Alvarado vs Cipolletti• Torneo Federal A, Argentina

#51.0:1.00-0FTToday · Estadio Jose Maria Minella, Mar del Plata2.0:0.4#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.121XBX2.88BVC24.10B365Margin at best6.3%Books5Markets44Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 16:29 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.12	2.70	4.07	8.8%
BetVictor	2.00	2.88	4.00	9.7%
William Hill	2.05	2.70	3.80	12.1%
Pinnacle	1.99	2.72	3.90	12.7%
Bet365	1.95	2.70	4.10	12.7%
Best of all books	2.12	2.88	4.10	6.3%
Average	2.02	2.74	3.97	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AlvaradoCipolletti

Last 10#5Table position#121.69Points per game1.565Form pts · last 5121.0Goals for · last 52.01.0Goals against · last 50.433Attack rating6729Defence rating7129Form rating7129H2H rating7181Goals model1939Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:21 UTC

Alvarado

4W 4D 2L · goals 12:8 · per match 1.2 for, 0.8 against

11 Oct	A	Cipolletti	0-1	L
4 Oct	H	Defensores de Belgrano VR	2-0	W
27 Sep	A	Defensores de Belgrano VR	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	Cipolletti	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Atenas	3-2	W
30 Aug	A	Kimberley Mar del Plata	2-0	W
23 Aug	H	Argentino Monte Maíz	1-1	D
16 Aug	A	Villa Mitre	0-0	D
12 Aug	H	Huracan Las Heras	1-0	W

Cipolletti

5W 3D 2L · goals 16:9 · per match 1.6 for, 0.9 against

11 Oct	H	Alvarado	1-0	W
4 Oct	H	Sol de América	6-1	W
27 Sep	A	Sol de América	0-1	L
19 Sep	A	Juventud Antoniana	2-0	W
13 Sep	H	Alvarado	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1-1	D
23 Aug	H	Atenas	2-2	D
16 Aug	A	Kimberley Mar del Plata	1-3	L
12 Aug	H	Argentino Monte Maíz	1-0	W
8 Aug	A	Villa Mitre	1-1	D

Head to head

3Alvarado wins

4draws

7Cipolletti wins

14 meetings · goals 9:19 · last 10: 2W 4D 4L for Alvarado

11 Oct 2026Torneo Federal A	Torneo Federal A	Cipolletti1-0Alvarado
13 Sep 2026Torneo Federal A	Torneo Federal A	Cipolletti1-0Alvarado
2 Nov 2018Torneo Federal A	Torneo Federal A	Alvarado1-1Cipolletti
15 Sep 2018Torneo Federal A	Torneo Federal A	Cipolletti0-1Alvarado
29 Nov 2017Torneo Federal A	Torneo Federal A	Cipolletti1-0Alvarado
15 Oct 2017Torneo Federal A	Torneo Federal A	Alvarado2-1Cipolletti
16 Apr 2017Torneo Federal A	Torneo Federal A	Alvarado0-2Cipolletti
28 Jun 2015Torneo Federal A	Torneo Federal A	Cipolletti1-1Alvarado
25 Apr 2015Torneo Federal A	Torneo Federal A	Alvarado1-1Cipolletti
4 Dec 2013Torneo Federal A	Torneo Federal A	Alvarado1-1Cipolletti

Torneo Federal A tableRegular Seasonupdated 18 Oct 20:30 UTC

In the Torneo Federal A table, Alvarado sit 5th with 27 points from 16 games, while Cipolletti are 12th with 25 points from 16.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	16	8	7	1	13:4	+9	31
2	Douglas Haig	18	9	4	5	22:15	+7	31
3	Sportivo Belgrano	18	7	9	2	21:9	+12	30
4	San Martin Formosa	16	9	3	4	25:19	+6	30
5	Alvarado	16	7	6	3	19:7	+12	27
6	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	18	7	6	5	17:12	+5	27
7	Defensores de Belgrano VR	18	7	6	5	24:20	+4	27
8	Kimberley Mar del Plata	16	6	8	2	15:9	+6	26
9	Bartolomé Mitre	16	7	5	4	13:7	+6	26
10	Sol de América	16	8	2	6	19:14	+5	26
11	Juventud Antoniana	16	7	4	5	19:11	+8	25
12	Cipolletti	16	7	4	5	19:15	+4	25
13	Sarmiento de La Banda	16	7	4	5	17:15	+2	25
14	9 de Julio Rafaela	18	7	4	7	28:27	+1	25
15	Sportivo Las Parejas	18	5	9	4	12:13	-1	24
16	Villa Mitre	16	5	8	3	14:8	+6	23
17	Argentino Monte Maíz	16	5	8	3	16:12	+4	23
18	Atenas	16	6	5	5	12:13	-1	23
19	Huracan Las Heras	16	6	5	5	11:13	-2	23
20	Atletico Escobar	18	6	4	8	21:29	-8	22
21	Fundacion Amigos	16	4	9	3	17:14	+3	21
22	Deportivo Rincon	16	5	4	7	13:16	-3	19
23	San Martín Mendoza	16	4	7	5	11:15	-4	19
24	Defensores de Vilelas	16	6	1	9	21:26	-5	19
25	Independiente De Chivilcoy	18	4	7	7	15:22	-7	19
26	El Linqueño	18	5	4	9	14:21	-7	19
27	Costa Brava	16	4	6	6	12:13	-1	18
28	Sol de Mayo	16	4	6	6	15:18	-3	18
29	Boca Unidos	16	5	3	8	19:25	-6	18
30	Germinal de Rawson	16	4	6	6	7:14	-7	18
31	Juventud Unida Univ.	16	3	8	5	10:10	0	17
32	Tucuman Central	16	5	2	9	14:19	-5	17
33	Gimnasia Concepción	18	4	5	9	12:18	-6	17
34	Guillermo Brown	16	4	5	7	13:20	-7	17
35	Sarmiento Resistencia	16	3	6	7	12:23	-11	15
36	Santamarina	16	2	7	7	9:17	-8	13
37	Circulo Deportivo	16	2	7	7	8:16	-8	13

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.02X33%2.74223%3.97

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.98 → 2.02 +2.0%X2.85 → 2.74 -3.9%24.08 → 3.97 -2.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.75	1.40	7.8%
BetVictor	2.50	1.47	8.0%
1xBet	2.85	1.36	8.6%
Pinnacle	2.76	1.36	9.8%
Best of all books	2.85	1.47	3.1%
Average	2.71	1.40	8.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.50	1.50	6.7%
1xBet	2.42	1.51	7.5%
William Hill	2.30	1.55	8.0%
BetVictor	2.40	1.50	8.3%
Best of all books	2.50	1.55	4.5%
Average	2.40	1.51	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Alvarado 10%Draw 45%Cipolletti 45%

The statistical model rated Alvarado at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Cipolletti at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.02 | 2.74 | 3.97, which imply roughly 36.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Torneo Federal A table: Alvarado are 5th (27 pts, 19-7 goals), Cipolletti 12th (25 pts, 19-15).

Over their last five matches, Alvarado averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Cipolletti averaged 2 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Cipolletti.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.02	2.74	3.97

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.19	1.71	1.37

Draw no bet

1	2
1.39	2.82

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.40	1.52

1st half

1	X	2
2.76	1.85	4.92

2nd half

1	X	2
2.53	2.05	4.44

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.33	17.0	55.5
HT X	4.65	3.75	8.10
HT 2	34.5	18.0	6.95

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.67	6.50	2.88

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.12	5.45
1.5	1.59	2.22
2.5	2.72	1.40
3.5	5.70	1.11
4.5	11.5	1.03
5.5	17.0	–
6.5	21.0	–

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.16	4.58
1	1.21	3.88
1.25	1.40	2.71
1.75	1.78	1.92
2	2.07	1.66
2.25	2.47	1.47
2.75	3.40	1.27
3	4.60	1.16
3.25	5.23	1.13

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.15	1.31
-0.75	2.41	1.51
-0.5	2.00	1.74
-0.25	1.71	2.03
0	1.39	2.81
+0.25	1.27	3.41

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.80	1.02
-2	6.80	1.10
-1.75	5.50	1.15
-1.5	4.15	1.21
-1.25	3.60	1.25
+0.5	1.21	3.99
+0.75	1.13	5.90
+1.5	1.03	9.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.85	1.95

Next Torneo Federal A matches

18 Oct

Sarmiento de La Banda – Sportivo Belgrano

All Torneo Federal A fixtures and the table

Latest Torneo Federal A results

17 Oct	Bartolomé Mitre 0-1 Boca Unidos
17 Oct	Atenas 3-1 Fundacion Amigos
17 Oct	Gimnasia Chivilcoy 3-3 Defensores de Vilelas
17 Oct	Huracan Las Heras 1-0 Juventud Antoniana
17 Oct	Kimberley Mar del Plata 2-1 Deportivo Rincon
11 Oct	Sportivo Belgrano 1-1 Sarmiento de La Banda