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Welayta Dicha vs Bahardar• Premier League, Ethiopia

#110.5:0.512:00Today0.5:0.5#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.82PINX2.75B36522.90DAFMargin at best6.3%Books6Markets42Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L51.0

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 20:57 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
BetVictor2.702.702.809.8%
Pinnacle2.822.562.7710.6%
Bet3652.552.752.8011.3%
1xBet2.632.572.8412.1%
Marathonbet2.632.572.8412.1%
William Hill2.802.402.8013.1%
Best of all books2.822.752.847.0%
Average2.692.592.8111.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Welayta DichaBahardar
Last 10#11Table position#91.00Points per game1.506Form pts · last 550.5Goals for · last 50.50.5Goals against · last 50.550Attack rating5050Defence rating5040Form rating6050H2H rating500Goals model045Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 07:30 UTC

Welayta Dicha

3W 6D 1L · goals 9:5 · per match 0.9 for, 0.5 against

18 OctAHadiya Hosaena1-1D
10 OctHFasil Ketema0-0D
3 JulHEthiopia Bunna0-0D
28 JunAAdama Kenema2-0W
22 JunHMebrat Hayl1-2L
16 JunABahardar2-0W
4 JunHNegelle Arsi0-0D
19 MayAEthiopian Medhin0-0D
14 MayHKedus Giorgis0-0D
10 MayAArba Minch Kenema3-2W

Bahardar

2W 5D 3L · goals 6:7 · per match 0.6 for, 0.7 against

16 OctAHalaba Ketema0-1L
11 OctAHadiya Hosaena1-0W
3 JulAEthiopia Nigd Bank2-2D
28 JunHSidama Bunna0-1L
21 JunAAwassa Kenema0-0D
16 JunHWelayta Dicha0-2L
30 MayAMekelle Kenema0-0D
19 MayHMekelakeya1-1D
15 MayADire Dawa Kenema2-0W
10 MayHWelwalo Adigrat Uni0-0D

Head to head

3Welayta Dicha wins
8draws
4Bahardar wins

15 meetings · goals 8:11 · last 10: 1W 5D 4L for Welayta Dicha

16 Jun 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBahardar0-2Welayta Dicha
20 Jan 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueWelayta Dicha0-0Bahardar
12 Jun 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueWelayta Dicha0-4Bahardar
3 Nov 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBahardar0-0Welayta Dicha
24 May 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBahardar0-0Welayta Dicha
17 Feb 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueWelayta Dicha0-1Bahardar
7 Jul 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueWelayta Dicha0-1Bahardar
1 Mar 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBahardar0-0Welayta Dicha
8 May 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueWelayta Dicha0-0Bahardar
10 Dec 2021Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBahardar3-1Welayta Dicha

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 21 Oct 16:10 UTC

In the Premier League table, Welayta Dicha sit 11th with 2 points from 2 games, while Bahardar are 9th with 3 points from 2.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Ethiopia Nigd Bank22002:0+26
2Negelle Arsi31204:1+35
3Halaba Ketema31203:2+15
4Ethiopian Medhin21103:1+24
5Adama Kenema21101:0+14
6Mebrat Hayl31111:104
7Sheger Ketema31111:104
8Mekelakeya21011:103
9Bahardar21011:103
10Ethiopia Bunna31022:5-33
11Welayta Dicha20201:102
12Fasil Ketema20201:102
13Welwalo Adigrat Uni10101:101
14Kedus Giorgis20112:3-11
15Awassa Kenema20111:2-11
16Hadiya Hosaena20111:2-11
17Sidama Bunna10010:1-10
18Gamo Chencha10010:2-20

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.68X34%2.61232%2.81

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

21 Oct 07:3021 Oct 16:301 2.68X 2.612 2.81
12.25 → 2.68 +19.1%X2.78 → 2.61 -6.1%23.26 → 2.81 -13.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3653.001.366.9%
BetVictor3.251.307.7%
Pinnacle3.211.298.7%
1xBet3.141.2710.6%
Marathonbet3.141.2710.6%
Best of all books3.251.364.3%
Average3.151.308.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
BetVictor2.451.478.8%
1xBet2.441.479.0%
Marathonbet2.441.459.9%
William Hill2.301.5010.1%
Best of all books2.451.507.5%
Average2.411.479.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Welayta Dicha 10%Draw 45%Bahardar 45%

The statistical model rates Welayta Dicha at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Bahardar at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.68 | 2.61 | 2.81, which imply roughly 38.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Welayta Dicha are 11th (2 pts, 1-1 goals), Bahardar 9th (3 pts, 1-1).

Over their last five matches, Welayta Dicha averaged 0.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Bahardar averaged 0.5 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Bahardar and -2.5 goals (goal line signal: under 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.692.592.81

Double chance

1XX212
1.331.381.39

Draw no bet

12
1.811.89

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.411.47

1st half

1X2
3.631.733.82

2nd half

1X2
3.231.923.39

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.4817.747.3
HT X5.603.375.97
HT 247.317.74.85

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.124.832.26

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.125.07
1.51.702.00
2.53.151.30
3.57.401.05
4.517.01.02
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.154.30
11.233.54
1.251.462.43
1.751.931.76
22.381.49
2.252.761.37
2.754.111.16
36.051.06
3.256.551.05
3.758.501.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.753.251.27
-0.52.721.39
-0.252.191.60
01.801.90
+0.251.512.33
+0.51.392.76
9 more lines
LineHomeAway
-210.01.01
-1.757.301.03
-1.56.751.04
-1.256.151.06
-15.451.08
+0.751.223.61
+11.066.05
+1.251.046.75
+1.51.037.40

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
7.51.732.00
82.001.80

Next Premier League matches

22 OctAwassa Kenema – Ethiopia Nigd Bank
22 OctKedus Giorgis – Adama Kenema

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

21 OctEthiopia Bunna 0-3 Negelle Arsi
20 OctMebrat Hayl 1-0 Sheger Ketema
17 OctAwassa Kenema 1-1 Ethiopian Medhin
17 OctKedus Giorgis 1-2 Ethiopia Bunna
16 OctAdama Kenema 0-0 Sheger Ketema
16 OctMebrat Hayl 0-0 Negelle Arsi