9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Concepción• Torneo Federal A, Argentina

#141.4:1.419:00Today · El Coloso, Rafaela1.0:0.6#33

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.60WHX3.701XB26.301XBMargin at best5.4%Books5Markets49Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 16:29 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.55	3.70	6.30	7.4%
BetVictor	1.55	3.60	5.75	9.7%
William Hill	1.60	3.30	5.50	11.0%
Pinnacle	1.52	3.43	5.66	12.6%
Bet365	1.60	3.20	5.25	12.8%
Best of all books	1.60	3.70	6.30	5.4%
Average	1.56	3.45	5.69	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

9 de Julio RafaelaGimnasia Concepción

Last 10#14Table position#331.39Points per game0.947Form pts · last 571.4Goals for · last 51.01.4Goals against · last 50.658Attack rating4230Defence rating7050Form rating5040H2H rating6066Goals model3448Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:21 UTC

9 de Julio Rafaela

3W 3D 4L · goals 11:12 · per match 1.1 for, 1.2 against

11 Oct	A	Gimnasia Concepción	1-4	L
20 Sep	A	Sol de América	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Bartolomé Mitre	0-1	L
6 Sep	A	Sarmiento de La Banda	4-1	W
30 Aug	H	Defensores de Belgrano VR	1-0	W
23 Aug	A	San Martin Formosa	1-2	L
12 Aug	H	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	1-0	W
7 Aug	A	Sportivo Belgrano	1-1	D
2 Aug	H	Douglas Haig	0-0	D
26 Jul	A	Douglas Haig	1-2	L

Gimnasia Concepción

5W 2D 3L · goals 13:4 · per match 1.3 for, 0.4 against

11 Oct	H	9 de Julio Rafaela	4-1	W
19 Sep	A	Sportivo Las Parejas	0-1	L
13 Sep	H	Sarmiento Resistencia	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	Boca Unidos	0-1	L
30 Aug	H	Independiente De Chivilcoy	0-0	D
23 Aug	A	Atletico Escobar	2-0	W
16 Aug	H	Defensores de Vilelas	2-0	W
12 Aug	A	El Linqueño	0-0	D
2 Aug	H	Tucuman Central	4-0	W
26 Jul	H	El Linqueño	0-1	L

Head to head

49 de Julio Rafaela wins

0draws

3Gimnasia Concepción wins

7 meetings · goals 12:11 · last 7: 4W 0D 3L for 9 de Julio Rafaela

11 Oct 2026Torneo Federal A	Torneo Federal A	Gimnasia Concepción4-19 de Julio Rafaela
5 Jul 2026Torneo Federal A	Torneo Federal A	Gimnasia Concepción3-09 de Julio Rafaela
3 May 2026Torneo Federal A	Torneo Federal A	9 de Julio Rafaela4-1Gimnasia Concepción
1 Jun 2025Torneo Federal A	Torneo Federal A	Gimnasia Concepción1-09 de Julio Rafaela
30 Mar 2025Torneo Federal A	Torneo Federal A	9 de Julio Rafaela2-0Gimnasia Concepción
7 Jul 2024Torneo Federal A	Torneo Federal A	9 de Julio Rafaela3-1Gimnasia Concepción
11 May 2024Torneo Federal A	Torneo Federal A	Gimnasia Concepción1-29 de Julio Rafaela

Torneo Federal A tableRegular Seasonupdated 18 Oct 03:30 UTC

In the Torneo Federal A table, 9 de Julio Rafaela sit 14th with 25 points from 18 games, while Gimnasia Concepción are 33rd with 17 points from 18.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	16	8	7	1	13:4	+9	31
2	Douglas Haig	18	9	4	5	22:15	+7	31
3	Sportivo Belgrano	18	7	9	2	21:9	+12	30
4	San Martin Formosa	16	9	3	4	25:19	+6	30
5	Alvarado	16	7	6	3	19:7	+12	27
6	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	18	7	6	5	17:12	+5	27
7	Defensores de Belgrano VR	18	7	6	5	24:20	+4	27
8	Kimberley Mar del Plata	16	6	8	2	15:9	+6	26
9	Bartolomé Mitre	16	7	5	4	13:7	+6	26
10	Sol de América	16	8	2	6	19:14	+5	26
11	Juventud Antoniana	16	7	4	5	19:11	+8	25
12	Cipolletti	16	7	4	5	19:15	+4	25
13	Sarmiento de La Banda	16	7	4	5	17:15	+2	25
14	9 de Julio Rafaela	18	7	4	7	28:27	+1	25
15	Sportivo Las Parejas	18	5	9	4	12:13	-1	24
16	Villa Mitre	16	5	8	3	14:8	+6	23
17	Argentino Monte Maíz	16	5	8	3	16:12	+4	23
18	Atenas	16	6	5	5	12:13	-1	23
19	Huracan Las Heras	16	6	5	5	11:13	-2	23
20	Atletico Escobar	18	6	4	8	21:29	-8	22
21	Fundacion Amigos	16	4	9	3	17:14	+3	21
22	Deportivo Rincon	16	5	4	7	13:16	-3	19
23	San Martín Mendoza	16	4	7	5	11:15	-4	19
24	Defensores de Vilelas	16	6	1	9	21:26	-5	19
25	Independiente De Chivilcoy	18	4	7	7	15:22	-7	19
26	El Linqueño	18	5	4	9	14:21	-7	19
27	Costa Brava	16	4	6	6	12:13	-1	18
28	Sol de Mayo	16	4	6	6	15:18	-3	18
29	Boca Unidos	16	5	3	8	19:25	-6	18
30	Germinal de Rawson	16	4	6	6	7:14	-7	18
31	Juventud Unida Univ.	16	3	8	5	10:10	0	17
32	Tucuman Central	16	5	2	9	14:19	-5	17
33	Gimnasia Concepción	18	4	5	9	12:18	-6	17
34	Guillermo Brown	16	4	5	7	13:20	-7	17
35	Sarmiento Resistencia	16	3	6	7	12:23	-11	15
36	Santamarina	16	2	7	7	9:17	-8	13
37	Circulo Deportivo	16	2	7	7	8:16	-8	13

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg158%1.56X26%3.45216%5.69

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.00 → 1.56 -22.0%X3.00 → 3.45 +15.0%23.40 → 5.69 +67.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.15	1.67	6.4%
1xBet	2.10	1.65	8.2%
BetVictor	2.15	1.62	8.2%
Pinnacle	2.17	1.60	8.6%
Best of all books	2.17	1.67	6.0%
Average	2.14	1.63	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.10	1.67	7.5%
1xBet	2.18	1.62	7.6%
BetVictor	2.15	1.62	8.2%
William Hill	2.20	1.57	9.1%
Best of all books	2.20	1.67	5.3%
Average	2.16	1.62	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

9 de Julio Rafaela 10%Draw 45%Gimnasia Concepción 45%

The statistical model rates 9 de Julio Rafaela at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Gimnasia Concepción at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.56 | 3.45 | 5.69, which imply roughly 29% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Torneo Federal A table: 9 de Julio Rafaela are 14th (25 pts, 28-27 goals), Gimnasia Concepción 33rd (17 pts, 12-18).

Over their last five matches, 9 de Julio Rafaela averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Gimnasia Concepción averaged 1 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Gimnasia Concepción.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.56	3.45	5.69

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.11	2.24	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.20	4.20

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.16	1.62

1st half

1	X	2
2.17	2.09	6.20

2nd half

1	X	2
2.01	2.34	5.61

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.42	19.0	60.5
HT X	4.22	4.90	12.0
HT 2	25.0	19.0	9.75

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.57	7.50	3.00

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	8.05
1.5	1.36	2.88
2.5	2.14	1.64
3.5	3.73	1.24
4.5	7.65	1.06
5.5	16.0	1.02
6.5	17.0	–

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.10	5.90
1.25	1.25	3.49
1.75	1.46	2.50
2	1.62	2.16
2.25	1.88	1.81
2.75	2.47	1.47
3	3.09	1.31
3.25	3.38	1.27
3.75	4.52	1.17
4	6.20	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.65	1.43
-1.25	2.37	1.54
-1	2.03	1.72
-0.75	1.72	2.02
-0.5	1.64	2.14
-0.25	1.56	2.38

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	10.5	1.01
-2.5	5.55	1.13
-2.25	5.17	1.15
-2	4.68	1.17
-1.75	3.23	1.30
0	1.19	4.25
+0.25	1.25	3.85
+0.5	1.15	5.50
+0.75	1.15	5.50
+1	1.10	6.80
+1.5	1.05	7.70

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.83	1.83

Next Torneo Federal A matches

18 Oct	Douglas Haig – El Linqueño
18 Oct	Villa Mitre – Costa Brava
18 Oct	Argentino Monte Maíz – San Martín Mendoza
18 Oct	Sarmiento de La Banda – Sportivo Belgrano

All Torneo Federal A fixtures and the table

Latest Torneo Federal A results

17 Oct	Bartolomé Mitre 0-1 Boca Unidos
17 Oct	Atenas 3-1 Fundacion Amigos
17 Oct	Gimnasia Chivilcoy 3-3 Defensores de Vilelas
17 Oct	Huracan Las Heras 1-0 Juventud Antoniana
17 Oct	Kimberley Mar del Plata 2-1 Deportivo Rincon
11 Oct	Sportivo Belgrano 1-1 Sarmiento de La Banda