Sportivo Belgrano vs Sarmiento de La Banda• Torneo Federal A, Argentina

#30.4:2.21-1FT11/10 · Estadio Oscar C. Boero, San Francisco0.8:2.0#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.10DAFX2.90B36524.10DAFMargin at best6.5%Books9Markets41Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 16:34 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.04	3.00	4.10	6.7%
BetVictor	2.00	2.90	3.90	10.1%
Betfair	1.91	3.00	4.00	10.7%
William Hill	2.00	2.80	4.00	10.7%
1xBet	1.90	2.97	4.06	10.9%
Betano	2.00	2.87	3.80	11.2%
Bet365	1.95	2.90	3.90	11.4%
Marathonbet	1.88	2.97	3.94	12.2%
Pinnacle	1.99	2.77	3.81	12.6%
Best of all books	2.04	3.00	4.10	6.7%
Average	1.96	2.91	3.95	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sportivo BelgranoSarmiento de La Banda

Last 10#3Table position#131.67Points per game1.564Form pts · last 510.4Goals for · last 50.82.2Goals against · last 52.033Attack rating6748Defence rating5250Form rating5050H2H rating5064Goals model3649Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 18:51 UTC

Sportivo Belgrano

1W 4D 5L · goals 6:17 · per match 0.6 for, 1.7 against

11 Oct	H	Sarmiento de La Banda	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Douglas Haig	0-4	L
6 Sep	A	Sol de América	0-2	L
30 Aug	H	Bartolomé Mitre	2-0	W
23 Aug	A	Sarmiento de La Banda	0-3	L
17 Aug	H	Defensores de Belgrano VR	0-2	L
12 Aug	A	San Martin Formosa	0-2	L
7 Aug	H	9 de Julio Rafaela	1-1	D
1 Aug	A	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	0-0	D
24 Jul	H	Atletico Escobar	2-2	D

Sarmiento de La Banda

1W 4D 5L · goals 8:16 · per match 0.8 for, 1.6 against

11 Oct	A	Sportivo Belgrano	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Defensores de Belgrano VR	0-2	L
13 Sep	A	San Martin Formosa	0-3	L
6 Sep	H	9 de Julio Rafaela	1-4	L
30 Aug	A	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	0-1	L
23 Aug	H	Sportivo Belgrano	3-0	W
16 Aug	A	Douglas Haig	1-3	L
13 Aug	H	Sol de América	0-0	D
8 Aug	A	Bartolomé Mitre	1-1	D
26 Jul	A	Tucuman Central	1-1	D

Head to head

1Sportivo Belgrano wins

2draws

1Sarmiento de La Banda wins

4 meetings · goals 5:5 · last 4: 1W 2D 1L for Sportivo Belgrano

11 Oct 2026Torneo Federal A	Torneo Federal A	Sportivo Belgrano1-1Sarmiento de La Banda
23 Aug 2026Torneo Federal A	Torneo Federal A	Sarmiento de La Banda3-0Sportivo Belgrano
7 Sep 2025Torneo Federal A	Torneo Federal A	Sportivo Belgrano4-1Sarmiento de La Banda
31 Aug 2024Torneo Federal A	Torneo Federal A	Sarmiento de La Banda0-0Sportivo Belgrano

Torneo Federal A tableRegular Seasonupdated 18 Oct 03:30 UTC

In the Torneo Federal A table, Sportivo Belgrano sit 3rd with 30 points from 18 games, while Sarmiento de La Banda are 13th with 25 points from 16.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	16	8	7	1	13:4	+9	31
2	Douglas Haig	18	9	4	5	22:15	+7	31
3	Sportivo Belgrano	18	7	9	2	21:9	+12	30
4	San Martin Formosa	16	9	3	4	25:19	+6	30
5	Alvarado	16	7	6	3	19:7	+12	27
6	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	18	7	6	5	17:12	+5	27
7	Defensores de Belgrano VR	18	7	6	5	24:20	+4	27
8	Kimberley Mar del Plata	16	6	8	2	15:9	+6	26
9	Bartolomé Mitre	16	7	5	4	13:7	+6	26
10	Sol de América	16	8	2	6	19:14	+5	26
11	Juventud Antoniana	16	7	4	5	19:11	+8	25
12	Cipolletti	16	7	4	5	19:15	+4	25
13	Sarmiento de La Banda	16	7	4	5	17:15	+2	25
14	9 de Julio Rafaela	18	7	4	7	28:27	+1	25
15	Sportivo Las Parejas	18	5	9	4	12:13	-1	24
16	Villa Mitre	16	5	8	3	14:8	+6	23
17	Argentino Monte Maíz	16	5	8	3	16:12	+4	23
18	Atenas	16	6	5	5	12:13	-1	23
19	Huracan Las Heras	16	6	5	5	11:13	-2	23
20	Atletico Escobar	18	6	4	8	21:29	-8	22
21	Fundacion Amigos	16	4	9	3	17:14	+3	21
22	Deportivo Rincon	16	5	4	7	13:16	-3	19
23	San Martín Mendoza	16	4	7	5	11:15	-4	19
24	Defensores de Vilelas	16	6	1	9	21:26	-5	19
25	Independiente De Chivilcoy	18	4	7	7	15:22	-7	19
26	El Linqueño	18	5	4	9	14:21	-7	19
27	Costa Brava	16	4	6	6	12:13	-1	18
28	Sol de Mayo	16	4	6	6	15:18	-3	18
29	Boca Unidos	16	5	3	8	19:25	-6	18
30	Germinal de Rawson	16	4	6	6	7:14	-7	18
31	Juventud Unida Univ.	16	3	8	5	10:10	0	17
32	Tucuman Central	16	5	2	9	14:19	-5	17
33	Gimnasia Concepción	18	4	5	9	12:18	-6	17
34	Guillermo Brown	16	4	5	7	13:20	-7	17
35	Sarmiento Resistencia	16	3	6	7	12:23	-11	15
36	Santamarina	16	2	7	7	9:17	-8	13
37	Circulo Deportivo	16	2	7	7	8:16	-8	13

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.01X32%2.82223%3.93

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.84 → 2.01 +9.2%X3.06 → 2.82 -7.8%24.31 → 3.93 -8.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.62	1.44	7.6%
Pinnacle	2.61	1.40	9.7%
1xBet	2.59	1.39	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.59	1.39	10.6%
Best of all books	2.62	1.44	7.6%
Average	2.60	1.40	9.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.38	1.53	7.4%
William Hill	2.20	1.60	8.0%
BetVictor	2.25	1.57	8.1%
1xBet	2.24	1.55	9.2%
Marathonbet	2.24	1.53	10.0%
Best of all books	2.38	1.60	4.5%
Average	2.26	1.56	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sportivo Belgrano 35%Draw 35%Sarmiento de La Banda 30%

The statistical model rated Sportivo Belgrano at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Sarmiento de La Banda at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.01 | 2.82 | 3.93, which imply roughly 49.8% for a Sportivo Belgrano win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Torneo Federal A table: Sportivo Belgrano are 3rd (30 pts, 21-9 goals), Sarmiento de La Banda 13th (25 pts, 17-15).

Over their last five matches, Sportivo Belgrano averaged 0.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Sarmiento de La Banda averaged 0.8 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Sportivo Belgrano or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Match Statistics

Sportivo BelgranoSarmiento de La Banda

51%Ball Possession49%

0Red Cards0

2Yellow Cards3

11Shots off Goal5

9Corner Kicks5

0Free Kicks0

8Shots on Goal7

0Blocked Shots0

19Total Shots12

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.96	2.91	3.95

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.19	1.69	1.32

Draw no bet

1	2
1.39	2.72

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.26	1.56

1st half

1	X	2
2.69	1.87	4.80

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.67	6.20	2.81

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	6.27
1.5	1.52	2.33
2.5	2.60	1.41
3.5	5.27	1.11
4.5	11.0	1.04
5.5	15.0	1.01
6.5	21.0	–

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.08	5.65
1	1.11	4.90
1.25	1.32	2.92
1.75	1.67	2.00
2	1.95	1.72
2.25	2.29	1.52
2.75	3.18	1.27
3	4.50	1.13
3.25	4.20	1.15

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.04	1.32
-0.75	2.30	1.53
-0.5	1.98	1.73
-0.25	1.66	2.06
0	1.37	2.75
+0.25	1.27	3.30

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.95	1.04
-2	8.07	1.04
-1.75	5.37	1.11
-1.5	3.99	1.19
-1.25	3.51	1.24
+0.5	1.25	3.80
+0.75	1.16	5.25
+1.5	1.02	10.5

Next Torneo Federal A matches

18 Oct	Alvarado – Cipolletti
18 Oct	San Martin Formosa – Olimpo Bahia Blanca
18 Oct	9 de Julio Rafaela – Gimnasia Concepción
18 Oct	Douglas Haig – El Linqueño
18 Oct	Villa Mitre – Costa Brava
18 Oct	Sarmiento de La Banda – Sportivo Belgrano

All Torneo Federal A fixtures and the table

Latest Torneo Federal A results

17 Oct	Bartolomé Mitre 0-1 Boca Unidos
17 Oct	Atenas 3-1 Fundacion Amigos
17 Oct	Gimnasia Chivilcoy 3-3 Defensores de Vilelas
17 Oct	Huracan Las Heras 1-0 Juventud Antoniana
17 Oct	Kimberley Mar del Plata 2-1 Deportivo Rincon
11 Oct	Gimnasia Concepción 4-1 9 de Julio Rafaela