals 9:10 · per match 0.9 for, 1.0 against

11 Oct	A	Gamo Chencha	2-0	W
1 Jul	A	Fasil Ketema	0-1	L
27 Jun	H	Suhul Shire	0-3	L
21 Jun	A	Mekelakeya	0-1	L
14 Jun	H	Dire Dawa Kenema	1-0	W
30 May	A	Welwalo Adigrat Uni	1-1	D
26 May	A	Sidama Bunna	2-2	D
19 May	H	Welayta Dicha	0-0	D
15 May	A	Mekelle Kenema	1-1	D
11 May	H	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2-1	W

Head to head

2Awassa Kenema wins

4draws

3Ethiopian Medhin wins

9 meetings · goals 10:12 · last 9: 2W 4D 3L for Awassa Kenema

29 Apr 2026Premier League	Premier League	Ethiopian Medhin2-1Awassa Kenema
20 Dec 2025Premier League	Premier League	Awassa Kenema2-1Ethiopian Medhin
3 Apr 2025Premier League	Premier League	Awassa Kenema1-2Ethiopian Medhin
16 Jan 2025Premier League	Premier League	Ethiopian Medhin2-0Awassa Kenema
30 Mar 2024Premier League	Premier League	Ethiopian Medhin2-2Awassa Kenema
26 Oct 2023Premier League	Premier League	Awassa Kenema0-0Ethiopian Medhin
9 Jun 2023Premier League	Premier League	Ethiopian Medhin1-2Awassa Kenema
23 May 2023Premier League	Premier League	Awassa Kenema2-2Ethiopian Medhin
28 Nov 2022Premier League	Premier League	Ethiopian Medhin0-0Awassa Kenema

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 16 Oct 18:11 UTC

In the Premier League table, Awassa Kenema sit 14th with 0 points from 1 games, while Ethiopian Medhin are 4th with 3 points from 1.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Halaba Ketema	2	1	1	0	2:1	+1	4
2	Adama Kenema	2	1	1	0	1:0	+1	4
3	Sheger Ketema	2	1	1	0	1:0	+1	4
4	Ethiopian Medhin	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
5	Mekelakeya	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
6	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
7	Bahardar	2	1	0	1	1:1	0	3
8	Negelle Arsi	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
9	Kedus Giorgis	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
10	Welwalo Adigrat Uni	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
11	Welayta Dicha	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
12	Fasil Ketema	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
13	Mebrat Hayl	2	0	1	1	0:1	-1	1
14	Awassa Kenema	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
15	Sidama Bunna	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
16	Ethiopia Bunna	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
17	Hadiya Hosaena	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
18	Gamo Chencha	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.63X33%2.73233%2.67

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 11.1% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	3.00	1.36	6.9%
1xBet	2.88	1.32	10.5%
Marathonbet	2.88	1.32	10.5%
Best of all books	3.00	1.36	6.9%
Average	2.92	1.33	9.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.29	1.53	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.29	1.51	9.9%
Best of all books	2.29	1.53	9.0%
Average	2.29	1.52	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Awassa Kenema 0%Draw 50%Ethiopian Medhin 50%

The statistical model rates Awassa Kenema at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Ethiopian Medhin at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.63 | 2.73 | 2.67, which imply roughly 36.6% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Awassa Kenema are 14th (0 pts, 0-1 goals), Ethiopian Medhin 4th (3 pts, 2-0).

Over their last five matches, Awassa Kenema averaged 0 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Ethiopian Medhin averaged 2 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Ethiopian Medhin and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.63	2.73	2.67

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.35	1.37	1.34

Draw no bet

1	2
1.83	1.83

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.29	1.52

1st half

1	X	2
3.55	1.79	3.59

2nd half

1	X	2
3.22	2.00	3.22

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.50	15.8	42.3
HT X	5.90	3.71	5.90
HT 2	40.0	17.1	4.58

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.12	5.23	2.19

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.08	5.45
1.5	1.62	2.12
2.5	2.92	1.33
3.5	6.05	1.06
4.5	10.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.12	4.80
1	1.16	4.10
1.25	1.38	2.63
1.75	1.81	1.83
2	2.15	1.56
2.25	2.53	1.42
2.75	3.59	1.21
3	5.15	1.10
3.25	5.60	1.08
3.75	7.90	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	5.25	1.09
-0.75	3.35	1.25
-0.25	2.23	1.54
0	1.84	1.87
+0.25	1.54	2.22
+0.75	1.24	3.35

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	8.65	1.01
-1.5	6.40	1.05
-1.25	5.86	1.07
+1	1.09	5.25
+1.25	1.07	5.81
+1.5	1.05	6.40
+1.75	1.01	8.65