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Gimnasia Concepción vs 9 de Julio Rafaela• Torneo Federal A, Argentina

#330.6:0.419:00Tomorrow · Estadio Manuel y Ramon Nunez, Concepcion del Uruguay1.4:1.0#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.93DAFX3.20BFR24.80BVCMargin at best3.9%Books6Markets43Rating49 · 52 levelExp. goals L51.7

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 16:54 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.933.204.206.9%
1xBet1.793.104.769.1%
BetVictor1.733.204.809.9%
Betfair1.753.204.6010.1%
Betano1.913.053.9010.8%
Bet3651.733.104.7511.1%
Best of all books1.933.204.803.9%
Average1.813.144.509.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Gimnasia Concepción9 de Julio Rafaela
Last 10#33Table position#140.94Points per game1.397Form pts · last 570.6Goals for · last 51.40.4Goals against · last 51.030Attack rating7071Defence rating2950Form rating5040H2H rating6060Goals model4049Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 19:51 UTC

Gimnasia Concepción

4W 3D 3L · goals 9:3 · per match 0.9 for, 0.3 against

19 SepASportivo Las Parejas0-1L
13 SepHSarmiento Resistencia1-0W
6 SepABoca Unidos0-1L
30 AugHIndependiente De Chivilcoy0-0D
23 AugAAtletico Escobar2-0W
16 AugHDefensores de Vilelas2-0W
12 AugAEl Linqueño0-0D
2 AugHTucuman Central4-0W
26 JulHEl Linqueño0-1L
12 JulAGimnasia Chivilcoy0-0D

9 de Julio Rafaela

3W 3D 4L · goals 11:10 · per match 1.1 for, 1.0 against

20 SepASol de América1-1D
13 SepHBartolomé Mitre0-1L
6 SepASarmiento de La Banda4-1W
30 AugHDefensores de Belgrano VR1-0W
23 AugASan Martin Formosa1-2L
12 AugHGimnasia Chivilcoy1-0W
7 AugASportivo Belgrano1-1D
2 AugHDouglas Haig0-0D
26 JulADouglas Haig1-2L
13 JulHDefensores de Belgrano VR1-2L

Head to head

2Gimnasia Concepción wins
0draws
49 de Julio Rafaela wins

6 meetings · goals 7:11 · last 6: 2W 0D 4L for Gimnasia Concepción

5 Jul 2026Torneo Federal ATorneo Federal AGimnasia Concepción3-09 de Julio Rafaela
3 May 2026Torneo Federal ATorneo Federal A9 de Julio Rafaela4-1Gimnasia Concepción
1 Jun 2025Torneo Federal ATorneo Federal AGimnasia Concepción1-09 de Julio Rafaela
30 Mar 2025Torneo Federal ATorneo Federal A9 de Julio Rafaela2-0Gimnasia Concepción
7 Jul 2024Torneo Federal ATorneo Federal A9 de Julio Rafaela3-1Gimnasia Concepción
11 May 2024Torneo Federal ATorneo Federal AGimnasia Concepción1-29 de Julio Rafaela

Torneo Federal A tableRegular Seasonupdated 10 Oct 21:02 UTC

In the Torneo Federal A table, Gimnasia Concepción sit 33rd with 17 points from 18 games, while 9 de Julio Rafaela are 14th with 25 points from 18.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca1687113:4+931
2Douglas Haig1894522:15+731
3Sportivo Belgrano1879221:9+1230
4San Martin Formosa1693425:19+630
5Alvarado1676319:7+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy1876517:12+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR1876524:20+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata1668215:9+626
9Bartolomé Mitre1675413:7+626
10Sol de América1682619:14+526
11Juventud Antoniana1674519:11+825
12Cipolletti1674519:15+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda1674517:15+225
149 de Julio Rafaela1874728:27+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas1859412:13-124
16Villa Mitre1658314:8+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz1658316:12+423
18Atenas1665512:13-123
19Huracan Las Heras1665511:13-223
20Atletico Escobar1864821:29-822
21Fundacion Amigos1649317:14+321
22Deportivo Rincon1654713:16-319
23San Martín Mendoza1647511:15-419
24Defensores de Vilelas1661921:26-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy1847715:22-719
26El Linqueño1854914:21-719
27Costa Brava1646612:13-118
28Sol de Mayo1646615:18-318
29Boca Unidos1653819:25-618
30Germinal de Rawson164667:14-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.1638510:10017
32Tucuman Central1652914:19-517
33Gimnasia Concepción1845912:18-617
34Guillermo Brown1645713:20-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia1636712:23-1115
36Santamarina162779:17-813
37Circulo Deportivo162778:16-813

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.81X29%3.14220%4.50

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

10 Oct 01:3010 Oct 10:311 1.81X 3.142 4.50
11.84 → 1.81 -1.6%X3.13 → 3.14 +0.3%24.37 → 4.50 +3.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.501.506.7%
BetVictor2.501.478.0%
1xBet2.471.488.1%
Betano2.271.529.8%
Best of all books2.501.525.8%
Average2.441.498.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet2.281.577.6%
Bet3652.251.578.1%
BetVictor2.251.578.1%
Best of all books2.281.577.6%
Average2.261.577.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Gimnasia Concepción 10%Draw 45%9 de Julio Rafaela 45%

The statistical model rates Gimnasia Concepción at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and 9 de Julio Rafaela at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.81 | 3.14 | 4.50, which imply roughly 31.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Torneo Federal A table: Gimnasia Concepción are 33rd (17 pts, 12-18 goals), 9 de Julio Rafaela 14th (25 pts, 28-27).

Over their last five matches, Gimnasia Concepción averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; 9 de Julio Rafaela averaged 1.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or 9 de Julio Rafaela and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.813.144.50

Double chance

1XX212
1.161.891.30

Draw no bet

12
1.323.19

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.261.57

1st half

1X2
2.461.965.10

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.626.502.88

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.096.50
1.51.492.49
2.52.441.49
3.54.651.16
4.59.751.05
5.513.01.01
6.521.0–
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.115.58
11.154.70
1.251.323.10
1.751.622.16
21.811.86
2.252.161.62
2.752.891.36
33.701.23
3.254.301.18

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.53.301.31
-1.252.881.38
-12.491.49
-0.751.991.74
-0.51.781.91
-0.251.522.39
9 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.57.201.06
-2.256.801.10
-26.401.12
-1.754.151.22
01.293.43
+0.251.214.05
+0.51.184.65
+0.751.126.40
+1.51.0110.5