San Martin Formosa vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca• Torneo Federal A, Argentina

#41.2:0.418:30Today · 17 De Octubre, Formosa1.4:1.0#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.191XBX2.88B36523.771XBMargin at best6.9%Books5Markets40Rating45 · 56Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 12:38 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.19	2.70	3.77	9.2%
BetVictor	2.10	2.88	3.60	10.1%
Bet365	2.00	2.88	3.70	11.7%
William Hill	2.15	2.62	3.60	12.5%
Pinnacle	2.11	2.68	3.60	12.5%
Best of all books	2.19	2.88	3.77	6.9%
Average	2.11	2.75	3.65	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

San Martin FormosaOlimpo Bahia Blanca

Last 10#4Table position#11.88Points per game1.949Form pts · last 591.2Goals for · last 51.40.4Goals against · last 51.046Attack rating5471Defence rating2950Form rating5013H2H rating8855Goals model4545Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 18:51 UTC

San Martin Formosa

5W 4D 1L · goals 15:6 · per match 1.5 for, 0.6 against

11 Oct	A	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1-1	D
4 Oct	H	Atenas	1-1	D
27 Sep	A	Atenas	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Bartolomé Mitre	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	Sarmiento de La Banda	3-0	W
6 Sep	A	Defensores de Belgrano VR	0-1	L
23 Aug	H	9 de Julio Rafaela	2-1	W
16 Aug	A	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	1-1	D
12 Aug	H	Sportivo Belgrano	2-0	W
8 Aug	A	Douglas Haig	4-1	W

Olimpo Bahia Blanca

5W 4D 1L · goals 12:7 · per match 1.2 for, 0.7 against

11 Oct	H	San Martin Formosa	1-1	D
4 Oct	A	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	2-1	W
27 Sep	H	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	2-1	W
20 Sep	A	Alvarado	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Cipolletti	1-1	D
30 Aug	A	Atenas	0-1	L
23 Aug	H	Kimberley Mar del Plata	1-0	W
16 Aug	A	Argentino Monte Maíz	1-1	D
12 Aug	H	Villa Mitre	2-0	W
8 Aug	A	Huracan Las Heras	1-0	W

Head to head

0San Martin Formosa wins

1draws

2Olimpo Bahia Blanca wins

3 meetings · goals 2:4 · last 3: 0W 1D 2L for San Martin Formosa

11 Oct 2026Torneo Federal A	Torneo Federal A	Olimpo Bahia Blanca1-1San Martin Formosa
19 Oct 2024Torneo Federal A	Torneo Federal A	San Martin Formosa1-2Olimpo Bahia Blanca
12 Oct 2024Torneo Federal A	Torneo Federal A	Olimpo Bahia Blanca1-0San Martin Formosa

Torneo Federal A tableRegular Seasonupdated 18 Oct 03:30 UTC

In the Torneo Federal A table, San Martin Formosa sit 4th with 30 points from 16 games, while Olimpo Bahia Blanca are 1st with 31 points from 16.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	16	8	7	1	13:4	+9	31
2	Douglas Haig	18	9	4	5	22:15	+7	31
3	Sportivo Belgrano	18	7	9	2	21:9	+12	30
4	San Martin Formosa	16	9	3	4	25:19	+6	30
5	Alvarado	16	7	6	3	19:7	+12	27
6	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	18	7	6	5	17:12	+5	27
7	Defensores de Belgrano VR	18	7	6	5	24:20	+4	27
8	Kimberley Mar del Plata	16	6	8	2	15:9	+6	26
9	Bartolomé Mitre	16	7	5	4	13:7	+6	26
10	Sol de América	16	8	2	6	19:14	+5	26
11	Juventud Antoniana	16	7	4	5	19:11	+8	25
12	Cipolletti	16	7	4	5	19:15	+4	25
13	Sarmiento de La Banda	16	7	4	5	17:15	+2	25
14	9 de Julio Rafaela	18	7	4	7	28:27	+1	25
15	Sportivo Las Parejas	18	5	9	4	12:13	-1	24
16	Villa Mitre	16	5	8	3	14:8	+6	23
17	Argentino Monte Maíz	16	5	8	3	16:12	+4	23
18	Atenas	16	6	5	5	12:13	-1	23
19	Huracan Las Heras	16	6	5	5	11:13	-2	23
20	Atletico Escobar	18	6	4	8	21:29	-8	22
21	Fundacion Amigos	16	4	9	3	17:14	+3	21
22	Deportivo Rincon	16	5	4	7	13:16	-3	19
23	San Martín Mendoza	16	4	7	5	11:15	-4	19
24	Defensores de Vilelas	16	6	1	9	21:26	-5	19
25	Independiente De Chivilcoy	18	4	7	7	15:22	-7	19
26	El Linqueño	18	5	4	9	14:21	-7	19
27	Costa Brava	16	4	6	6	12:13	-1	18
28	Sol de Mayo	16	4	6	6	15:18	-3	18
29	Boca Unidos	16	5	3	8	19:25	-6	18
30	Germinal de Rawson	16	4	6	6	7:14	-7	18
31	Juventud Unida Univ.	16	3	8	5	10:10	0	17
32	Tucuman Central	16	5	2	9	14:19	-5	17
33	Gimnasia Concepción	18	4	5	9	12:18	-6	17
34	Guillermo Brown	16	4	5	7	13:20	-7	17
35	Sarmiento Resistencia	16	3	6	7	12:23	-11	15
36	Santamarina	16	2	7	7	9:17	-8	13
37	Circulo Deportivo	16	2	7	7	8:16	-8	13

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.11X33%2.75225%3.65

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.99 → 2.11 +6.0%X2.94 → 2.75 -6.5%23.77 → 3.65 -3.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.75	1.40	7.8%
1xBet	2.85	1.37	8.1%
Pinnacle	2.73	1.37	9.6%
Best of all books	2.85	1.40	6.5%
Average	2.78	1.38	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.50	1.50	6.7%
William Hill	2.20	1.62	7.2%
1xBet	2.40	1.52	7.5%
BetVictor	2.30	1.53	8.8%
Best of all books	2.50	1.62	1.7%
Average	2.35	1.54	7.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

San Martin Formosa 10%Draw 45%Olimpo Bahia Blanca 45%

The statistical model rates San Martin Formosa at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Olimpo Bahia Blanca at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.11 | 2.75 | 3.65, which imply roughly 36.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Torneo Federal A table: San Martin Formosa are 4th (30 pts, 25-19 goals), Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1st (31 pts, 13-4).

Over their last five matches, San Martin Formosa averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Olimpo Bahia Blanca averaged 1.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Olimpo Bahia Blanca and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.11	2.75	3.65

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.24	1.64	1.38

Draw no bet

1	2
1.45	2.56

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.35	1.54

1st half

1	X	2
2.84	1.85	4.75

2nd half

1	X	2
2.60	2.07	4.11

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.45	18.0	48.0
HT X	4.88	3.75	7.65
HT 2	35.0	19.0	6.50

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.80	5.50	2.62

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.12	5.45
1.5	1.57	2.25
2.5	2.78	1.38
3.5	5.70	1.11
4.5	11.5	1.03
5.5	16.0	1.01

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.16	4.58
1	1.19	3.98
1.25	1.38	2.76
1.75	1.76	1.94
2	2.05	1.68
2.25	2.45	1.48
2.75	3.42	1.27
3	4.60	1.16
3.25	5.23	1.13

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.37	1.28
-0.75	2.50	1.47
-0.5	2.08	1.69
-0.25	1.78	1.94
0	1.45	2.57
+0.25	1.31	3.14

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.5	1.02
-1.75	5.75	1.14
-1.5	4.33	1.19
-1.25	3.84	1.23
+0.5	1.24	3.66
+0.75	1.16	5.25
+1.5	1.04	8.70

Next Torneo Federal A matches

18 Oct	Alvarado – Cipolletti
18 Oct	9 de Julio Rafaela – Gimnasia Concepción
18 Oct	Douglas Haig – El Linqueño
18 Oct	Villa Mitre – Costa Brava
18 Oct	Sarmiento de La Banda – Sportivo Belgrano

All Torneo Federal A fixtures and the table

Latest Torneo Federal A results

17 Oct	Bartolomé Mitre 0-1 Boca Unidos
17 Oct	Atenas 3-1 Fundacion Amigos
17 Oct	Gimnasia Chivilcoy 3-3 Defensores de Vilelas
17 Oct	Huracan Las Heras 1-0 Juventud Antoniana
17 Oct	Kimberley Mar del Plata 2-1 Deportivo Rincon
11 Oct	Sportivo Belgrano 1-1 Sarmiento de La Banda